UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
Form 10-K
FOR ANNUAL AND TRANSITION REPORTS
PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d)
OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
x |
ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 | |
For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2014 |
or
¨ |
TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 | |
For the transition period from to |
Commission File Number 001-33289
ENSTAR GROUP LIMITED
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
BERMUDA | N/A | |
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) |
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) |
P.O. Box HM 2267
Windsor Place, 3rd Floor, 22 Queen Street
Hamilton HM JX
Bermuda
(Address of principal executive offices, including zip code)
Registrants telephone number, including area code: (441) 292-3645
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of Each Class |
Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered | |
Ordinary shares, par value $1.00 per share | The NASDAQ Stock Market LLC |
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act:
None
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act. Yes x No ¨
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act. Yes ¨ No x
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes x No ¨
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files). Yes x No ¨
Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrants knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K. x
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of large accelerated filer, accelerated filer and smaller reporting company in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):
Large accelerated filer x |
Accelerated filer ¨ |
Non-accelerated filer ¨ |
Smaller reporting company ¨ | |||
(Do not check if a smaller reporting company) |
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act). Yes ¨ No x
The aggregate market value of the voting and non-voting common equity held by non-affiliates, computed by reference to the closing price as of the last business day of the registrants most recently completed second fiscal quarter, June 30, 2014, was approximately $1.15 billion.
As of February 26, 2015, the registrant had outstanding 15,804,012 voting ordinary shares and 3,439,652 non-voting convertible ordinary shares, each par value $1.00 per share.
DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE
Portions of the registrants definitive proxy statement to be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission pursuant to Regulation 14A relating to its 2015 annual general meeting of shareholders are incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K.
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CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This annual report and the documents incorporated by reference contain statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or the Exchange Act, with respect to our financial condition, results of operations, business strategies, operating efficiencies, competitive positions, growth opportunities, plans and objectives of our management, as well as the markets for our ordinary shares and the insurance and reinsurance sectors in general. Statements that include words such as estimate, project, plan, intend, expect, anticipate, believe, would, should, could, seek, may and similar statements of a future or forward-looking nature identify forward-looking statements for purposes of the federal securities laws or otherwise. All forward-looking statements are necessarily estimates or expectations, and not statements of historical fact, reflecting the best judgment of our management and involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements. These forward looking statements should, therefore, be considered in light of various important factors, including those set forth in this annual report and the documents incorporated by reference, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward looking statements. These factors include:
| risks associated with implementing our business strategies and initiatives; |
| risks that we may require additional capital in the future, which may not be available or may be available only on unfavorable terms; |
| the adequacy of our loss reserves and the need to adjust such reserves as claims develop over time; |
| risks relating to the availability and collectability of our reinsurance; |
| changes and uncertainty in economic conditions, including interest rates, inflation, currency exchange rates, equity markets and credit conditions, which could affect our investment portfolio, our ability to finance future acquisitions and our profitability; |
| the risk that ongoing or future industry regulatory developments will disrupt our business, affect the ability of our subsidiaries to operate in the ordinary course or to make distributions to us, or mandate changes in industry practices in ways that increase our costs, decrease our revenues or require us to alter aspects of the way we do business; |
| losses due to foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations; |
| increased competitive pressures, including the consolidation and increased globalization of reinsurance providers; |
| emerging claim and coverage issues; |
| lengthy and unpredictable litigation affecting assessment of losses and/or coverage issues; |
| continued availability of exit and finality opportunities provided by solvent schemes of arrangement; |
| loss of key personnel; |
| the ability of our subsidiaries to distribute funds to us and the resulting impact on our liquidity; |
| changes in our plans, strategies, objectives, expectations or intentions, which may happen at any time at managements discretion; |
| operational risks, including system, data security or human failures and external hazards; |
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| risks relating to our acquisitions, including our ability to successfully price acquisitions, evaluate opportunities, address operational challenges, support our planned growth and assimilate acquired companies into our internal control system in order to maintain effective internal controls, provide reliable financial reports and prevent fraud; |
| risks relating to our ability to obtain regulatory approvals, including the timing, terms and conditions of any such approvals, and to satisfy other closing conditions in connection with our acquisition agreements, which could affect our ability to complete acquisitions; |
| risks relating to our life and annuities business, including mortality and morbidity rates, lapse rates, the performance of assets to support the insured liabilities, and the risk of catastrophic events; |
| risks relating to our active underwriting businesses, including unpredictability and severity of catastrophic and other major loss events, failure of risk management and loss limitation methods, the risk of a ratings downgrade or withdrawal, cyclicality of demand and pricing in the insurance and reinsurance markets; |
| our ability to implement our strategies relating to our active underwriting businesses; |
| risks relating to our ability to structure our investments in a manner that recognizes our liquidity needs; |
| tax, regulatory or legal restrictions or limitations applicable to us or the insurance and reinsurance business generally; |
| changes in tax laws or regulations applicable to us or our subsidiaries, or the risk that we or one of our non-U.S. subsidiaries become subject to significant, or significantly increased, income taxes in the United States or elsewhere; |
| changes in Bermuda law or regulation or the political stability of Bermuda; and |
| changes in accounting policies or practices. |
The factors listed above should be not construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with the Risk Factors that are included in Item 1A below. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or review any forward looking statement, whether to reflect any change in our expectations with regard thereto, or as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.
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ITEM 1. | BUSINESS |
Company Overview
Enstar Group Limited, or Enstar, is a Bermuda-based holding company that was formed in 2001 and became publicly traded in 2007. We are listed on the NASDAQ Global Select Market under the ticker symbol ESGR. We and our operating subsidiaries acquire and manage diversified insurance businesses through a network of service companies in Bermuda, the United States, the United Kingdom, Continental Europe, Australia, and other international locations.
Our primary corporate objective is growing our net book value per share. We believe this is driven primarily by growth in our net earnings, which is in turn driven in large part by successfully completing new acquisitions, effectively managing companies and portfolios of business that we have acquired, and executing on our active underwriting strategies.
Our core focus is acquiring and managing insurance and reinsurance companies in run-off and portfolios of insurance and reinsurance business in run-off, and providing management, consulting and other services to the insurance and reinsurance industry. Since our formation, we have completed the acquisition of over 65 insurance and reinsurance companies and portfolios of insurance and reinsurance business. We also operate active underwriting businesses, including the Atrium group of companies, which manage and underwrite specialist insurance and reinsurance business for Lloyds Syndicate 609, and the Torus group of companies, an A- rated global specialty insurance group with multiple global underwriting platforms. We also operate closed life and annuities businesses.
Strategy
We aim to maximize our growth in net book value per share by using the following strategies:
| Solidify Our Leadership Position in the Run-Off Market by Leveraging Managements Experience and Relationships. We continue to utilize the extensive experience and significant relationships of our senior management team to solidify our position as a leading run-off acquirer, which we expect will generate future growth opportunities for us. |
| Engage in Highly Disciplined Acquisition, Management and Reinsurance Practices across our Diverse Portfolio of Loss Reserves. We utilize a disciplined approach designed to minimize risk and increase the probability of positive operating results from companies and portfolios we acquire or manage, being highly selective in reviewing potential acquisition targets and management engagements and focusing our investigation on risk exposures, claims practices and reserve requirements. |
| Professionally Manage Claims. We manage claims made against companies and portfolios we own or manage in a professional and disciplined manner, relying on our in-house expertise as we seek to dispose of risks expeditiously and cost-effectively. We pay valid claims on a timely basis, while relying on well-documented policy terms and exclusions where applicable and litigation when necessary to defend against paying invalid claims under existing policies and reinsurance agreements. |
| Commute Assumed Liabilities and Ceded Reinsurance Assets. Using detailed claims analysis and actuarial projections, we negotiate with the policyholders of the insurance and reinsurance companies or portfolios we own or manage with a goal of commuting insurance and reinsurance liabilities for one or more agreed upon payments at a discount to the ultimate liability. |
| Profitably Underwrite Selected Specialty Lines and Utilize our Active Underwriting Platforms to Enhance Future Growth Opportunities. Through our Atrium and Torus segments, we |
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selectively underwrite in chosen specialty lines where we believe we can operate with competitive advantages, focusing on balancing risk exposures and selectively growing organically. When we acquire run-off businesses, our active underwriting companies review opportunities to capture profitable active business from the transaction where aligned with our underwriting growth strategies. |
| Prudently Manage Investments and Capital. In managing our investments and deploying our capital, we strive to achieve superior risk-adjusted returns with the objective of maximizing profitability and long-term growth in shareholder value, while recognizing our liquidity needs for future liabilities. We manage our investments in a manner that attempts to correlate the maturity and duration of our investment portfolio to our general liability profile. We manage our capital by aiming to deploy capital efficiently to acquisitions and to establish adequate loss reserves that we believe will protect against future adverse developments. We also explore opportunities to generate enhanced returns on our assets where we believe any additional risk can be managed consistently with our approach in our insurance and reinsurance operations. |
Recent Transactions
Our transactions take the form of either acquisitions of companies or portfolio transfers, where a reinsurance contract transfers risk from the insurance or reinsurance company to one of our companies. Acquisitions and portfolio transfers (also referred to as significant new business) completed or signed since the beginning of 2012 are outlined in the tables below.
The substantial majority of our acquisitions have been in the non-life run-off business, which for us generally includes property and casualty, workers compensation, asbestos and environmental, construction defect, marine, aviation and transit, and other closed business. While our core focus remains the acquisition and management of non-life run-off business, in recent years, we expanded our business by entering into the active underwriting business through our acquisitions of Atrium Underwriting Group Limited (or Atrium) and Torus Insurance Holdings Limited (or Torus). We believe that Atrium and Torus provide an additional earnings stream, and also enhance our ability to compete for acquisition targets by providing opportunities for us, primarily through Torus, to acquire renewal rights or provide loss portfolio reinsurance in connection with such acquisitions, which may be attractive to certain vendors or may present alternative ways in which proposed transactions can be structured.
We entered the active underwriting business through our acquisitions of Atrium Underwriting Group Limited (or Atrium) on November 25, 2013 and Arden Reinsurance Company Ltd (or Arden) on September 9, 2013. Atriums wholly-owned subsidiary, Atrium Underwriters Ltd, manages and underwrites specialist insurance and reinsurance business for Lloyds Syndicate 609. Atriums wholly-owned subsidiary, Atrium 5 Ltd, provides approximately 25% of the underwriting capacity and capital to Syndicate 609, with the balance provided by traditional Lloyds Names. Arden provides reinsurance to Atrium 5 Ltd. through an approximate 65% quota share reinsurance arrangement, and is currently in the process of running off certain other portfolios of run-off business. Atrium was an attractive opportunity to us primarily because of its skilled underwriting and management teams and strong historical performance at Lloyds.
We acquired Torus, an A- rated global specialty insurer with multiple global underwriting platforms, including Lloyds Syndicate 1301 on April 1, 2014. Torus offers a diverse range of property, casualty and specialty insurance through its operations in the U.K., Continental Europe, the U.S. and Bermuda. Prior to acquisition, Torus ceased underwriting certain lines of business in order to focus on core property, casualty and specialty lines. The results of the discontinued lines of business which were
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placed into run-off are included within our non-life run-off segment. Torus was formed in 2008 and had grown significantly but generally at the expense of its profitability. Since the acquisition, Torus has shifted its strategy to concentrate on profitable lines of business, started a cost reduction program and enhanced its management team. We believe this has laid the foundation for Torus to be a successful global business in its own right, as well as providing a basis for enhancing our non-life run-off acquisition opportunities and returns.
While the management of claims and control of expenses are Enstars core competencies, active underwriting is a relatively new exposure for us. Accordingly, we partnered with the Trident V funds (managed by Stone Point Capital LLC) in the acquisitions of Atrium, Arden and Torus, with Enstar taking an approximate 59.0% equity interest, Trident V taking an approximate 39.3% equity interest in each transaction, and Dowling Capital Partners, L.P. (or Dowling) taking a 1.7% equity interest in each transaction. Stone Point Capital is a financial services-focused private equity firm that has significant experience investing in insurance and reinsurance companies and other insurance-related businesses, which we believe is valuable in these active underwriting joint ventures.
In recent years, we have also expanded our portfolio of run-off businesses to include closed life and annuities, primarily through our March 31, 2013 acquisition of the U.S. life and annuities operations of HSBC Holdings plc (which we refer to as Pavonia). In addition to portfolio diversification, we believe our life and annuities business has the potential to provide us with a long-term earnings and cash flow stream that may counter some of the volatility in our core non-life run-off business. We expect the market for discontinued life and annuity businesses will continue to increase, and we, along with any potential strategic partners, will continue to selectively evaluate opportunities to acquire well performing closed blocks of business.
Acquisitions
On January 27, 2015, we completed the acquisition of Companion Property and Casualty Insurance Company (or Companion) from Blue Cross Blue Shield of South Carolina, an independent licensee of the Blue Cross Blue Shield Association. Companion is a South Carolina-based insurance group writing property, casualty, specialty and workers compensation business, and has also provided fronting and third party administrative services. We are operating Companion as part of our non-life run-off business. The total consideration for the transaction was $218.0 million in cash, which was financed 50% through borrowings under a term loan facility and 50% from cash on hand.
On February 5, 2015, our wholly-owned subsidiary, Harper Holdings SARL, entered into a definitive agreement with Nationale Suisse to acquire its Belgian subsidiary, Nationale Suisse Assurance S.A., (or NSA). NSA is a Belgium-based insurance company writing non-life insurance (which we expect to operate in run-off as part of our non-life run-off segment) and life insurance (which we expect to operate in run-off as part of our life and annuities segment). The total consideration for the transaction will be 33.7 million (approximately $38.5 million) (subject to certain possible closing adjustments). We expect to finance the purchase price from cash on hand. As part of the agreement, Torus has agreed to acquire NSAs two specialty underwriting agencies, Vander Haeghen & Co and Arena. Torus will also acquire the right to renew certain business currently underwritten by NSA, including the business placed by these agencies, as well as other select lines. Completion of the transaction is conditioned on, among other things, governmental and regulatory approvals and satisfaction of various customary closing conditions. The transaction is expected to close during the second quarter of 2015.
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The table below sets forth a summary of acquisitions that we have completed in the last three years or are in the process of completing. For a more detailed explanation of these acquisitions, refer to Note 3 Acquisitions in the notes to our consolidated financial statements included within Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Acquisitions (2012 - Present) | ||||||||||||
Company Name |
Date of Completion | Purchase Price | Fair Value of Net Assets Acquired |
Goodwill | Segment | Primary Nature of | ||||||
Signed but not yet completed |
||||||||||||
Nationale Suisse Assurance | expected second quarter 2015 |
$38.5 million | valuation pending | N/A | Non-life Run-off and Life and Annuities |
European non-life and life insurance | ||||||
Completed | ||||||||||||
Companion Property and Casualty Company | January 27, 2015 | $218.0 million | valuation pending | N/A | Non-life Run-off | U.S. property, casualty, specialty and workers compensation | ||||||
Torus Insurance Holdings Limited(1) | April 1, 2014 | $656.1 million(2) | $643.1 million | $13.0 million | Active Underwriting and Non-life Run-off |
Global specialty insurer and Lloyds Syndicate 1301 | ||||||
Atrium Underwriting Group Limited(3) | November 25, 2013 | $158.0 million | $119.2 million | $38.8 million | Active Underwriting |
Managing agent for Lloyds Syndicate 609, a global specialty insurer; provides 25% of syndicates capital | ||||||
Arden Reinsurance Company Limited(3) | September 9, 2013 | $79.6 million | $79.6 million | Nil | Active Underwriting and Non-life Run-off (4) |
U.S. casualty, credit and surety insurance; quota share provider to Atrium | ||||||
The Pavonia companies | March 31, 2013 | $155.6 million | $155.6 million | Nil | Life and Annuities |
U.S. and Canadian closed life insurance, reinsurance and annuities | ||||||
SeaBright Holdings, Inc. |
February 7, 2013 | $252.1 million | $252.1 million | Nil | Non-life Run-off | U.S. workers compensation insurance |
(1) | Enstar has an approximate 59.0% interest in Torus, with Trident owning an approximate 39.3% interest and Dowling owning a 1.7% interest. Trident is a holder of approximately 8.5% of our voting ordinary shares outstanding. James D. Carey, a senior principal of Stone Point Capital LLC (the manager of Trident), serves as a member of our Board of Directors. |
(2) | Enstar funded its $397.7 million share of the purchase price through the issuance of 2,612,341 shares (consisting of a combination of voting and non-voting shares) and the payment of $45.2 million in cash. |
(3) | Enstar has an approximate 59.0% interest in the acquired companies, with Trident owning an approximate 39.3% interest, and Dowling owning a 1.7% interest. |
(4) | Arden is considered part of our active underwriting segment with respect to its quota share reinsurance provided to Atrium, and is considered part of our non-life run-off segment with respect to its discontinued insurance business. |
Significant New Business
On January 15, 2014, our wholly-owned subsidiary, Providence Washington Insurance Company, completed the loss portfolio transfer reinsurance transaction with Reciprocal of America (in Receivership) and its Deputy Receiver relating to a portfolio of workers compensation business that has been in run-off since 2003. The total net insurance reserves assumed were approximately $162.1 million, with an equivalent amount of cash and/or investments being received as consideration.
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Effective January 1, 2015, Lloyds Syndicate 2008, which is managed by our wholly-owned subsidiary and Lloyds managing agent, Shelbourne Syndicate Services Limited, entered into a reinsurance to close (or RITC) contract of the 2012 and prior underwriting years of account of another Lloyds syndicate. In the RITC transaction, Syndicate 2008 assumed total net insurance reserves of approximately £17.2 million (approximately $26.9 million) for cash consideration of an equal amount.
The table below sets forth a summary of significant new business transactions that we have signed or completed in the last three years. Our significant new business transactions include several RITC transactions that we have completed over the years with Lloyds of London insurance and reinsurance syndicates in run-off, whereby the portfolio of run-off liabilities is transferred from one Lloyds syndicate to another. We have executed our RITC transactions through Shelbourne, which consists of an approved Lloyds managing agent (Shelbourne Syndicate Services Limited), a corporate member and Syndicate 2008, a wholly aligned syndicate that has permission to underwrite RITC and other legacy or discontinued business type transactions with other Lloyds syndicates.
For a more detailed explanation of our significant new business transactions, refer to Note 4 Significant New Business in the notes to our consolidated financial statements included within Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Significant New Business (2012 - Present) | ||||||||
Portfolio Name |
Date of Completion | Liabilities Assumed / Assets Acquired |
Segment | Primary Nature of Business | ||||
Reciprocal of America (in Receivership) | January 15, 2015 | $162.1 million | Non-life Run-off | U.S. workers compensation reinsurance | ||||
Lloyds RITC Shelbourne | January 1, 2015 | $26.9 million | Non-life Run-off | Worldwide marine and energy insurance | ||||
Lloyds RITC Shelbourne | January 1, 2014 | $28.1 million | Non-life Run-off | Worldwide property and U.K. liability insurance | ||||
Lloyds RITC Shelbourne | January 1, 2013 | $51.4 million | Non-life Run-off | U.K. motor insurance | ||||
American Physicians Assurance Corporation/APSpecialty Insurance Company | April 26, 2013 | $35.3 million | Non-life Run-off | U.S. workers compensation insurance | ||||
Lloyds RITC Shelbourne | December 31, 2012 | $313.3 million | Non-life Run-off | U.K. property and liability insurance | ||||
Claremont Liability Insurance Company | August 6, 2012 / December 17, 2012 |
$38.0 million | Non-life Run-off | U.S. construction defect | ||||
Zurich Insurance Company Danish Branch | June 30, 2012 | $60.0 million | Non-life Run-off | Danish disability and commercial reinsurance |
Operating Segments
Enstar has four segments of business that are each managed, operated and reported on differently: (i) Non-life run-off; (ii) Atrium; (iii) Torus; and (iv) Life and annuities.
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The below chart highlights the percentage of the aggregate total of our gross losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities and policy benefits for life and annuity contracts accounted for by each of our segments:
For additional information and financial data relating to our segments, see Item 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Segment Reporting and Note 21 Segment Information in the notes to our consolidated financial statements included within Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Non-life Run-off
Our non-life run-off segment comprises the operations of our subsidiaries that are running off their property and casualty and other non-life lines of business, including the run-off businesses of Arden and Torus. It also includes our smaller management business, in which we manage the run-off portfolios of third parties through our service companies.
In the primary (or direct) insurance business, the insurer assumes risk of loss from persons or organizations that are directly subject to the given risks. In the reinsurance business, the reinsurer agrees to indemnify an insurance or reinsurance company, referred to as the ceding company, against all or a portion of the insurance risks arising under the policies the ceding company has written or reinsured. When an insurer or reinsurer stops writing new insurance business, either entirely or with respect to a particular line of business, the insurer, reinsurer, or the line of discontinued business is in run-off.
The insurance industry continues to experience significant consolidation. As a result of this consolidation and other factors, the remaining participants in the industry often have portfolios of business that are either inconsistent with their core competency or provide excessive exposure to a particular risk or segment of the market (i.e., workers compensation, property/casualty, asbestos, environmental, director and officer liability, etc.). These non-core and/or discontinued portfolios are often associated with potentially large exposures and lengthy time periods before resolution of the last remaining insured claims, resulting in significant uncertainty to the insurer or reinsurer covering those risks. These factors can distract management, drive up the cost of capital and surplus for the insurer or reinsurer, and negatively impact the insurers or reinsurers credit rating, which makes the disposal of the unwanted company or portfolio an attractive option. Alternatively, the insurer may wish to maintain the business on its balance sheet, yet not divert significant management attention to the run-off of the portfolio. The insurer or reinsurer, in either case, is likely to engage a third party that specializes in run-off management, such as us, to purchase or manage the company or portfolio in run-off.
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In the sale of a company in run-off, a purchaser, such as us, may pay a discount to the book value of the company based on the risks assumed and the relative value to the seller of no longer having to manage the company in run-off. Such a transaction can be beneficial to the seller because it receives an up-front payment for the company, eliminates the need for its management to devote any attention to the disposed company and removes the risk that the established reserves related to the run-off business may prove to be inadequate. The seller is also able to redeploy its management and financial resources to its core businesses.
In some situations, an insurer or reinsurer may wish to divest itself of a portfolio of non-core legacy business that may have been underwritten alongside other ongoing core business that the insurer or reinsurer does not want to dispose of. In such instances, we are able to provide economic finality for the insurer or reinsurer by providing a loss portfolio reinsurance contract to protect the insurer or reinsurer against deterioration of the non-core portfolio of loss reserves.
Alternatively, if the insurer or reinsurer hires a third party, such as us, to manage its run-off business, the insurer or reinsurer will, unlike in a sale of the business, receive little or no cash up front. Instead, the management arrangement may provide that the insurer or reinsurer will retain the profits, if any, derived from the run-off with certain incentive payments allocated to the run-off manager. By hiring a run-off manager, the insurer or reinsurer can outsource the management of the run-off business to experienced and capable individuals, while allowing its own management team to focus on the insurers or reinsurers core businesses.
Overall, the focus of our non-life run-off segment is to acquire companies or portfolios in run-off and to effectively manage the business previously acquired, in each case in ways that further our primary corporate objective.
Acquisition Process
We evaluate each acquisition opportunity presented by carefully reviewing the portfolios risk exposures, claim practices, reserve requirements and outstanding claims, and may seek an appropriate discount and/or seller indemnification to reflect the uncertainty contained in the portfolios reserves. Based on this initial analysis, we can determine if a company or portfolio of business would add value to our current portfolio of run-off businesses. If we determine to pursue the purchase of a company in run-off, we then proceed to price the acquisition in a manner we believe will result in positive operating results based on certain assumptions including, without limitation, our ability to favorably resolve claims, negotiate with direct insureds and reinsurers, and otherwise manage the nature of the risks posed by the business.
At the time we acquire a company in run-off, we estimate the fair value of assets and liabilities acquired based on external actuarial advice, as well as our own views of the exposures assumed. While we earn a larger share of our total return on an acquisition from disciplined claims management and/or commuting the liabilities that we have assumed, we also try to maximize reinsurance recoveries on the assumed portfolio of business as well as investment returns from the acquired investment portfolios.
Run-off Management
Following the purchase of a company in run-off, or acquisition of a portfolio of business in run-off, or a new consulting engagement to manage a company in run-off or portfolio of business, we strive to conduct the run-off in a disciplined and professional manner in order to efficiently discharge the liabilities associated with the business while preserving and maximizing its assets. Our approach to managing our acquired companies and portfolios of business in run-off, as well as run-off companies or
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portfolios of businesses we manage on behalf of third-party clients, includes, where possible, negotiating with third-party insureds and reinsureds to commute their insurance or reinsurance agreement (sometimes called policy buy-backs) for an agreed upon up-front payment by us, or the third-party client, and to more efficiently manage payment of insurance and reinsurance claims. We attempt to commute policies with direct insureds or reinsureds in order to eliminate uncertainty over the amount of future claims. Commutations and policy buy-backs provide an opportunity for the company to exit exposures to certain policies and insureds generally at a discount to the ultimate liability and provide the ability to eliminate exposure to further losses. Such a strategy also contributes to the reduction in the length of time and future cost of the run-off.
In certain lines of business, such as direct workers compensation insurance, commutations and policy buy-back opportunities are not typically available and our strategy with respect to these businesses is to derive value through efficient and effective management of claims.
An integral factor to our success is our ability to analyze, administer, manage and settle claims and related expenses, such as loss adjustment expenses. Our claims teams are located in different offices within our organization and provide global claims support. We have implemented effective claims handling guidelines along with claims reporting and control procedures in all of our claims units. All claims matters are reviewed regularly, with all material claims matters being circulated to and authorized by management prior to any action being taken in furtherance of our goal of appropriately handling claims and reporting them in accordance with our guidelines. Our claims management processes also include utilizing our extensive relationships and developed protocols to more efficiently manage outside counsel and other third parties, thereby reducing expenses. With respect to certain lines of business, we have arrangements with third-party administrators to manage and pay claims on our subsidiaries behalf and advise with respect to case reserves. These agreements generally set forth the duties of the third party administrators, limits of authority, indemnification language designed for our protection and various procedures relating to compliance with laws and regulations. These arrangements are also subject to review by our relevant claims departments, and we monitor these administrators on an ongoing basis.
Following the acquisition of a company in run-off, or acquisition of a portfolio of business in run-off, or new consulting engagement, we will spend time analyzing the acquired exposures and reinsurance receivables on a policyholder-by-policyholder basis in order to identify those we wish to approach to discuss commutation or policy buy-back. In addition, we will often be approached by policyholders or reinsurers requesting commutation or policy buy-back. We then carry out a full analysis of the underlying exposures in order to determine the viability of a proposed commutation or policy buy-back. From the initial analysis of the underlying exposures it may take several months, or even years, before a commutation or policy buy-back is completed. In a number of cases, if we and the policyholder or reinsurer are unable to reach a commercially acceptable settlement, the commutation or policy buy-back may not be achievable, in which case we will continue to settle valid claims from the policyholder, or collect reinsurance receivables from the reinsurer, as they become due.
Certain insureds and reinsureds are often willing to commute with us, subject to receiving an acceptable settlement, as this provides certainty of recovery of what otherwise may be claims that are disputed in the future, and often provides a meaningful up-front cash receipt that, with the associated investment income, can provide funds to meet future claim payments or even commutation of their underlying exposure. Therefore, subject to negotiating an acceptable settlement, many of our insurance and reinsurance liabilities and reinsurance receivables are able to be either commuted or settled by way of policy buy-back over time.
With regard to reinsurance recoverables, we manage cash flow by working with reinsurers, brokers and professional advisors to achieve fair and prompt payment of reinsured claims, taking
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appropriate legal action to secure receivables where necessary. We also attempt where appropriate to negotiate favorable commutations with our reinsurers by securing a lump sum settlement from reinsurers in complete satisfaction of the reinsurers past, present and future liability in respect of such claims. Properly priced commutations reduce the expense of adjusting direct claims and pursuing collection of reinsurance, realize savings, remove the potential future volatility of claims and reduce required regulatory capital.
Consulting Services
We provide consultancy services to third parties in the insurance and reinsurance industry primarily through our subsidiaries, the Cranmore companies, Enstar Limited, Enstar (US), Inc., and Kinsale Brokers Limited. The services we provide range from full-service incentive-based or fixed fee run-off management to bespoke solutions such as claims inspection, claims validation, reinsurance asset collection and IT consulting services. Paladin Managed Care Services, Inc., acquired in the SeaBright transaction, provides medical bill review, utilization review, physician case management and related services in the workers compensation area. In addition to third-party engagements, our consultancy companies also perform these services in-house for our Enstar companies, using their expertise to assist in managing our run-off portfolios and performing certain due diligence matters relating to new acquisitions.
Reserves for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expense
Applicable insurance laws and regulations and generally accepted accounting practices require us to maintain reserves to cover our estimated losses under insurance policies that we have assumed and for loss adjustment expenses, or LAE, relating to the investigation, administration and settlement of policy claims. Our LAE reserves consist of both reserves for allocated loss adjustment expenses, or ALAE, and for unallocated loss adjustment expenses, or ULAE. ALAE are linked to the settlement of an individual claim or loss, whereas ULAE reserve is based on our estimates of future costs to administer the claims.
We and our subsidiaries establish losses and LAE reserves for individual claims by evaluating reported claims on the basis of:
| our knowledge of the circumstances surrounding the claim; |
| the severity of the injury or damage; |
| the jurisdiction of the occurrence; |
| the potential for ultimate exposure; |
| the type of loss; and |
| our experience with the line of business and policy provisions relating to the particular type of claim. |
Because a significant amount of time can lapse between the assumption of risk, the occurrence of a loss event, the reporting of the event to an insurance or reinsurance company and the ultimate payment of the claim on the loss event, the liability for unpaid losses and LAE is based largely upon estimates. Our management must use considerable judgment in the process of developing these estimates. The liability for unpaid losses and LAE for property and casualty business includes amounts determined from loss reports on individual cases and amounts for losses incurred but not reported, or IBNR. Such reserves, including IBNR reserves, are estimated by management based upon loss reports received from ceding companies, supplemented by our own estimates of losses for which no ceding company loss reports have yet been received.
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In establishing reserves, management also considers actuarial estimates of ultimate losses. Our independent actuaries employ generally accepted actuarial methodologies and procedures to estimate ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses. Our loss reserves are largely related to casualty exposures and include latent exposures primarily relating to asbestos and environmental, as discussed below. In establishing the reserves for unpaid claims, management considers facts currently known and the current state of the law and coverage litigation. Liabilities are recognized for known claims (including the cost of related litigation) when sufficient information has been developed to indicate the involvement of a specific insurance policy, and management can reasonably estimate its liability. In addition, reserves are established to cover loss development related to both known and unasserted claims.
The estimation of unpaid claim liabilities is subject to a high degree of uncertainty for a number of reasons. Unpaid claim liabilities for property and casualty exposures in general are impacted by changes in the legal environment, jury awards, medical cost trends and general inflation. There is significant coverage litigation involved with these exposures which creates further uncertainty in the estimation of the liabilities. Therefore, for these types of exposures, it is especially unclear whether past claim experience will be representative of future claim experience. Ultimate values for such claims cannot be estimated using reserving techniques that extrapolate losses to an ultimate basis using loss development factors, and the uncertainties surrounding the estimation of unpaid claim liabilities are not likely to be resolved in the near future. There can be no assurance that the reserves established by us will be adequate or will not be adversely affected by the development of other latent exposures. The actuarial methods used to estimate ultimate loss and ALAE for our latent exposures are discussed below.
For the non-latent loss exposures, a range of traditional loss development extrapolation techniques is applied. Incremental paid and incurred loss development methodologies are the most commonly used methods. Traditional cumulative paid and incurred loss development methods are used where inception-to-date, cumulative paid and reported incurred loss development history is available. Incremental paid and incurred loss development methodologies are used where inception-to-date loss development data is not available. These methods assume that groups of losses from similar exposures will increase over time in a predictable manner. Historical paid and incurred loss development experience is examined for earlier underwriting years to make inferences about how later underwriting years losses will develop. For business related to recent accident years, the Bornhuetter-Ferguson approach (described in Item 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Critical Accounting Policies Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses All Other (Non-latent) Reserves) is used with consideration given to plan loss ratios and loss ratios for similar business in more mature accident years. Where company-specific loss information is not available or not reliable, industry loss development information published by reliable industry sources such as the Reinsurance Association of America is considered.
The reserving process is intended to reflect the impact of inflation and other factors affecting loss payments by taking into account changes in historical payment patterns and perceived trends. However, there is no precise method for the subsequent evaluation of the adequacy of the consideration given to inflation, or to any other specific factor, or to the way one factor may affect another.
The loss development tables below show changes, for our non-life run-off segment, in our gross and net loss reserves in subsequent years from the prior loss estimates based on experience as of the end of each succeeding year. The estimate is increased or decreased as more information becomes known about the frequency and severity of losses for individual years. A redundancy means the original estimate was higher than the current estimate; a deficiency means that the current estimate is higher than the original estimate. The Reserve redundancy line represents, as of the date indicated,
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the difference between the latest re-estimated liability and the reserves as originally estimated. Also included in the loss development tables below is the impact of foreign exchange rate movements during each year presented. Portions of our loss reserves relate to claims expected to be paid in currencies other than our reporting currency, the U.S. dollar. Movements in foreign exchange rates, therefore, result in variations in our estimated net loss reserves, and such variations are recognized as they arise in our consolidated statements of earnings. Conditions and trends that have affected development of the ultimate liability in the past may not necessarily occur in the future. Accordingly, it may not be appropriate to extrapolate redundancies or deficiencies into the future based on the tables below.
15
Gross Losses and |
December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reserves assumed |
$ | 1,047,313 | $ | 806,559 | $ | 1,214,419 | $ | 1,591,449 | $ | 2,798,287 | $ | 2,479,136 | $ | 3,291,275 | $ | 4,272,082 | $ | 3,650,127 | $ | 4,004,513 | $ | 3,435,010 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
1 year later |
900,274 | 909,984 | 1,227,427 | 1,436,051 | 2,661,011 | 2,237,124 | 3,057,032 | 3,980,811 | 3,447,375 | 3,675,218 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2 years later |
1,002,773 | 916,480 | 1,084,852 | 1,358,900 | 2,422,291 | 2,039,141 | 2,907,956 | 3,760,339 | 3,135,832 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3 years later |
1,012,483 | 853,139 | 1,020,755 | 1,284,304 | 2,245,557 | 1,943,121 | 2,748,708 | 3,457,277 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4 years later |
953,834 | 778,216 | 949,595 | 1,235,982 | 2,160,144 | 1,878,606 | 2,601,052 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5 years later |
879,504 | 733,151 | 905,043 | 1,216,989 | 2,110,715 | 1,823,181 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6 years later |
835,488 | 717,413 | 889,681 | 1,206,093 | 2,076,360 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 years later |
820,168 | 715,574 | 881,416 | 1,187,637 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8 years later |
819,018 | 719,867 | 864,771 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9 years later |
823,429 | 719,076 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10 years later |
823,169 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reserve redundancy |
$ | 224,144 | $ | 87,483 | $ | 349,649 | $ | 403,812 | $ | 721,927 | $ | 655,955 | $ | 690,223 | $ | 814,805 | $ | 514,295 | $ | 329,295 | $ | | ||||||||||||||||||||||
December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross Paid Losses |
2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1 year later |
$ | 110,193 | $ | 117,666 | $ | 90,185 | $ | 407,692 | $ | 364,440 | $ | 377,159 | $ | 430,284 | $ | 699,487 | $ | 463,052 | $ | 619,438 | $ | | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2 years later |
226,225 | 198,407 | 197,751 | 575,522 | 727,205 | 575,814 | 808,213 | 1,091,516 | 835,576 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3 years later |
305,913 | 268,541 | 353,032 | 688,946 | 912,401 | 768,828 | 1,050,863 | 1,407,829 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4 years later |
375,762 | 402,134 | 423,731 | 726,332 | 1,095,603 | 898,643 | 1,273,649 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5 years later |
509,319 | 442,624 | 455,414 | 772,070 | 1,216,762 | 1,033,946 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6 years later |
549,033 | 458,532 | 481,114 | 822,094 | 1,342,439 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 years later |
564,900 | 477,456 | 527,804 | 879,784 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8 years later |
583,225 | 515,762 | 583,969 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9 years later |
621,418 | 564,174 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10 years later |
669,466 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net Losses and Loss |
December 31, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reserves assumed |
$ | 736,660 | $ | 593,160 | $ | 872,259 | $ | 1,163,485 | $ | 2,403,712 | $ | 2,131,408 | $ | 2,765,835 | $ | 2,889,079 | $ | 2,773,907 | $ | 2,882,980 | $ | 2,634,301 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
1 year later |
653,039 | 590,153 | 875,636 | 1,034,588 | 2,216,928 | 1,851,268 | 2,533,710 | 2,731,215 | 2,524,247 | 2,553,732 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2 years later |
652,195 | 586,059 | 753,551 | 950,739 | 1,940,472 | 1,673,922 | 2,422,811 | 2,486,405 | 2,208,555 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3 years later |
649,355 | 532,804 | 684,999 | 874,961 | 1,783,372 | 1,596,536 | 2,274,204 | 2,193,988 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4 years later |
600,939 | 454,933 | 611,182 | 816,039 | 1,719,195 | 1,527,355 | 2,085,025 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5 years later |
531,666 | 408,270 | 557,109 | 797,815 | 1,664,375 | 1,457,990 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6 years later |
485,392 | 388,471 | 543,052 | 782,676 | 1,617,183 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 years later |
466,303 | 385,410 | 531,279 | 755,346 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8 years later |
464,060 | 386,128 | 505,972 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9 years later |
464,899 | 377,448 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10 years later |
457,086 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reserve redundancy |
$ | 279,574 | $ | 215,713 | $ | 366,287 | $ | 408,139 | $ | 786,529 | $ | 673,418 | $ | 680,811 | $ | 695,091 | $ | 565,352 | $ | 329,248 | $ | | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net Paid Losses |
2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1 year later |
$ | 78,488 | $ | 79,398 | $ | 43,896 | $ | 112,321 | $ | 247,823 | $ | 250,635 | $ | 313,642 | $ | 326,110 | $ | 209,221 | $ | 299,629 | $ | | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2 years later |
161,178 | 125,272 | (70,430 | ) | 243,146 | 480,102 | 381,820 | 601,029 | 471,195 | 380,476 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3 years later |
206,351 | (14,150 | ) | 58,228 | 324,735 | 603,875 | 530,845 | 805,020 | 594,539 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4 years later |
67,191 | 102,776 | 108,109 | 347,215 | 752,318 | 640,974 | 946,521 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5 years later |
184,150 | 132,405 | 128,567 | 376,674 | 857,605 | 733,183 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6 years later |
212,822 | 143,252 | 150,412 | 419,383 | 945,106 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 years later |
223,944 | 158,503 | 191,829 | 459,747 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8 years later |
238,658 | 191,589 | 231,988 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9 years later |
271,647 | 226,554 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10 years later |
307,284 |
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The following table provides a reconciliation of the liability for losses and LAE, net of reinsurance ceded, for our non-life run-off segment:
Years Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
2014 | 2013 | 2012 | ||||||||||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars) | ||||||||||||
Balance as at January 1 (1) |
$ | 4,004,513 | $ | 3,650,127 | $ | 4,272,082 | ||||||
Less: total reinsurance reserves recoverable |
1,121,533 | 876,220 | 1,383,003 | |||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
2,882,980 | 2,773,907 | 2,889,079 | ||||||||||
Net increase (reduction) in ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities: |
||||||||||||
Current period |
24,235 | 74,139 | | |||||||||
Prior periods |
(288,946 | ) | (257,114 | ) | (237,953 | ) | ||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
Total net reduction in ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities |
(264,711 | ) | (182,975 | ) | (237,953 | ) | ||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
Net losses paid: |
||||||||||||
Current period |
(87,681 | ) | (10,656 | ) | | |||||||
Prior periods |
(312,415 | ) | (360,124 | ) | (314,528 | ) | ||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
Total net losses paid |
(400,096 | ) | (370,870 | ) | (314,528 | ) | ||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
Effect of exchange rate movement |
(49,267 | ) | 4,936 | 14,833 | ||||||||
Acquired on purchase of subsidiaries |
436,765 | 557,476 | | |||||||||
Assumed business |
28,630 | 100,506 | 422,476 | |||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
Net balance as at December 31 |
2,634,301 | 2,882,980 | 2,773,907 | |||||||||
Plus: total reinsurance reserves recoverable |
800,709 | 1,121,533 | 876,220 | |||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
Balance as at December 31 |
$ | 3,435,010 | $ | 4,004,513 | $ | 3,650,127 | ||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) | We reclassified outstanding losses and loss adjustment expenses of $11.0 million and $10.8 million to policy benefits for life and annuity contracts as at January 1, 2013 and 2012, respectively, to conform to the current period presentation. These amounts are associated with Laguna Life Limited, which now forms part of our life and annuities segment that was established following the acquisition of the Pavonia companies. |
In the table above, net reduction in ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities represents changes in estimates of prior period net losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities comprising net incurred loss movements during the period and changes in estimates of net IBNR liabilities. Net incurred loss movements during the period comprise increases or reductions in specific case reserves advised during the period to us by our policyholders and attorneys, or by us to our reinsurers, less claims settlements made during the period by us to our policyholders, plus claim receipts made to us by our reinsurers. Prior period estimates of net IBNR liabilities may change as our management considers the combined impact of commutations, policy buy-backs, settlement of losses on carried reserves and the trend of incurred loss development compared to prior forecasts.
Commutations provide an opportunity for us to exit exposures to entire policies with insureds and reinsureds, often at a discount to the previously estimated ultimate liability. Commutations are beneficial to us as they extinguish liabilities and reduce the potential for future adverse loss development. All prior historical loss development that relates to commuted exposures is eliminated to produce revised historical loss development for the remaining non-commuted exposures. Our independent actuaries apply their actuarial methodologies to the remaining aggregate exposures and revised historical loss development information to reassess their estimates of ultimate liabilities, and, after managements review of and, if necessary, adjustments to those estimates, we reassess our estimate of IBNR reserves.
17
Policy buy-backs provide an opportunity for us to settle individual policies and losses usually at a discount to carried advised loss reserves. As part of our routine claims settlement operations, claims will settle at either below or above the carried advised loss reserve. The impact of policy buy-backs and the routine settlement of claims updates historical loss development information to which actuarial methodologies are applied often resulting in revised estimates of ultimate liabilities. Our actuarial methodologies include industry benchmarking which, under certain methodologies compares the trend of our loss development to that of the industry. To the extent that the trend of our loss development compared to the industry changes in any period, it is likely to have an impact on the estimate of ultimate liabilities.
The following table provides a reconciliation between net reserve redundancy per the loss development triangle above and total net reduction in ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities in our non-life run-off segment for the years ended December 31, 2014, 2013 and 2012:
Years Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
2014 | 2013 | 2012 | ||||||||||
(in millions of U.S. dollars) | ||||||||||||
Net reserve redundancy |
$ | 329.2 | $ | 249.7 | $ | 157.9 | ||||||
Foreign exchange movement |
(52.0 | ) | (0.2 | ) | 14.8 | |||||||
Net reduction in ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities relating to companies and portfolios acquired during the year |
7.2 | 13.4 | (2.1 | ) | ||||||||
Premium and commission adjustments triggered by incurred losses |
4.5 | (5.8 | ) | 22.6 | ||||||||
Claremont novation settlement |
| | 44.8 | |||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
Net reduction in ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities relating to prior periods |
$ | 288.9 | $ | 257.1 | $ | 238.0 | ||||||
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|
|
|
|
Information regarding net reduction in ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities for our non-life run-off segment is discussed further in Item 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Results of Operations by Segment Non-Life Run-Off Segment.
General A&E Exposures
A number of our subsidiaries wrote general liability policies and reinsurance (prior to their acquisition by us) under which policyholders continue to present asbestos-related injury claims and claims alleging injury, damage or clean-up costs arising from environmental pollution. These policies, and the associated claims, are referred to as A&E exposures. The vast majority of these claims are presented under policies written many years ago.
There is a great deal of uncertainty surrounding A&E claims. This uncertainty impacts the ability of insurers and reinsurers to estimate the remaining amount of unpaid claims and related LAE. The majority of these claims differ from any other type of claim because there is inadequate loss development and there is significant uncertainty regarding what, if any, coverage exists, to which, if any, policy years claims are attributable and which, if any, insurers/reinsurers may be liable. These uncertainties are exacerbated by lack of clear judicial precedent and legislative interpretations of coverage that may be inconsistent with the intent of the parties to the insurance contracts and expand theories of liability. The insurance and reinsurance industry as a whole is engaged in extensive litigation over these coverage and liability issues and is, thus, confronted with continuing uncertainty in its efforts to quantify A&E exposures.
Our A&E exposure is administered out of our offices in the United Kingdom and Rhode Island and centrally administered from the United Kingdom. In light of the intensive claim settlement process for these claims, which involves comprehensive fact gathering and subject matter expertise, our
18
management believes that it is prudent to have a centrally administered claim facility to handle A&E claims on behalf of all of our subsidiaries. Our A&E claims staff, working in conjunction with our in-house attorneys experienced in A&E liabilities, proactively administers, on a cost-effective basis, the A&E claims submitted to our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries.
Our independent, external actuaries use industry benchmarking methodologies to estimate appropriate IBNR reserves for our A&E exposures. These methods are discussed in detail in Item 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Critical Accounting Policies Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses.
The liability for unpaid losses and LAE, inclusive of A&E reserves, reflects our best estimate for future amounts needed to pay losses and related LAE as of each of the balance sheet dates reflected in the financial statements herein in accordance with U.S. GAAP. As of December 31, 2014, we had net loss reserves of $324.8 million for asbestos-related claims (or 12.3% of total non-life run-off net reserves for losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities) and $64.3 million for environmental pollution-related claims (or 2.4% of total non-life run-off net reserves for losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities). The following table provides a reconciliation of our gross and net loss and ALAE reserves from A&E exposures and the movement in gross and net reserves:
Years Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
2014 | 2013 | 2012 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross | Net | Gross | Net | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||||||||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Provisions for A&E claims and ALAE at January 1 |
$ | 539,494 | $ | 480,865 | $ | 628,643 | $ | 557,551 | $ | 702,801 | $ | 621,487 | ||||||||||||
A&E losses and ALAE incurred during the year |
(11,369 | ) | (12,914 | ) | (15,512 | ) | (15,594 | ) | (308 | ) | (5,882 | ) | ||||||||||||
A&E losses and ALAE paid during the year |
(88,649 | ) | (78,841 | ) | (88,984 | ) | (74,208 | ) | (73,850 | ) | (58,054 | ) | ||||||||||||
Provision for A&E claims and ALAE acquired during the year |
| | 15,347 | 13,116 | | | ||||||||||||||||||
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|
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Provision for A&E claims and ALAE at |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
December 31 |
$ | 439,476 | $ | 389,110 | $ | 539,494 | $ | 480,865 | $ | 628,643 | $ | 557,551 | ||||||||||||
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For the years ended December 31, 2014 and 2013, our reserves for A&E liabilities decreased by $100.0 million and $89.2 million on a gross basis, respectively, and by $91.8 million and $76.7 million on a net basis, respectively. The reductions in gross reserves arose from paid claims, successful commutations, policy buy-backs, generally favorable claim settlements during the year and reductions in IBNR resulting from actuarial analysis of remaining liabilities.
Asbestos continues to be the most significant and difficult mass tort for the insurance industry in terms of claims volume and expense. We believe that the insurance industry has been adversely affected by judicial interpretations that have had the effect of maximizing insurance recoveries for asbestos claims, from both a coverage and liability perspective. Generally, only policies underwritten prior to 1986 have potential asbestos exposure, since most policies underwritten after this date contain an absolute asbestos exclusion.
From 2001 through 2003 the industry experienced increasing numbers of asbestos claims, including claims from individuals who did not appear to be impaired by asbestos exposure. Since 2003,
19
however, new claim filings have been fairly stable. It is possible that the increases observed in the early part of the decade were triggered by various state tort reforms (discussed immediately below). We cannot predict whether claim filings will return to pre-2004 levels, remain stable, or begin to decrease.
Since 2001, several U.S. states have proposed, and in many cases enacted, tort reform statutes that impact asbestos litigation by, for example, making it more difficult for a diverse group of plaintiffs to jointly file a single case, reducing forum-shopping by requiring that a potential plaintiff must have been exposed to asbestos in the state in which he/she files a lawsuit, or permitting consolidation of discovery. These statutes typically apply to suits filed after a stated date. When a statute is proposed or enacted, asbestos defendants often experience a marked increase in new lawsuits, as plaintiffs attorneys seek to file suit before the effective date of the legislation. Some of this increased claim volume likely represents an acceleration of valid claims that would have been brought in the future, while some claims will likely prove to have little or no merit. As many of these claims are still pending, we cannot predict what portion of the increased number of claims represent valid claims. Also, the acceleration of claims increases the uncertainty surrounding projections of future claims in the affected jurisdictions.
During the same timeframe as tort reform, the U.S. federal and various U.S. state governments sought comprehensive asbestos reform to manage the growing court docket and costs surrounding asbestos litigation, in addition to the increasing number of corporate bankruptcies resulting from overwhelming asbestos liabilities. Whereas the federal government has failed to establish a national asbestos trust fund to address the asbestos problem, several states, including Texas and Florida, have implemented a medical criteria reform approach that only permits litigation to proceed when a plaintiff can establish and demonstrate actual physical impairment.
Much like tort reform, asbestos litigation reform has also spurred a significant increase in the number of lawsuits filed in advance of the laws enactment. We cannot predict whether the drop off in the number of filed claims is due to the accelerated number of filings or an actual trend in the decline of alleged asbestos injuries.
Environmental Pollution Exposures
Environmental pollution claims represent another significant exposure for us. However, environmental pollution claims have been developing as expected over the past few years as a result of stable claim trends. Claims against Fortune 500 companies are generally declining, and while insureds with single-site exposures are still active, in many cases claims are being settled for less than initially anticipated due to improved site remediation technology and effective policy buy-backs.
Despite the stability of recent trends, there remains significant uncertainty involved in estimating liabilities related to these exposures. Unlike asbestos claims which are generated primarily from allegedly injured private individuals, environmental claims generally result from governmentally initiated activities. First, the number of waste sites subject to cleanup is unknown. Over 1,000 sites are included on the National Priorities List (NPL) of the United States Environmental Protection Agency. State authorities have separately identified many additional sites and, at times, aggressively implement site cleanups. Second, the liabilities of the insureds themselves are difficult to estimate. At any given site, the allocation of remediation cost among the potentially responsible parties varies greatly depending upon a variety of factors. Third, as with asbestos liability and coverage issues, judicial precedent regarding liability and coverage issues regarding pollution claims does not provide clear guidance. There is also uncertainty as to the U.S. federal Superfund law itself and, at this time, we cannot predict what, if any, reforms to this law might be enacted by the U.S. federal government, or the effect of any such changes on the insurance industry.
20
Atrium
Our Atrium segment is comprised of the active underwriting operations and financial results of Northshore Holdings Limited, a holding company that owns Atrium and its subsidiaries and Arden. We acquired Atrium on November 25, 2013 and Arden on September 9, 2013.
Atrium and its subsidiaries are an underwriting business at Lloyds of London, which manages Syndicate 609 and provides approximately 25% of the Syndicates underwriting capacity (with the balance provided by traditional Lloyds Names). Atrium has offices in London, the U.S., Canada, and Singapore. Generally speaking, Atrium continues to operate in accordance with the underwriting and other business strategies established pre-acquisition, although we and Trident continually review these strategies and business goals and expect to develop synergies with our existing business operations over time.
Arden is a Bermuda-based reinsurance company that provides reinsurance to Atrium (through an approximately 65% quota share reinsurance arrangement with Atrium 5 Ltd, an Atrium subsidiary, which is eliminated upon consolidation) and is currently in the process of running off certain other discontinued businesses. Results related to Ardens discontinued business are included within our non-life run-off segment.
Lines of Business Underwritten
Syndicate 609 provides insurance and reinsurance on a worldwide basis including the United States, Europe, the Far East and Australasia. Atrium specializes in a wide range of industry classes, including accident and health, aviation, marine, property, liability, reinsurance, upstream energy and war and terrorism. Lloyds business is often underwritten on a subscription basis across the insurance market. Atrium is the lead underwriter in approximately 35% of the business it underwrites.
Lloyds is a surplus lines insurer and an accredited reinsurer in all U.S. states and territories, and a licensed (or admitted) insurer in Illinois, Kentucky and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Gross premiums written by line of business for the Atrium segment for the year ended December 31, 2014 were as follows:
Year Ended December 31, 2014 |
% of Total Gross Written Premium |
|||||||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars) | ||||||||
Marine |
$ | 23,531 | 15.2 | % | ||||
Property and Casualty Binding Authorities |
29,355 | 19.0 | % | |||||
Upstream Energy |
19,162 | 12.4 | % | |||||
Reinsurance |
12,710 | 8.2 | % | |||||
Accident and Health |
15,837 | 10.3 | % | |||||
Non-Marine Direct and Facultative |
17,204 | 11.2 | % | |||||
Liability |
18,300 | 11.9 | % | |||||
Aviation |
7,883 | 5.1 | % | |||||
War and Terrorism |
10,266 | 6.7 | % | |||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
Total |
$ | 154,248 | 100.0 | % | ||||
|
|
|
|
A description of each of these lines of business follows:
Marine. The Marine line of business is a worldwide portfolio writing marine hull, cargo, fine art and specie, marine and energy liability and total loss only business. This includes hull all risks, hull total loss interests, yachts, fishing vessels, ship construction, ports, cable construction and cable operating
21
risks, tows, mortgages interests, port property, war risks and a number of other specialist areas of marine insurance. Cargo, fine art and specie includes exporters, museums, auction houses, jewelers, banks and security houses. Business is written on a direct, reinsurance, proportional and excess of loss basis.
Property and Casualty Binding Authorities. The property and casualty binding authority portfolio includes a broad range of small and medium business entity insurance products offered across the U.S. and Canada. Typical property risks include commercial, vacant and hard-to-place residential dwellings. Typical casualty risks include owners, landlords and tenants, business owners, artisan, special events and various niche products. Business is written through both traditional binding authorities as well as online binding authorities through AUGold, Atriums proprietary online system that is used by brokers.
Upstream Energy. The upstream energy line of business is split into two main categories of assureds: operators (private and publically quoted companies, national oil companies and Oil Insurance Limited members) and contractors (for drilling, service and construction entities). The principal coverage is physical damage/business interruption, control of well and associated pollution, construction and Gulf of Mexico windstorm and other natural catastrophe perils. Nearly all of the upstream energy line of business is sourced through Lloyds brokers, with the significant majority written on a facultative basis and a smaller amount written on a treaty basis.
Reinsurance. The reinsurance line is a worldwide portfolio and includes aviation reinsurance, casualty reinsurance, property reinsurance, and marine reinsurance. Business is mainly written on a risk excess of loss, catastrophe excess of loss or retrocessional basis. Aviation reinsurance is written through an underwriting consortium managed by Atrium.
Accident and Health. The accident and health line is a global account that encompasses a wide range of classes, including group and individual disability, personal accident, travel insurance, medical expenses, aviation personal accident, war risks, kidnap and ransom insurance, and sports accident insurance. The line includes both insurance and reinsurance business, written as facultative placements and under delegated underwriting facilities and both proportional and non-proportional treaties.
Non-Marine Direct and Facultative. The non-marine direct and facultative portfolio includes a diverse mix of property business offered in both the international and U.S. markets, comprised of physical loss or damage, business interruption, extra expense, construction, contingency and pecuniary loss risks in respect of onshore property and onshore engineered risks. The majority of this line of business is written through Lloyds brokers and under delegated underwriting facilities.
Liability. The liability line of business includes a professional liability North American portfolio of products covering a diverse range of classes including architects, consultants and lawyers and also a miscellaneous range encompassing many different professions. Included within this line of business is international liability, which is a book of primary coverholder business covering the security, leisure and hotel industries. The majority of business is produced through delegated binding authority contracts.
Aviation. The aviation portfolio includes all aspects of aviation insurance, with Atrium specializing in rotor wing and non-major airlines. The majority of the account is sourced through London brokers as direct or facultative reinsurance of a local reinsurer. This line of business also includes a space account which covers launch as well as in-orbit risks and is written through an underwriting consortium managed by Atrium.
War and Terrorism. The war and terrorism line includes aviation war, marine war, and terrorism. Aviation war covers hull war and other perils commonly excluded from hull and liability all risk policies.
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Atrium leads a number of the major marine war contracts in London. This line also includes political violence business, in which Atrium focuses on writing with security consultants engaged to provide risk or country surveys.
Distribution
Most of the business in the Atrium segment is placed through insurance and reinsurance brokers, although some of our insurance business is also placed through managing general agents. Atrium seeks to develop relationships with insurance and reinsurance brokers, insurance and reinsurance companies, large global corporations and financial intermediaries to develop and underwrite business. For the year ended December 31, 2014, independent brokers Marsh Inc., Willis Group Holdings Ltd. and Aon Benfield Group Ltd. accounted for approximately 31% of Atriums gross premiums written, as described in the table below:
Broker/Agent |
2014 | |||
Marsh & McLennan Companies |
12.0 | % | ||
Willis Group |
11.0 | % | ||
Aon Benfield |
8.0 | % | ||
Others (individually less than 8%) |
69.0 | % | ||
|
|
|||
100.0 | % | |||
|
|
Managing Agency Services
Atrium receives a managing agency fee of 0.7% of Syndicate 609 capacity and a 20% profit commission based on the net earnings of Syndicate 609, pursuant to its management contract. Atrium also receives management fees and profit commission from the management of underwriting consortiums. These fees and profit commission are included within fees and commission income in our consolidated statement of earnings.
Claims Management
Claims in respect of business written by Syndicate 609 are primarily notified by various central market bureaus. Where a syndicate is a leading syndicate on a Lloyds policy, its underwriters and claims adjusters work directly with the broker or insured on behalf of itself and the following market for any particular claim. This may involve appointing attorneys or loss adjusters. The claims bureaus and the leading syndicate advise movement in loss reserves to all syndicates participating on the risk. Our claims department may adjust the case reserves it records from those advised by the bureaus as deemed necessary.
Reinsurance Ceded
On an annual basis Atrium purchases a tailored outwards reinsurance program designed to manage its risk profile. The majority of Atriums total third party reinsurance cover is with Lloyds Syndicates or other highly rated reinsurers.
Reserves for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expense
The reserves for unpaid reported losses and loss expenses are established by management based on reports from brokers, ceding companies and insureds and represent the estimated ultimate cost of events or conditions that have been reported to, or specifically identified by us. The reserve for incurred but not reported losses and loss expenses is established by management based on actuarially determined estimates of ultimate losses and loss expenses. Inherent in the estimate of ultimate losses
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and loss expenses are expected trends in claim severity and frequency and other factors which may vary significantly as claims are settled. Accordingly, ultimate losses and loss expenses may differ materially from the amounts recorded in the consolidated financial statements. These estimates are reviewed regularly and, as experience develops and new information becomes known, the reserves are adjusted as necessary. Such adjustments, if any, will be recorded in earnings in the period in which they become known. Prior period development arises from changes to loss estimates recognized in the current year that relate to loss reserves established in previous calendar years.
The following table provides a reconciliation of the liability for losses and LAE, net of reinsurance ceded in our Atrium segment:
Years Ended December 31, |
||||||||
2014 | 2013 | |||||||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars) |
||||||||
Balance as at January 1 |
$ | 215,392 | $ | | ||||
Less: total reinsurance reserves recoverable |
25,055 | | ||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
190,337 | | |||||||
Acquired on purchase of subsidiaries |
| 200,374 | ||||||
Effect of exchange rate movement |
(3,821 | ) | 1,286 | |||||
Net increase (reduction) in ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities: |
||||||||
Current period |
74,094 | 19,303 | ||||||
Prior periods |
(18,666 | ) | | |||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
Total net increase in ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities |
55,428 | 19,303 | ||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
Net losses paid: |
||||||||
Current period |
(29,626 | ) | (30,626 | ) | ||||
Prior periods |
(27,985 | ) | | |||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
Total net losses paid |
(57,611 | ) | (30,626 | ) | ||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
Net balance as at December 31 |
184,333 | 190,337 | ||||||
Plus: total reinsurance reserves recoverable |
28,278 | 25,055 | ||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
Balance as at December 31 |
$ | 212,611 | $ | 215,392 | ||||
|
|
|
|
Torus
Our Torus segment is comprised of the active underwriting operations and financial results of Bayshore Holdings Limited, a holding company that owns Torus and its subsidiaries. We acquired Torus on April 1, 2014. Results relating to Torus run-off lines of business are included within our non-life run-off segment.
Torus is a global specialty insurer and holding company of six wholly-owned insurance vehicles, including Lloyds Syndicate 1301. Following the Torus acquisition, a new management team was put in place comprising senior leaders from Torus, Enstar, Stone Point Capital, and outside talent, which has focused on executing underwriting strategy and improving operational effectiveness and efficiency.
Lines of Business Underwritten
Torus conducts its business primarily as a direct insurer, underwriting general property, marine, onshore and offshore energy, construction, power and utility, aviation, space, casualty, healthcare, and
24
workers compensation risks, as well as professional liability and management liability. Torus also writes a reinsurance account (both treaty and facultative reinsurance depending on the line of business) in personal accident, property and certain classes of marine liabilities to insurance companies on a worldwide basis.
Gross premiums written by line of business for the Torus segment from the date of acquisition to December 31, 2014 were as follows:
Year Ended December 31, 2014 |
% of Total Gross Written Premium |
|||||||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars) | ||||||||
Marine and Excess Casualty |
$ | 70,826 | 13.8 | % | ||||
Property |
118,479 | 23.1 | % | |||||
Aviation and Space |
86,446 | 16.9 | % | |||||
Workers Compensation |
51,442 | 10.0 | % | |||||
Casualty: |
||||||||
U.S. Excess Casualty |
106,049 | 20.7 | % | |||||
Healthcare |
36,698 | 7.2 | % | |||||
U.S. Management and Professional Liability |
17,805 | 3.5 | % | |||||
Non-U.S. Management and Professional Liability |
15,429 | 3.0 | % | |||||
Accident and Health |
9,045 | 1.8 | % | |||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
Total Casualty |
185,026 | 36.2 | % | |||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
Total |
$ | 512,219 | 100.0 | % | ||||
|
|
|
|
Marine and excess casualty. The marine and excess casualty line of business includes a diverse portfolio of marine business underwritten across the Lloyds and London markets and Continental Europe (writing hull, cargo, marine and energy liabilities, war and terrorism, and specie insurance, either on a standalone basis or within multiline packages) and international excess casualty (focusing on large commercial and industrial risks through Torus Lloyds and London platforms).
Property. The property portfolio comprises a diverse book of property insurance that serves a global client base, including general property, onshore energy, upstream and offshore energy, power and utilities and construction business. Most lines are written on a full value, primary, excess of loss or quota share basis.
Aviation and space. The aviation and space line serves a global client base with respect to aviation products written on an admitted and/or excess and surplus lines basis in all 50 U.S. states, with facultative general aviation and products business underwritten through Torus Lloyds platform. The line also includes airline insurance, focusing on low cost carriers and regional operators, European general aviation broker lineslips, aviation terrorism and war hull insurance, as well as space in-orbit and launch risks.
Workers compensation. The workers compensation line of business consists of U.S. policies written for employers on a multiple state, federal acts, applicable common law and/or traditional state act coverage basis. Torus portfolio includes a range of industries, including energy, maritime, automotive dealers, construction, healthcare, oil and gas, and manufacturing businesses. Business is written on a direct basis through partnerships with independent agents, managing general underwriters, and select wholesale brokers throughout the U.S.
Casualty. The casualty portfolio consists of Torus U.S. excess casualty, global management and professional liability, global healthcare, and personal accident lines.
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U.S. excess casualty. Torus provides umbrella, excess and retained limit products to U.S. clients across a range of market segments and small to mid-market businesses. Business is underwritten through traditional platforms as well as Torus proprietary online underwriting system, Escape, and through the use of managing general agent programs.
Healthcare. The healthcare line includes U.S. healthcare products written on a direct or reinsurance basis to clients such as acute care centers, nursing homes, small hospitals, physician groups, senior living facilities and others.
U.S. management and professional liability. Torus provides primary management and professional liability products for clients worldwide through its specialist underwriting teams located in the U.S. This line of business includes directors and officers, employment practices liability, and fiduciary liability coverage to private, not-for-profit and micro-cap public companies. The line also includes lawyers professional liability and commercial errors and omissions liability.
Non-U.S. management and professional liability. Torus provides management and professional liability coverage internationally, including for directors and officers of companies ranging from small, family-owned companies and not-for-profit organizations to publicly listed, multinational corporations across numerous industry segments, as well as financial institutions. Clients include, among others, architects, accountants, engineers, real estate agents, solicitors, investment advisors, business consultants, IT professionals, and media companies.
Accident and health. The accident and health line, written through Torus Lloyds Syndicate 1301, includes a wide variety of worldwide risks, such as specialist aviation and marine crew personal accident and loss of license coverage, as well as accidental death, permanent and temporary disability, and sports / high net worth individual business.
Torus Lloyds Syndicate 1301
Torus Lloyds Syndicate 1301 is managed by Lloyds managing agency, Torus Underwriting Management Limited. Through Syndicate 1301, Torus offers a variety of products for small and middle market clients, as well as multinational organizations, across several specialty lines of business. Lloyds business includes: accident and health, sports personal accident, loss of license, aviation, construction, excess casualty, marine cargo, hull and liability, property direct and facultative, property binders, power and utilities, specie and fine art, U.S. healthcare, and war and terrorism.
In addition to underwriting business directly at Lloyds in London, Torus provides local access to the Lloyds market across Continental Europe, including in France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and Switzerland. U.S. healthcare business can be written locally from Torus Jersey City, New Jersey office through Torus U.S. Intermediaries Inc., a Lloyds-approved service company.
Distribution
Most of the business in the Torus segment is placed through insurance and reinsurance brokers and managing general agents. Torus seeks to develop relationships with insurance and reinsurance brokers, insurance and reinsurance companies, corporations and financial intermediaries to develop and underwrite business. Torus also reviews opportunities to renew select business from Enstar acquisitions, where the business is aligned with its growth strategy. In addition to traditional, field-based underwriting platforms, Torus utilizes two online broker portals: Escape (in its U.S. excess casualty business) and XPRESS (in its European management and professional liability business).
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We had an ownership interest in Torus only for nine months in 2014, but for illustrative purposes, independent brokers Marsh Inc., Willis Group Holdings Ltd. and Aon Benfield Group Ltd. accounted for approximately 36% of Torus gross premiums written for the year ended December 31, 2014, as described in the table below:
Broker/Agent | 2014 | |||
Marsh & McLennan Companies |
14.0 | % | ||
Willis Group |
11.0 | % | ||
Aon Benfield |
11.0 | % | ||
Others (individually less than 10%) |
64.0 | % | ||
|
|
|||
100.0 | % | |||
|
|
Claims Management
Claims in respect of business written by Syndicate 1301 and Torus other London market business are primarily notified by various central market bureaus. The claims bureaus and the leading syndicate advise movement in loss reserves to all syndicates participating on the risk. Our claims department may adjust the case reserves it records from those advised by the bureaus as deemed necessary.
Claims in respect of non-bureau business are handled by Torus experienced claims professionals. Torus uses claims handling guidelines along with a global claims management system to review, report and administer claims. With respect to certain lines of business, Torus may use third-party administrators to manage and pay claims on its behalf and advise with respect to case reserves.
Reinsurance Ceded
On an annual basis, Torus purchases a tailored outwards reinsurance program designed to manage its risk profile. The majority of Torus total third party reinsurance cover is with highly rated reinsurers or is collateralized by letters of credit.
Reserves for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expense
The reserves for unpaid reported losses and loss expenses are established by management based on reports from brokers, ceding companies and insureds and represent the estimated ultimate cost of events or conditions that have been reported to, or specifically identified by us. The reserve for incurred but not reported losses and loss expenses is established by management based on actuarially determined estimates of ultimate losses and loss expenses. Inherent in the estimate of ultimate losses and loss expenses are expected trends in claim severity and frequency and other factors which may vary significantly as claims are settled. Accordingly, ultimate losses and loss expenses may differ materially from the amounts recorded in the consolidated financial statements. These estimates are reviewed regularly and, as experience develops and new information becomes known, the reserves are adjusted as necessary. Such adjustments, if any, will be recorded in earnings in the period in which they become known. Prior period development arises from changes to loss estimates recognized in the current year that relate to loss reserves established in previous calendar years.
27
The following table provides a reconciliation of the liability for losses and LAE, net of reinsurance ceded in our Torus segment:
April 1, 2014 to December 31, 2014 |
||||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars) |
||||
Balance as at April 1 |
$ | | ||
Less: total reinsurance reserves recoverable |
| |||
|
|
|||
| ||||
Acquired on purchase of subsidiaries |
464,682 | |||
Effect of exchange rate movement |
(16,716 | ) | ||
Net increase (reduction) in ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities: |
||||
Current period |
229,488 | |||
Prior periods |
(11,059 | ) | ||
|
|
|||
Total net increase in ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities |
218,429 | |||
|
|
|||
Net losses paid: |
||||
Current period |
(49,489 | ) | ||
Prior periods |
(80,315 | ) | ||
|
|
|||
Total net losses paid |
(129,804 | ) | ||
|
|
|||
Net balance as at December 31 |
536,591 | |||
Plus: total reinsurance reserves recoverable |
325,209 | |||
|
|
|||
Balance as at December 31 |
$ | 861,800 | ||
|
|
Life and Annuities
Our life and annuities segment consists of the operations of our subsidiaries managing our closed-block of life and annuity business, which primarily consists of the companies we acquired in the Pavonia acquisition on March 31, 2013. The Pavonia business operates out of our New Jersey office. The segment also includes Laguna Life Limited, a small Irish-based closed-life company formerly known as CitiLife Financial Limited, which we acquired from Citigroup Insurance Holding Corporation in 2011.
We have also signed a definitive agreement to acquire NSA, which is anticipated to close during the second quarter of 2015. The transaction is expected to add life policy benefits of approximately $121.0 million to this segment, comprised of credit and traditional life insurance business that we will operate in run-off.
Similar to our non-life run-off segment, our life and annuities companies are no longer writing new policies, however, unlike that segment, these companies continue to generate premiums with respect to their in-force policies.
Our strategy in the life and annuities segment differs from our non-life business, in particular because we have limited ability to shorten the duration of the liabilities of these businesses through either early claims settlement, commutations or policy buy-backs. Instead, we hold the policies to their natural maturity or lapse, while aiming to efficiently manage our invested assets in those businesses to match the duration and cash flows of the liability profile, and will pay claims as they come due.
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Annuities
The current operations of one of the Pavonia companies relate solely to the assumption of a closed block of structured settlement, lottery, and other immediate annuities (also known as the periodic payment annuity, or PPA, business). The company no longer writes new business. Reserves relating to the PPA business constitute approximately 77% of the aggregate reserves of the Pavonia companies as at December 31, 2014. The contracts within the portfolio are largely structured settlements, although the portfolio also includes a smaller amount of lottery annuities and supplementary contracts.
The PPA business was issued from 1982 to 1995, although the majority of the reserves pertain to the period from 1985 to 1989. The contracts within the portfolio operate pursuant to a variety of different payment features, such as life contingency payments, certain payments (or a combination thereof), one-time lump payments, or payments patterns such as level, compound increase or fixed amount increase payments. Regardless of payment structure, however, the portfolio generally has known and predictable cash flows, which makes the asset liability matching process and the mitigation of interest rate risk a vital component to our management of this portfolio. We have a long duration held-to-maturity investment portfolio designed to manage the cash flow obligations of the PPA business.
Life Business
The other operations of the acquired Pavonia companies relate to non-annuity portfolios, which include credit life and disability insurance, term life insurance, and corporate owned life insurance and assumed reinsurance of term and ordinary life and accidental death and dismemberment products sold in the U.S. and Canada. The operations of Laguna Life Limited include term life insurance primarily sold in the U.K. and Europe. This business is shorter in duration than that of the PPA business and, given the premium income associated with these portfolios, the reserves (based upon net present value of future cash flows) remain highly sensitive to lapse rates as well as mortality rates.
Life and Annuity Benefits and Claims Reserves
We estimate our life and annuity benefit and claim reserves on a present value basis using standard actuarial techniques and cash flow models. We establish and maintain our life and annuity reserves at a level that we estimate will, when taken together with future premium payments and investment income expected to be earned on associated premiums, be sufficient to support future cash flow benefit obligations and third party servicing obligations as they become payable.
The table below summarizes our policy benefits for life and annuity contracts as at December 31, 2014 and 2013:
2014 | 2013 | |||||||
Life |
$ | 344,215 | $ | 380,874 | ||||
Annuities |
938,121 | 963,323 | ||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
1,282,336 | 1,344,197 | |||||||
Fair value adjustments |
(61,472 | ) | (71,097 | ) | ||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
$ | 1,220,864 | $ | 1,273,100 | |||||
|
|
|
|
See the Policy Benefits for Life and Annuity Contracts discussion in Item 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operation for discussion of our reserves in this segment.
29
Financial Strength Ratings
In our active underwriting businesses, financial strength ratings are an important factor in establishing competitive position and in product marketing. Financial strength ratings by third party organizations provide an opinion of an insurers or reinsurers financial strength and ability to meet ongoing obligations to its policyholders. Lloyds ratings apply to business written through Syndicate 609 and to business written through Torus Syndicate 1301. Lloyds is rated A (Excellent) by A.M. Best, A+ (Strong) by Standard and Poors (or S&P) and AA- (Very Strong) by Fitch Ratings. Torus operating insurance entities have been assigned a financial strength rating of A- (Excellent) by A.M. Best.
These ratings reflect A.M. Bests, S&Ps, and Fitchs opinions of capitalization, performance and management, and are not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold our securities. These ratings may be changed, suspended or withdrawn at the discretion of the agencies. The A.M. Best rating for Torus of A- (Excellent) by A.M. Best is the fourth highest of 16 rating levels.
Refer to Item 1A. Risk Factors, Downgrades of financial strength ratings at Torus or Lloyds could materially and negatively impact our active underwriting business and our company for more information regarding the importance of financial strength ratings.
Competition
Our non-life run-off and life and annuities business segments compete in international markets with domestic and international reinsurance companies to acquire and manage insurance and reinsurance companies in run-off and portfolios of insurance and reinsurance business in run-off. The acquisition and management of companies and portfolios in run-off is highly competitive, and driven by a number of factors, including proposed acquisition price, reputation, and financial resources. Some of these competitors have greater financial resources than we do, have been operating for longer than we have and have established long-term and continuing business relationships throughout the insurance and reinsurance industries, which can be a significant competitive advantage. As a result, we may not be able to compete successfully in the future for suitable acquisition candidates or run-off portfolio management engagements.
Our Atrium and Torus active underwriting segments operate in the highly competitive insurance and reinsurance markets, where companies compete on the basis of many factors, including premium rates, reputation and perceived financial strength, the terms and conditions of the products offered, ratings assigned by independent rating agencies, speed of claims payments and quality of administrative services, relationships with insurance and reinsurance companies and insurance intermediaries, capacity and coverage offered, experience in the particular risk to be underwritten, and various other factors.
Atrium and Torus compete in the international insurance and reinsurance markets directly with numerous other parties, including established global insurance and reinsurance companies, start-up insurance and reinsurance entities, other Lloyds syndicates, as well as capital markets and securitization structures aimed at managing risk. Many of these competitors have significant operating histories, underwriting expertise and capacity, extensive capital resources, and longstanding customer relationships. Any of these factors can be a significant competitive advantage and may make it difficult for us to write business effectively and profitably. Because few barriers exist to prevent insurers and reinsurers from entering the non-life active underwriting business, market conditions and capital capacity influence the degree of competition at any specific point in time. Periods of intense competition, which typically include broader coverage terms, lower prices and excess underwriting capacity, are referred to as a soft market, while a favorable insurance market is referred to as a hard market and is characterized by stricter coverage terms, higher prices and lower underwriting capacity.
30
Historically, the performance of the non-life active underwriting business has tended to fluctuate in cyclical periods of price competition and excess underwriting capacity, followed by periods of high premium rates and shortages of underwriting capacity. This cyclical market pattern can be more pronounced in the specialty insurance and reinsurance markets in which Atrium and Torus compete.
Employees
As of December 31, 2014, we had 1,201 employees. All non-Bermudian employees who operate out of our Bermuda office are subject to governmental approval of Bermuda work permits. None of our employees are covered by collective bargaining agreements, and our management believes that our relationship with our employees is excellent.
The table below summarizes the total number of employees we had as at December 31, 2014 and 2013 by operating segment:
2014 | 2013 | |||||||
Non-life run-off |
521 | 529 | ||||||
Atrium |
157 | 161 | ||||||
Torus |
474 | | ||||||
Life and annuities |
49 | 49 | ||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||
Total |
1,201 | 739 | ||||||
|
|
|
|
With our acquisition of Companion on January 27, 2015, we added approximately 120 employees to our non-life run-off segment.
Financial Information About Geographic Areas
The following table summarizes our gross premiums written by each of our operating segments by geographic area. Geographic distribution in subsequent years is subject to variation based upon market conditions and business strategies.
Non-Life Run-off | Atrium | Torus | Life and Annuities | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total | % | Total | % | Total | % | Total | % | Total | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands of U.S. dollars, except percentages) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
United States |
$ | 110 | 0.9 | % | $ | 82,355 | 53.3 | % | $ | 204,301 | 39.9 | % | $ | 91,847 | 81.2 | % | $ | 378,613 | 47.7 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
United Kingdom |
10,329 | 80.5 | % | 8,434 | 5.5 | % | 230,943 | 45.1 | % | 1,291 | 1.1 | % | 250,997 | 31.7 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Europe |
859 | 6.7 | % | 9,898 | 6.4 | % | 76,975 | 15.0 | % | 2,597 | 2.3 | % | 90,329 | 11.4 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Asia |
| 0.0 | % | 8,582 | 5.6 | % | | 0.0 | % | | 0.0 | % | 8,582 | 1.1 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rest of World |
1,520 | 11.9 | % | 44,979 | 29.2 | % | | 0.0 | % | 17,395 | 15.4 | % | 63,894 | 8.1 | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total |
$ | 12,818 | 100.0 | % | $ | 154,248 | 100.0 | % | $ | 512,219 | 100.0 | % | $ | 113,130 | 100.0 | % | $ | 792,415 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
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In our non-life run-off segment, excluding net premiums earned, our revenues from external customers included fees and commission income from management, consulting and other services through our subsidiaries located in Bermuda, the United States, the United Kingdom and Australia. Given the global nature of the clients and the risks, extracting and quantifying the fees and commission income attributable to certain geographic locations would be impracticable.
In our Atrium segment, excluding net premiums earned, revenues included fees and commissions earned primarily in the United Kingdom, although Atrium also has offices in the United States, Canada and Singapore.
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Investments
We derive a significant portion of our income from our invested assets. As a result, our operating results depend in part on the performance of our investment portfolio. Because of the unpredictable nature of losses that may arise under our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries insurance or reinsurance policies and as a result of our opportunistic commutation strategy in our non-life run-off business, our liquidity needs can be substantial and may arise at any time. Except for that portion of our portfolio that is invested in non-investment grade securities, we generally follow a conservative investment strategy designed to emphasize the preservation of our invested assets and provide sufficient liquidity for the prompt payment of claims and contract liabilities, as well as for settlement of commutation payments.
As of December 31, 2014, we had cash and cash equivalents, inclusive of restricted amounts, of approximately $1.5 billion. Our cash and cash equivalent portfolio is comprised mainly of cash, high-grade fixed deposits, commercial paper with maturities of less than three months at the time of acquisition and money market funds. As of December 31, 2014, we held investments on our balance sheet of approximately $6.0 billion. Our investment portfolio consists primarily of investment grade, liquid, fixed maturity securities of short-to-medium duration, equities and other investments.
Across all of our segments, we strive to structure our investments in a manner that recognizes our liquidity needs for future liabilities. In that regard, we attempt to correlate the maturity and duration of our investment portfolio to our general liability profile. If our liquidity needs or general liability profile unexpectedly change, we may adjust the structure of our investment portfolio to meet new business needs.
We utilize various companies to provide investment advisory and/or management services. We have agreed to pay investment management fees to the managers. These fees, which vary depending on the amount of assets under management, are included in net investment income. The total fees we paid to our investment managers for the year ended December 31, 2014 were approximately $9.5 million, including approximately $1.3 million to our largest single investment manager.
Our investment performance is subject to a variety of risks, including risks related to general economic conditions, market volatility, interest rate fluctuations, foreign exchange risk, liquidity risk and credit and default risk. Interest rates are highly sensitive to many factors, including governmental monetary policies, domestic and international economic and political conditions and other factors beyond our control. A significant increase in interest rates could result in significant losses, realized or unrealized, in the value of our investment portfolio. A portion of our non-investment grade securities consists of alternative investments that subject us to restrictions on redemption, which may limit our ability to withdraw funds for some period of time after the initial investment. The values of, and returns on, such investments may also be more volatile. For more information on these risks, refer to Item 1A. Risk Factors Risks Relating to Our Investments.
As of December 31, 2014 and 2013, our aggregate invested assets included:
| cash and cash equivalents, inclusive of restricted amounts; |
| a trading portfolio of fixed maturity securities, short-term investments and equities as well as an available-for-sale portfolio of fixed maturity securities and short-term investments, all of which are recorded at fair value on our balance sheet; |
| a held-to-maturity portfolio of fixed maturity securities, supporting our annuity business within Pavonia, which are recorded at amortized cost on our balance sheet; and |
| investments in various private equity, fixed income, fixed income hedge, equity, real estate debt and collateralized loan obligation (CLO) equity funds, along with direct investments in CLO equities, all of which are recorded at fair value on our balance sheet. |
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The fair value of our aggregate invested assets by type and by classification for the years ended December 31, 2014 and 2013 were as follows:
As at December 31, 2014 | As at December 31, 2013 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fair Value of Invested Assets by Type | Fair Value of Invested Assets by Type | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Trading | Held-to Maturity |
Available- for-Sale |
Total | Trading | Held-to Maturity |
Available- for-Sale |
Total | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In thousands of U.S. dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed maturities and short-term investments: |
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U.S. government and agency |
$ | 744,660 | $ | 20,559 | $ | 24,342 | $ | 789,561 | $ | 439,946 | $ | 18,132 | $ | 28,343 | $ | 486,421 | ||||||||||||||||
Non-U.S. government |
368,945 | 38,689 | 70,494 | 478,128 | 476,224 | 22,327 | 86,292 | 584,843 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Corporate |
1,986,873 | 767,124 | 101,056 | 2,855,053 | 2,123,675 | 759,100 | 77,904 | 2,960,679 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Municipal |
25,607 | | | 25,607 | 41,034 | | | 41,034 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Residential mortgage-backed |
308,621 | | 3,243 | 311,864 | 218,457 | | 17,507 | 235,964 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Commercial mortgage-backed |
139,907 | | | 139,907 | 114,637 | | | 114,637 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Asset-backed |
388,194 | | 41,976 | 430,170 | 248,748 | | 36,318 | 285,066 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total fixed maturity and short-term investments |
3,962,807 | 826,372 | 241,111 | 5,030,290 | 3,662,721 | 799,559 | 246,364 | 4,708,644 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Equities |
150,130 | | | 150,130 | 182,033 | | | 182,033 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other investments |
836,868 | | | 836,868 | 569,293 | | | 569,293 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents |
963,402 | | | 963,402 | 643,841 | | | 643,841 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Restricted cash and cash equivalents |
534,974 | | | 534,974 | 397,657 | | | 397,657 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total aggregate invested assets at fair value |
$ | 6,448,181 | $ | 826,372 | $ | 241,111 | $ | 7,515,664 | $ | 5,455,545 | $ | 799,559 | $ | 246,364 | $ | 6,501,468 | ||||||||||||||||
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For additional information regarding our investment portfolio, refer to Item 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Liquidity and Capital Resources Investments.
Enterprise Risk Management (ERM)
Risk assumption is inherent in our business and appropriately setting risk appetite and executing our business strategies in accordance therewith is key to our performance. Effective risk oversight is an important priority for our Boards of Directors (both at the Company level and at a subsidiary level), and we place strong emphasis on ensuring we have a robust risk management framework to identify, measure, manage, report and monitor risks that affect the achievement of our strategic, operational and financial objectives.
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The overall objective of our risk management framework is to support good risk governance, support the achievement of business objectives and provide overall benefits to us by adding value to the control environment, and contributing to an effective business strategy, efficiency in operations and processes, strong financial performance, accurate financial reporting, regulatory compliance, a good reputation with key stakeholders, business continuity planning, and capital planning.
Risk Governance and Risk Management Organization
Our enterprise risk management, or ERM, consists of numerous processes and controls that have been designed by our senior management (including our risk management team), with oversight by our Board of Directors and its committees, management by our executive leaders, and implementation by employees across our organization.
Board of Directors
The Board of Directors and its committees have risk oversight responsibility and play an active role in overseeing management of the risks we face. Our Audit Committee, comprised entirely of independent directors, oversees our risk management framework, reviews our overall risk appetite with input from management, reviews our risk management methodologies and oversees managements execution of our risk management objectives. Our Investment Committee is responsible for overseeing investment-related risk, including those related to cash and investment portfolio and investment strategy; our Compensation Committee oversees compensation-related risks; and our Nominating and Governance Committee is responsible for overseeing corporate governance-related risks.
Executive and Risk Management Organization
In addition to director oversight, our ERM governance structure is directed by our ERM steering committees, which include senior management and members of the global executive team. The committees provide oversight and governance of our ERM initiatives, oversee the operation of our internal controls, attempt to mitigate identified risks within appetite, and provide analysis to management in order to appropriately manage and govern the business and the associated risks on a day-to-day basis.
Our Risk Management department focuses primarily on implementing and overseeing the administration of the ERM steering committees directives and facilitating an efficient, effective and consistent approach to risk management across our Group. Our Internal Audit department independently reviews the effectiveness of our risk management framework. The results of audits are monitored by the Audit Committee. Our other executive management committees have oversight of specific risk management processes, including, for example, those relating to underwriting and reserving matters.
Entity Level Management
At the operating subsidiary level, risks attendant to our individual insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries are also overseen by the subsidiary boards of directors, subsidiary risk committees and other committees, and management teams, consistent with applicable regulatory requirements and our risk management framework.
Certain risks related to our Atrium and Torus segments are distinct from our non-life run-off and life and annuities segments, and these businesses include external stakeholders that also differ from our other businesses, including our joint venture partners, rating agencies, and, with respect to Atrium, third-party Lloyds names who provide approximately 75% of the underwriting capacity to Syndicate 609. Accordingly, in addition to the Group oversight of risks attendant to our active underwriting businesses, Atrium and Torus each maintain dedicated risk governance and management frameworks to manage risk, return and capital in the individual businesses, which fit into and form part of our Group ERM
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practices. These frameworks include oversight at the Atrium and Torus holding company boards of directors, as well as executive risk committees and other committees that manage and monitor risks relevant to specified functional areas. Individualized risk policies and risk appetites are established and tailored to the specific needs of Atrium and Torus, respectively. Enstar senior executives serve as members of the Atrium and Torus boards of directors and certain committees.
Each regulated insurance and reinsurance subsidiary has its own risk register documenting its risk landscape with risk and control owners assigned, which is maintained through a risk management software system. The Group information technology department maintains risk registers with more detailed IT-specific risks at jurisdictional level.
We conduct the risk assessment process on a quarterly or biannual basis for the Group and for each of our regulated insurance and reinsurance subsidiary companies. The assessment process is facilitated and recorded using a risk management software system. The risk management department reviews and consolidates these risk assessments on a quarterly basis and aggregates the assessment at a jurisdictional and Group level to facilitate discussion and challenge and to assess the overall risk categories.
We recognize the importance of information technology and management of data in supporting our businesses, and we utilize a number of technology platforms to assist in our ERM, underwriting, financial and regulatory reporting processes and procedures across our organization. We review and seek to enhance our technological systems on an ongoing basis.
Risk Appetite
Our risk appetite framework considers material risks in our business relating to, among other things, strategic risk, acquisition risk, reserving risk, market risk, credit/counterparty risk, regulatory/reputational risk, operational risk, and various active underwriting risks. Our risk appetite is established at the Group level and represents the amount of risk that we are willing to accept compared to risk metrics based on our shareholders equity, capital resources, potential financial loss, and other risk-specific measures. Risk levels are monitored and any deviations from pre-established levels are reported in order to facilitate responsive action.
Our non-life run-off and life and annuities operating subsidiaries derive individual risk appetites and risk level monitoring consistent with the Group-wide framework. These are managed by the subsidiary boards of directors and management teams, with ultimate oversight by the Audit Committee.
Atrium and Torus establish individual risk appetites unique to each business and aligned with the Group-wide risk management framework. Atrium and Torus risk appetites are set in conjunction with annual business planning and include, among other things, risk tolerances with respect to individual lines of business. We consider and review risk aggregation across our active underwriting businesses.
Risk Categories
We manage our ERM process based on the following major categories of risk within our business. Our ERM is a dynamic process, with updates continually being made as a result of changes in our business, industry and the economic environment. This process and our controls cannot provide absolute assurance that our risk management objectives will be met or that all risks will be appropriately identified and managed, and accordingly, the possibility of material adverse effects on our company remains. See Item 1A. Risk Factors for important information on the risks we face.
Strategic Risk. Strategic risk is the risk of unintended adverse impact on the business plan objectives arising from business decisions, improper implementation of those decisions, ability to adapt to changes in the external environment, or circumstances that are beyond our control. We manage strategic risk by utilizing a strategic business planning process involving our executive management
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and Board of Directors. Our annual business plan is reviewed and overseen by our executive management and Board of Directors, and actual performance, trends, and uncertainties are monitored in comparison to the plan throughout the year. We specifically evaluate acquisition opportunities pursuant to a detailed and proprietary process that takes into account, among other things, the risk of the transaction and potential returns, the portfolios risk exposures, claim practices, reserve requirements and outstanding claims, as well as risks specifically related to our ability to integrate the acquired business. Our governance process, led by our Board of Directors, reviews newly proposed transaction opportunities, capital-raising matters, and other significant business initiatives.
Insurance Risk. Insurance risk refers to the risks spanning many aspects of our insurance operations, including risk assumed upon acquisitions/portfolio transfers, risk associated with our reserving assumptions, and life and annuities portfolio risk. We manage these risks through our acquisition evaluation process, reserving practices discussed above in Operating Segments, as well as through our commutation and policy buy-back strategy and claims management practices.
Market Risk. Market risk is the risk of loss resulting from underperforming investment returns, dilution of invested capital, or adverse financial market movements (such as interest rates or exchange rates). Investments are primarily managed by our Investment Department, which is overseen by our Investment Committee. We manage market risk in a number of ways, including use of investment guidelines, regular reviews of investment opportunities, market conditions, and portfolio duration, oversight of the selection and performance of external asset managers, regular stress testing of the portfolio against known and hypothetical scenarios against established tolerance levels, and, where possible, foreign currency asset/liability matching.
Liquidity Risk. Liquidity risk is the risk that we are unable to realize investments and other assets in order to settle financial obligations when they fall due or that we would have to incur excessive cost to do so. We manage this risk generally by following a conservative investment strategy designed to emphasize the preservation of our invested assets and provide sufficient liquidity for the prompt payment of claims and contract liabilities, as well as for settlement of commutation payments. Liquidity risk also includes the risk of our dependence of our future cash flows upon the availability of dividends or other statutorily permissible payments from our subsidiaries, which is limited by applicable laws and regulations. We manage this risk through our capital planning processes, which include reviews of minimum capital resources requirements at our regulated subsidiaries and anticipated distributions, as well as anticipated capital needs.
Credit / Counterparty Risk. Credit and counterparty risk is the risk of a change in the value of receivables, reinsurance recoverables, or investments due to the failure or inability of counterparties to meet contractual obligations. In our run-off businesses, we manage credit risk with respect to our reinsurance recoverables by ongoing monitoring of counterparty ratings, working to achieve prompt payment of reinsured claims, as well as through our commutation strategy. In our active underwriting businesses, we firstly mitigate credit risk through our reinsurance purchasing process, where reinsurers are subject to financial security and rating requirements prior to approval and by limiting of exposure to individual reinsurers. Thereafter we manage credit risk by the regular monitoring of reinsurance recoveries and premium due directly or via brokers and other intermediaries. In our fixed maturity and short-term investment portfolios, which represent approximately 50.5% of our total assets, we attempt to mitigate credit risk through diversification and issuer exposure limitation.
Operational Risk. Operational risk is the risk of a loss arising from inadequate or failed internal processes, or from external events, personnel, systems or third parties. Due to our acquisitive strategy, operational risk also includes risks and challenges associated with integrating new companies into the Group. We seek to mitigate operational risks through the application of our policies and procedures and internal control and compliance processes throughout the Group and a focus on acquisition
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integration and assimilation of new companies into our internal control systems, including but not limited to business continuity planning, information security procedures, financial reporting controls and a review process for material third-party vendor usage.
Reputational Risk. Reputational risk is the risk that an act or omission by us or any of our employees could result in damage to our reputation or loss of trust among our stakeholders. We manage reputational risk through a focus on compliance with laws and regulations, adherence to our policies and procedures (including our Code of Conduct) and our internal controls, an established corporate governance framework and practices, and communication and engagement with external stakeholders.
Active Underwriting Risk. Underwriting risk in our active underwriting businesses relates to the inherent uncertainty as to the occurrence, amount and timing of insurance liabilities we assume through our underwriting process. Our Atrium and Torus subsidiaries manage exposure levels across risk categories to maintain them within the approved risk appetite. Underwriting risk management strategies may differ depending on the line of business involved and the type of account being insured or reinsured.
We strive to mitigate underwriting risk through numerous controls and strategies, including diversification of our portfolios by class and geography, purchasing reinsurance, establishing a business plan and associated parameters, underwriting peer review, authority limits, underwriting guidelines that provide detailed underwriting criteria and a framework for pricing, along with the use of specialized underwriting teams supported by actuarial, catastrophe modeling, claims, risk management, legal, finance, and other technical personnel.
In some business lines we are exposed to multiple insured losses arising out of a single occurrence or catastrophe, such as a natural catastrophe event (for example, a hurricane, windstorm, tornado, flood or earthquake) or a man-made event (for example, war, terrorism, airplane crashes and other transportation-related accidents, or building fires). We model and manage our individual and aggregate exposures to these catastrophic events and other material correlated exposures in accordance with our risk appetite.
Atrium manages its underwriting exposure through a combination of reporting zonal aggregations, realistic disaster scenarios and stochastic modeling. For U.S. natural perils, Atrium uses a major commercial vendor model to monitor its exposure to catastrophe risk.
Torus manages its underwriting exposure primarily through monitoring: (i) probable maximum loss (or PML) for natural catastrophe risk, (ii) realistic disaster scenarios for man-made events and certain natural catastrophe risks, and (iii) applying absolute maximum limits by line of business. Torus also uses a major commercial vendor model to monitor its overall exposure to natural catastrophe risk in correlated geographic zones.
Individual Atrium and Torus lines of business utilize internally developed pricing models to evaluate individual underwriting decisions within the context of business plans and risk appetites. Atrium and Torus each use internally developed capital models as a comprehensive tool for business and capital planning, which include providing information on key risks and facilitating an understanding of the interaction among the risks and related exposures.
The incidence, timing and severity of catastrophes and other event types are inherently unpredictable and it is difficult to estimate the amount of loss any given occurrence will generate. Accordingly, there is material uncertainty around our ability to measure exposures, which can cause actual exposures and losses to deviate from our estimates.
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Regulation
General
The business of insurance and reinsurance is regulated in most countries, although the degree and type of regulation varies significantly from one jurisdiction to another. We have a significant presence in Bermuda, the United Kingdom, the United States and Australia, as well as some European countries, and are subject to extensive regulation under the applicable statutes in these countries. A summary of the material regulations governing us in these countries is set forth below.
With our acquisitive strategy, we may become subject in the future to regulation in new jurisdictions or additional regulations in existing jurisdictions depending on the location and nature of any companies acquired. In addition, regulatory authorities may seek to regulate insurance entities that operate within a group regardless of their domiciliary jurisdictions. If an insurer were to be supervised as part of a group, the insurer could become subject to additional regulation. While we are not currently group supervised, it is possible that a regulator having regulatory authority over certain of our subsidiaries could determine in the future that some or all of those subsidiaries should also be supervised by such regulator as a group, which could lead to increased regulation of our companies.
Bermuda
Enstar Group Limited is not itself currently subject to Bermuda insurance regulations. However, the Insurance Act 1978 of Bermuda and related regulations, as amended, or, together, the Insurance Act, regulate the insurance and reinsurance business of our operating subsidiaries in Bermuda. The Insurance Act imposes certain solvency and liquidity standards and auditing and reporting requirements and grants the Bermuda Monetary Authority, or BMA, powers to supervise, investigate, require information and the production of documents and intervene in the affairs of insurance companies.
Significant requirements pertaining to our regulated Bermuda subsidiaries vary depending on the class in which our company is registered, but generally include the appointment of a principal representative in Bermuda, the appointment of an independent auditor, the appointment of an approved loss reserve specialist, the filing of annual statutory financial statements, the filing of statutory financial returns, compliance with group solvency and supervision rules (if applicable), and compliance with the Insurance Code of Conduct (relating to corporate governance, risk management and internal controls).
Our regulated Bermuda subsidiaries must also comply with a minimum liquidity ratio and minimum solvency margin. The minimum liquidity ratio requires that the value of relevant assets must not be less than 75% of the amount of relevant liabilities. The minimum solvency margin, which varies depending on the class of the insurer, is determined as a percentage of either net reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses or premiums or pursuant to a risk-based capital measure. Torus Insurance (Bermuda) Limited, our Class 4 insurer domiciled in Bermuda, which continues to underwrite new business, is subject to an enhanced capital requirement (or ECR) determined pursuant to a risk-based capital measure.
Each of our regulated Bermuda subsidiaries would be prohibited from declaring or paying any dividends if it were in breach of its minimum solvency margin or liquidity ratio or if the declaration or payment of such dividends would cause it to fail to meet such margin or ratio. In addition, each of our regulated Bermuda subsidiaries is prohibited, without the prior approval of the Bermuda regulator, from reducing by 15% or more its total statutory capital as set out in its previous years statutory financial statements. Our Bermuda insurance companies that are in run-off are required to seek BMA approval for any dividends or distributions.
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The BMA has established a group supervision framework for insurance groups. The BMA does not act as group supervisor for Enstar or our subsidiaries; it previously acted as the group supervisor of our Torus group, but during 2014 determined it would no longer do so. If the BMA were to become a group supervisor for our companies, we would expect it to, among other things, assess the groups compliance with the BMAs solvency rules, perform ongoing supervisory review and assessment of the groups financial position and governance systems, coordinate the gathering and dissemination of relevant or essential information, and convene and conduct supervisory discussions with other supervisory authorities that have regulatory oversight over entities within the group.
The BMA maintains supervision over the controllers of all Bermuda registered insurers, and accordingly, any person who, directly or indirectly, becomes a holder of at least 10%, 20%, 33% or 50% of our ordinary shares must notify the BMA in writing within 45 days of becoming such a holder (or ceasing to be such a holder). The BMA may object to such a person and require the holder to reduce its holding of ordinary shares and direct, among other things, that voting rights attaching to the ordinary shares shall not be exercisable.
United Kingdom and Lloyds
United Kingdom
Our U.K.-based insurance subsidiaries consist primarily of run-off companies and Torus Insurance (UK) Limited (acquired April 1, 2014), which is continuing to underwrite new business. These subsidiaries are regulated by the U.K. Prudential Regulatory Authority, or the PRA, and the Financial Conduct Authority, or the FCA, which together replaced the Financial Services Authority effective April 1, 2013 (we collectively refer to the PRA and FCA in this section as the U.K. Regulator). Our U.K. run-off subsidiaries may not underwrite new business. E.U. directives also allow certain of our regulated U.K. subsidiaries to conduct business in E.U. states other than the U.K. within the scope of permission granted by the U.K. Regulator without the necessity of additional licensing or authorization in E.U. countries.
Our U.K.-based insurance subsidiaries are required to maintain adequate financial resources in accordance with the requirements of the U.K. Regulator. The calculation of the minimum capital resources requirements in any particular case depends on, among other things, the type and amount of insurance business written and claims paid by the insurance company.
In addition, the U.K. Regulators Individual Capital Adequacy Standards framework, or ICAS framework, requires insurance companies to carry out various capital modeling and risk management exercises in order to calculate a company-specific Individual Capital Assessment amount, or ICA amount, which is the companys internal calculation of its capital requirements under the ICAS framework. For companies in run-off, the U.K. Regulator typically requires specific loadings to be applied to a companys ICA (as stipulated by the U.K. Regulator) in order to calculate a companys Individual Capital Guidance (ICG), which represents the amount of capital a company is required to hold. This is intended to ensure a company holds sufficient capital such that there is no material risk that its liabilities cannot be met as they fall due.
In 2009, the European Parliament approved the Solvency II framework directive. Solvency II is expected to take effect in January 2016, although our U.K. subsidiaries have been preparing for compliance in advance of that date. Solvency II will set out new, strengthened E.U.-wide requirements on capital adequacy and risk management for insurers with the aim of increasing policyholder protection, instilling greater risk awareness and improving the international competitiveness of E.U. insurers.
The U.K. Regulators rules require our U.K. insurance subsidiaries to obtain regulatory approval for any proposed or actual payment of a dividend. The U.K. Regulator uses the ICG and the estimated capital requirement for Solvency II purposes when assessing requests to make distributions.
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Under the Financial Services and Markets Act of 2000 (or FSMA), any company or individual (together with its or his concert parties) proposing to directly or indirectly acquire control over a U.K. authorized insurance company (which is generally defined as acquiring 10% or more of the shares or voting power in a U.K. authorized insurance company or its parent company) must seek prior approval of the U.K. Regulator of his intention to do so. A person who is already deemed to have control will require prior regulatory approval of if the person increases the level of control beyond 20%, 30% and 50%.
Lloyds
We participate in the Lloyds market through our interests in: (i) Atriums Syndicate 609; (ii) Shelbourne, which consists of an approved Lloyds managing agent, a corporate member and Syndicate 2008, a wholly aligned syndicate that has permission to underwrite RITC and other run-off or discontinued business type transactions with other Lloyds syndicates; and (iii) Torus Syndicate 1301 and Torus Underwriting Management Limited (the Lloyds managing agent for this syndicate).
Our Lloyds operations are subject to regulation by the U.K. Regulator and compliance with the Lloyds Act(s) and Byelaws and regulations, as well as the applicable provisions of the FSMA. The Council of Lloyds has wide discretionary powers to regulate members underwriting, and its exercise of these powers might affect the return on an investment of the corporate member in a given underwriting year. This discretion includes the ability to assess up to 3% of a members underwriting capacity in any one year as a Central Fund contribution.
The underwriting capacity of a member of Lloyds must be supported by providing a deposit (referred to as Funds at Lloyds) in the form of cash, securities or letters of credit in an amount determined under the ICA. The amount of the Funds at Lloyds is assessed annually and is determined by Lloyds in accordance with the capital adequacy rules established by the U.K. Regulator.
Business plans, including maximum underwriting capacity, for Lloyds syndicates requires annual approval by the Lloyds Franchise Board, which may require changes to any business plan or additional capital to support underwriting plans.
In order to achieve finality and to release their capital, Lloyds members are usually required to have transferred their liabilities through an approved RITC, such as offered by Syndicate 2008. RITC is generally put in place after the third year of operations of a syndicate year of account. On successful conclusion of RITC, any profit from the syndicates operations for that year of account can be remitted by the managing agent to the syndicates members.
The Lloyds market is currently in the Solvency II internal model application process under Lloyds supervision. Our Lloyds operations will therefore be required to meet Solvency II standards when they come into effect.
Lloyds approval is required before any person can acquire control of a Lloyds managing agent or Lloyds corporate member.
United States
Our insurance and reinsurance companies domiciled in the U.S. consist of property and casualty companies and life and annuities companies in run-off, as well as Torus Specialty Insurance Company (a U.S. excess and surplus lines insurer) and Torus National Insurance Company (a U.S. admitted insurer that is licensed in all 50 states and the District of Columbia), both of which continue to issue
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new policies. Our U.S. insurers are subject to extensive governmental regulation and supervision by the states in which they are domiciled, licensed and/or eligible to conduct business. The insurance laws and regulations of the state of domicile have the most significant impact on operations.
Generally, regulatory authorities have broad regulatory powers over such matters as licenses, standards of solvency, premium rates, policy forms, marketing practices, claims practices, investments, security deposits, restrictions on size of risks that may be insured under a single policy, methods of accounting, form and content of financial statements, reserves and provisions for unearned premiums, unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, reinsurance, minimum capital and surplus requirements, dividends and other distributions to shareholders, periodic examinations, annual and other report filings, and transactions among affiliates.
U.S. insurers are also required to maintain minimum levels of solvency and liquidity as determined by law, and to comply with risk-based capital requirements and licensing rules. Insurers having less statutory surplus than required by the risk-based capital calculation will be subject to varying degrees of regulatory action. If any of our U.S. insurers were to have risk-based capital levels that are below required levels, they would be subject to increased regulatory scrutiny and control by their domestic and possibly other insurance regulators. As of December 31, 2014, all of our U.S. insurers exceeded their required levels of risk-based capital.
Applicable insurance laws also limit the amount of dividends or other distributions our U.S. insurers can pay to us. The insurance regulatory limitations are generally based on statutory net income and/or certain levels of statutory surplus as determined by the insurers state or states of domicile. Generally, prior regulatory approval must be obtained before an insurer may pay a dividend or make a distribution above a specified level.
All states have enacted legislation regulating insurance holding company systems that requires each insurance company in the system to register with the insurance department of its state of domicile and furnish information concerning the operations of companies within the holding company system that may materially affect the operations, management or financial condition of the insurers within the system. In 2010, the NAIC adopted amendments to the Insurance Holding Company System Regulatory Act and Regulation, which have taken effect in some states in which our U.S. insurers are domiciled and may be adopted in other states in the future. The amendments impose more extensive informational requirements on parents and other affiliates of licensed insurers with the purpose of protecting them from enterprise risk, including requiring an annual enterprise risk report by the ultimate controlling person of the insurers identifying the material risks within the insurance holding company system that could pose enterprise risk to the insurers and requiring a person divesting its controlling interest to make a confidential advance notice filing.
The NAIC has also adopted the Risk Management and Own Risk and Solvency Assessment Model Act, which requires insurers to maintain a risk management framework and establishes a legal requirement for insurers or their insurance group to conduct an Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA) in accordance with the NAICs ORSA Guidance Manual. The ORSA Model Act has been adopted in states in which certain of our U.S. insurers are domiciled with a January 1, 2015 effective date. We currently anticipate that our U.S. domiciled insurers will meet the exemption from the requirements of the ORSA Model Act for insurers and reinsurers domiciled in the U.S. and insurance groups (both U.S. and international) with less than the minimum amount of annual direct written and unaffiliated assumed premium for the next year. It is possible that the ORSA requirements may apply to certain of our U.S. insurers beginning in 2016. Although not currently subject to ORSA, we and our U.S. domiciled insurers maintain a risk management framework to identify, assess, monitor, manage, and report on material and relevant risks on a continuous and forward looking basis and to determine the funds necessary to ensure solvency requirements are satisfied.
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The Dodd Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, or the Dodd-Frank Act, represents a comprehensive overhaul of the financial services industry within the U.S. and, among other things, established the Financial Services Oversight Council and created within the United States Department of the Treasury a new Federal Insurance Office. These bodies are authorized to study, monitor and report to Congress on the U.S. insurance industry and the significance of global reinsurance to the U.S. insurance market. The Dodd-Frank Act also authorizes the federal preemption of certain state insurance laws and streamlines the regulation of reinsurance and surplus lines/non-admitted insurance. Many provisions of the Dodd-Frank Act will become effective over time, and certain provisions of the Dodd-Frank Act require the implementation of regulations that have not yet been adopted. These regulations, when adopted, may affect our industry and our business.
Before a person can acquire control of a domestic insurer (including a reinsurer) or any person controlling such insurer (including acquiring control of Enstar Group Limited), prior written approval must be obtained from the insurance commissioner of the state in which the domestic insurer is domiciled and, under certain circumstances, from insurance commissioners in other jurisdictions. Generally, state statutes and regulations provide that control over a domestic insurer or person controlling a domestic insurer is presumed to exist if any person, directly or indirectly, owns, controls, holds with the power to vote, or holds proxies representing, 10% or more of the voting securities or securities convertible into voting securities of the domestic insurer or of a person who controls the domestic insurer.
One of the Pavonia companies that we acquired on March 31, 2013 has a Canadian branch operation, which is subject to regulation by the Office of Superintendent of Financial Institutions in Canada. Canadian regulations require compliance with risk-based capital measures and also place certain restrictions on dividends.
Australia
Our Australian regulated insurance entities (which include our insurance subsidiary and our non-operating holding company) are subject to prudential supervision by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority, or APRA. APRA is the primary regulatory body responsible for regulating compliance with the Insurance Act 1973. APRA has issued prudential standards that apply to general insurers in relation to capital adequacy, the holding of assets in Australia, risk management, business continuity management, reinsurance management, outsourcing, audit and actuarial reporting and valuation, the transfer and amalgamation of insurance businesses, governance, and the fit and proper assessment of the insurers responsible persons.
APRAs prudential standards require that all insurers maintain and meet prescribed capital adequacy requirements to enable their insurance obligations to be met under a wide range of circumstances.
As of January 1, 2015, APRA introduced revised prudential standards on risk management and governance. These requirements include the need for regulated insurance entities to have a risk management framework that is consistent and integrated with its risk profile and capital strength, supported by a risk management function and subject to comprehensive review. APRAs proposed risk management enhancements include the requirement that regulated insurance entities have a board risk committee that provides the Board with objective non-executive oversight of the implementation and on-going operation of its risk management framework, and the requirement that regulated insurance entities designate a chief risk officer who is involved in, and provides effective challenge to, activities and decisions that may materially affect the regulated insurance entities risk profile. Our Australian regulated insurance entities are compliant with these standards.
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An insurer must obtain APRAs written consent prior to making any capital releases, including any payment of dividends. Our insurance subsidiary must provide APRA a valuation prepared by an appointed actuary that demonstrates that the tangible assets of the insurer, after the proposed capital reduction, are sufficient to cover its insurance liabilities to a 99.5% level of sufficiency of capital before APRA will consent to a capital release or dividend.
Under the Financial Sector (Shareholdings) Act 1998, the interest of an individual shareholder or a group of associated shareholders in an insurer is generally limited to a 15% stake of the insurer. A persons stake is the aggregate of the persons voting power and the voting power of the persons associates. A higher percentage limit may be approved by the Treasurer of the Commonwealth of Australia on national interest grounds. Any shareholder of Enstar Group Limited with a stake greater than 15% has received approval to hold that stake from the Treasurer of the Commonwealth of Australia.
Europe
In addition to Bermuda, the United Kingdom, Australia and the United States, we have subsidiaries in Switzerland and Ireland, as well as Torus Insurance Europe, a Liechtenstein-based company that continues to underwrite new business. We have signed an agreement to acquire Nationale Suisse Belgium, a Belgian insurer, and following closing will be regulated in Belgium. We may, in the future, acquire new subsidiaries in other countries.
Our Swiss insurance subsidiary is regulated by the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority, or FINMA, pursuant to the Insurance Supervisory Act 2004. This subsidiary is obligated to maintain a minimum solvency margin based on the Solvency I and Swiss Solvency Test regulations as stipulated by the Insurance Supervisory Act. The amount of dividends that this subsidiary is permitted to distribute is restricted to freely distributable reserves, which consist of retained earnings, the current year profit and free reserves. Any dividend exceeding the current year profit requires FINMAs approval. The solvency and capital requirements must continue to be met following any distribution.
Our subsidiaries in other European jurisdictions are also regulated by regulators in their respective home countries. Typically, such regulation is for the protection of policyholders and ceding insurance companies rather than shareholders. While the degree and type of regulation to which we are subject in each country may differ, regulatory authorities generally have broad supervisory and administrative powers over such matters as licenses, standards of solvency, investments, reporting requirements relating to capital structure, ownership, financial condition and general business operations, special reporting and prior approval requirements with respect to certain transactions among affiliates, methods of accounting, form and content of the consolidated financial statements, reserves for unpaid losses and LAE, reinsurance, minimum capital and surplus requirements, dividends and other distributions to shareholders, periodic examinations and annual and other report filings.
Available Information
We maintain a website with the address http://www.enstargroup.com. The information contained on our website is not included as a part of, or incorporated by reference into, this filing. We make available free of charge (other than an investors own Internet access charges) on or through our website our annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K, and all amendments to these reports, as soon as reasonably practicable after the material is electronically filed with or otherwise furnished to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, or the SEC. Our annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K, and amendments to those reports are also available on the SECs website at http://www.sec.gov. In addition, copies of our code of conduct and the governing charters for the audit, investment,
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nominating and governance and compensation committees of our board of directors are available free of charge on our website. The public may read and copy any materials we file with the SEC at the SECs Public Reference Room at 100 F Street, NE, Washington, DC 20549. The public may obtain information on the operation of the Public Reference Room by calling the SEC at 1-800-SEC-0330.
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Any of the following risk factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from historical or anticipated results. These risks and uncertainties are not the only ones we face. There may be additional risks that we currently consider not to be material or of which we are not currently aware, and any of these risks could cause our actual results to differ materially from historical or anticipated results.
You should carefully consider these risks along with the other information included in this document, including the matters addressed above under Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements, as well as risks included elsewhere in our documents filed with the SEC, before investing in any of our securities. We may amend, supplement or add to the risk factors described below from time to time in future reports filed with the SEC.
Risks Relating to our Insurance Businesses
If we are unable to implement our business strategies successfully, including with respect to our newer active underwriting and life and annuities segments, our business, results of operations and financial condition may be materially and adversely affected.
Our future results of operations will depend in significant part on the extent to which we can implement our business strategies successfully, including with respect to our newer active underwriting and life and annuities segments. We entered the active underwriting business with our acquisitions of Atrium and Arden (in late 2013) and Torus (in April 2014) and we significantly expanded our portfolio of closed-life run-off business with our acquisition of the Pavonia companies (in early 2013). We have less experience operating these businesses. Our ability to develop and execute our business strategies with respect to these new businesses and our core non-life run-off business is essential to our success, future growth opportunities, expanded market visibility and increased access to capital.
Our business strategies include: generating future acquisition opportunities that are carefully reviewed and priced effectively, including by utilizing our active underwriting platforms; professionally and efficiently managing claims; successfully commuting assumed liabilities and ceded reinsurance assets; profitably underwriting selected specialty lines; and prudently managing our investments in a manner that recognizes our liquidity needs. We may not be able to implement these strategies or any future strategies fully or realize the anticipated results of our strategies as a result of significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control. If we are unable to successfully implement our business strategies, we may not be able to achieve future growth in our earnings and our financial condition may suffer and, as a result, holders of our ordinary shares may receive lower returns.
If our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries loss reserves are inadequate to cover their actual losses, our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries net earnings and capital and surplus would be reduced, which could have a materially adverse impact on our results of operations and financial condition.
Our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries are required to maintain reserves to cover their estimated ultimate liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses for both reported and unreported incurred claims. These reserves are only estimates of what our subsidiaries consider the settlement and administration of claims will cost based on facts and circumstances known to the subsidiaries, as well as actuarial methodologies and procedures and estimates of future trends and developments and other variable factors such as inflation. Our commutation activity and claims settlement and development in recent years in our non-life run-off segment has resulted in net reductions in provisions for prior period losses and loss adjustment expenses of $288.9 million, $257.1 million and $238.0
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million for the years ended December 31, 2014, 2013 and 2012, respectively. Although past experience indicates that our non-life run-off loss reserves have been more than adequate to meet our liabilities, because of the uncertainties that surround estimating losses and loss adjustment expenses (which are discussed above in Item 1. Business Operating Segments Non-life Run-off Reserves for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expense), we cannot be certain that ultimate losses will not exceed these estimates of losses and loss adjustment expenses in the future. If our subsidiaries reserves are insufficient to cover their actual losses and loss adjustment expenses, our subsidiaries would have to augment their reserves and incur a charge to their earnings. These charges could be material and would reduce our net earnings and capital and surplus.
The difficulty in estimating our non-life subsidiaries reserves is increased because these loss reserves include reserves for potential asbestos and environmental, or A&E, liabilities (at December 31, 2014, A&E gross and net loss reserves were approximately 9.7% and 11.6%, respectively, of total gross and net non-life loss reserves). A&E liabilities are especially hard to estimate (for many reasons, including long waiting periods and reporting delays and difficulties identifying contamination sources and allocating damage liability), developed case law and adequate claim history do not always exist for such claims, and changes in the legal and tort environment affect the development of such claims. Ultimate values for such claims cannot be estimated using traditional reserving techniques and there are significant uncertainties in estimating the amount of our subsidiaries potential losses for these claims. Our subsidiaries have not made any changes in reserve estimates that might arise as a result of any proposed U.S. federal legislation related to asbestos. To further understand this risk, see Item 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Critical Accounting Policies Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses Latent Claims.
In our active underwriting businesses, U.S. GAAP does not permit insurers and reinsurers to reserve for catastrophes until they occur, which means that claims from these events could cause substantial volatility in our financial results for any fiscal quarter or year and could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations, as well as our financial strength ratings.
For a discussion of reserving risk in our life and annuities business, see Our life and annuities business is subject to the risk that actual experience relating to mortality, morbidity, policy persistency, and investment yield may be different than our assumptions and could cause our reserves to be inadequate, or our results of operations in this business to suffer materially.
Our expansion into the active underwriting business (through our acquisitions of Atrium and Torus) presents certain risks and uncertainties described below, as well as others that we may encounter, which could cause a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Underwriting is inherently a matter of judgment, involving important assumptions about matters that are unpredictable and beyond our control, and for which historical experience and probability analysis may not provide sufficient guidance. In addition to the risks and uncertainties that impact all of our business segments, our Atrium and Torus active underwriting businesses expose us to risks that include, but are not limited to, those set forth below. Any of these risks could result in underperformance of the active underwriting businesses compared to our expectations, and could also have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations:
| Exposure to claims arising out of unpredictable natural and man-made catastrophic events (including hurricanes, windstorms, tsunamis, severe weather, earthquakes, floods, fires, droughts, explosions, environmental contamination, acts of terrorism, war or political unrest) and |
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changing climate patterns and ocean temperature conditions, which could adversely affect our earnings and financial condition and cause substantial volatility in our results of operations for any fiscal quarter or year; |
| Failure of our risk management and loss limitation methods (described in Item 1. Business Enterprise Risk Management (ERM)) to adequately manage our exposure to losses or provide sufficient protection against losses from our exposures; |
| The intense competition for business in this industry, including competition from major global insurance and reinsurance companies and underwriting syndicates that may have greater experience and resources than our companies or that may be more highly rated than our companies, or competition resulting from industry consolidation; |
| Dependence on a limited number of brokers, managing general agents and other third parties to support our business, both in terms of the volume of business we rely on them to place and the credit risk we assume from them; and |
| Susceptibility to the effects of inflation due to premiums being established before the ultimate amounts of losses and loss adjustment expense are known. |
The cyclical nature of the insurance and reinsurance business may make it more difficult for Atrium and Torus to operate profitably and may negatively impact our ability to execute our active underwriting strategies successfully.
The insurance and reinsurance industry has historically been characterized by periods of intense price competition due to excessive underwriting capacity, as well as periods when shortages of underwriting capacity permitted more favorable premium levels. An increase in premium levels is often offset by an increasing supply of underwriting capacity (including by new entrants, market instruments and structures, and additional commitments by existing insurers) that may cause prices to decrease. Changes in the frequency and severity of losses suffered by insureds and insurers also impact industry cycles. We cannot predict whether market conditions will improve, remain constant or deteriorate. Negative market conditions could lead to a significant reduction in premium rates, impair our ability to underwrite at rates that we consider appropriate and commensurate with the risk assumed, result in less favorable policy terms and drive fewer submissions for our active underwriting services. These factors could cause our earnings to decrease and our results of operations to fluctuate significantly from period to period.
Cyclical market conditions also impact the availability and cost of reinsurance that our active underwriting companies seek to purchase. Atrium and Torus purchase reinsurance as part of our risk management strategy. Market conditions may limit or prevent our active underwriting companies from obtaining the types and amounts of reinsurance that we consider adequate for our business needs. If our active underwriting companies are unable to purchase reinsurance, or if reinsurance is available on less favorable terms or only with less creditworthy reinsurers, we may retain a higher proportion of risks then we would otherwise prefer, incur additional expense, or purchase reinsurance from companies who present a higher credit risk. Any of these factors could negatively impact our financial performance.
Downgrades of financial strength ratings at Torus or Lloyds could materially and negatively impact our active underwriting business and our company.
Financial strength ratings are an important factor in establishing the competitive position of insurance and reinsurance companies. The Torus operating insurance entities were assigned a financial strength rating of A- (Excellent) by A.M. Best. Following the announcement of the agreement to acquire Torus, its ratings were placed under review by A.M. Best with negative implication. Immediately following the completion of the acquisition of Torus, A.M. Best removed the Torus entities
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from under review with negative implications and assigned a negative outlook, which it stated was primarily due to its historical performance and challenging market conditions. This outlook or a ratings downgrade or withdrawal could negatively impact Torus competitive position in the industry, severely limit or prevent Torus from writing new insurance and reinsurance contracts as policyholders move their business to other more highly-rated companies, and permit certain ceding companies to cancel reinsurance contracts Torus has issued. Such a change could also inhibit our ability to implement our business and growth strategies successfully.
In addition, Lloyds ratings apply to business written through Syndicate 609 and Torus Syndicate 1301. Lloyds is rated A (Excellent) by A.M. Best, A+ (Strong) by Standard and Poors (or S&P) and AA- (Very Strong) by Fitch Ratings. Financial strength ratings downgrades at Lloyds could adversely affect our Lloyds syndicates ability to trade in certain classes of business at current levels.
Emerging claim and coverage issues could adversely affect our business.
As industry practices and legal, judicial, social and other environmental conditions change, unexpected and unintended issues related to claims and coverage may emerge. These issues may adversely affect the adequacy of our provision for losses and loss adjustment expenses by either extending coverage beyond the envisioned scope of insurance policies and reinsurance contracts, or by increasing the number or size of claims. Our exposure to these uncertainties could be exacerbated by an increase in insurance and reinsurance contract disputes, arbitration and litigation. The full effects of these and other unforeseen emerging claim and coverage issues are extremely hard to predict. In some instances, these changes may not become apparent until some time after we have acquired or issued the contracts that are affected by the changes. As a result, the full extent of liability under these insurance or reinsurance contracts may not be known for many years after a contract has been issued.
Exit and finality opportunities provided by solvent schemes of arrangement may not continue to be available, which may result in the diversion of our resources to settle policyholder claims for a substantially longer run-off period and increase the associated costs of run-off of our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries.
With respect to our U.K., Bermudian and Australian insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries, the local legislation provides for the possibility of pursuing strategies to achieve complete finality and concluding the run-off of a company by promoting solvent schemes of arrangement. Solvent schemes of arrangement have been a popular means of achieving financial certainty and finality for insurance and reinsurance companies incorporated or managed in the U.K., Bermuda or Australia, by making a one-time full and final settlement of an insurance and reinsurance companys liabilities to policyholders. In April 2014, the U.K. Prudential Regulation Authority (or the PRA) issued a supervisory statement that indicated that the PRA may require policyholders to be offered continuity of cover as part of a solvent scheme of arrangement proposal, in order to be compatible with the PRAs statutory objective of securing an appropriate degree of protection for policyholders.
A solvent scheme of arrangement is an arrangement between a company and its creditors or any class of them. For a solvent scheme of arrangement to become binding on the creditors, a meeting of each class of creditors must be called, with the permission of the local court, to consider and, if thought fit, approve the solvent scheme of arrangement. The requisite statutory majority of creditors of not less than 75% in value and 50% in number of those creditors actually attending the meeting, either in person or by proxy, must vote in favor of a solvent scheme of arrangement. Once the solvent scheme of arrangement has been approved by the statutory majority of voting creditors of the company, it requires the sanction of the local court at a hearing at which creditors may appear. The court must be satisfied that the scheme is fair, following a full consideration of the relevant evidence and of the schemes individual merits.
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Should a solvent scheme of arrangement promoted by any of our insurance or reinsurance subsidiaries fail to receive the requisite approval by creditors or sanction by the court, or if solvent schemes are no longer available to the same extent, we will have to run off these liabilities until expiry, which may result in the diversion of our resources to settle policyholder claims for a substantially longer run-off period and increase the associated costs of run-off, resulting potentially in a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
Our life and annuities business is subject to the risk that actual experience relating to mortality, morbidity, policy persistency, and investment yield may be different than our assumptions and could cause our reserves to be inadequate or our results of operations in this business to suffer materially.
The performance of our life and annuities business is highly dependent on our ability to manage the run-off successfully and operate the business effectively and efficiently. Our reserves for life and annuity policy benefits are based on certain assumptions, including mortality, morbidity, policy persistency/lapse rates, expenses, and discount rates, which are impacted by expected investment yields on the assets that support these liabilities. The adequacy of our reserves is contingent on actual experience related to these key assumptions, which were generally established at the time of issue and reviewed and adjusted upon our acquisition. Under GAAP, these assumptions are locked in throughout the life of the contract unless a premium deficiency develops, which means the impact of the difference between assumptions and actual experience is reflected in results of operations each period. In addition, if actual experience differs from these assumptions, our reserves may not be adequate, which would require us to add to reserves, or the cost of claims could increase. This could materially and adversely impact our results of operations and financial condition.
Our life subsidiaries are exposed to the risk of catastrophic mortality, such as a pandemic or other event that causes a large number of deaths. In an economic downturn, our life insurance subsidiaries may experience an elevated incidence of lapses of life insurance policies because there is a greater risk that policyholders may choose to defer paying insurance premiums or stop paying insurance premiums altogether (or that the policyholders who remain may consist of a non-diversified selection of holders). Any of these events could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.
Fluctuations in the reinsurance industry may cause our operating results to fluctuate significantly.
The reinsurance industry historically has been subject to significant fluctuations and uncertainties. Factors that affect the industry in general may also cause our operating results to fluctuate. As a result, the industrys and our profitability may be affected significantly by:
| fluctuations in interest rates, inflationary pressures and other changes in the investment environment, which affect returns on invested capital and may affect the ultimate payout of loss amounts and the costs of administering books of reinsurance business; |
| volatile and unpredictable developments, such as those that have occurred since 2008 in the world-wide financial and credit markets, which may adversely affect the recoverability of reinsurance from our reinsurers; |
| changes in reserves resulting from different types of claims that may arise and the development of judicial interpretations relating to the scope of insurers liability; and |
| the overall level of economic activity and the competitive environment in the industry. |
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Risks Relating to Our Acquisitions
Our inability to successfully price acquisitions and manage our portfolio of insurance and reinsurance companies may adversely impact our ability to grow our business and may result in material losses.
Our run-off business entails acquiring and managing closed insurance and reinsurance companies and portfolios of insurance and reinsurance. This business differs from the business of traditional insurance and reinsurance underwriting in that our companies and portfolios in run-off no longer underwrite new policies and are subject to the risk that their stated provisions for losses and loss adjustment expense, or LAE, may not be sufficient to cover future losses and the cost of run-off. Because our non-life companies and portfolios in run-off generally no longer collect underwriting premiums, our sources of capital to cover losses are limited to our stated reserves, reinsurance coverage and retained earnings. Although our life and annuities businesses do collect premiums on in-force policies, they are subject to the risk that the premiums they receive and the assets supporting our stated policy benefits for life and annuity contracts may not be sufficient to cover future obligations and costs. Our active underwriting businesses, although they produce new premium revenue, also remain subject to many of these risks.
In order for us to achieve positive operating results, we must first price acquisitions on favorable terms relative to the risks posed by the acquired businesses and then successfully manage the acquired businesses by efficiently managing claims, collecting from reinsurers and controlling expenses. Failure to do these things successfully could result in us having to cover losses sustained with retained earnings, which would materially and adversely impact our ability to grow our business and may result in material losses.
We have made, and expect to continue to make, acquisitions of insurance and reinsurance companies, and these activities may not be financially beneficial to us or our shareholders.
We have pursued and, as part of our strategy, we will continue to pursue growth through acquisitions. Since our formation in August 2001, we have acquired over 65 insurance and reinsurance companies and portfolios of insurance and reinsurance business, and we expect to continue to make such acquisitions in the future. Since the beginning of 2013, we have expanded our acquisitions from primarily property and casualty run-off business to life and annuities companies in run-off, as well as active underwriting companies. We cannot assure you that the performance of the companies acquired will meet our expectations, and we cannot be certain that any of these acquisitions will be financially advantageous for us or our shareholders.
The evaluation and negotiation of potential acquisitions, as well as the integration of an acquired business or portfolio, could result in a substantial diversion of management resources. Acquisitions could involve numerous additional risks such as potential losses from unanticipated litigation, levels of claims or other liabilities and exposures, an inability to generate sufficient revenue to offset acquisition costs and financial exposures in the event that the sellers of the entities we acquire are unable or unwilling to meet their indemnification, reinsurance and other obligations to us (if any such obligations are in place).
Our ability to manage our growth through acquisitions will depend, in part, on our success in addressing these risks. Any failure by us to effectively implement our acquisition strategies could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations.
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We face challenges to realizing the expected benefits of acquisitions, which may cause underperformance relative to our expectations, unforeseen liabilities and expenses, integration difficulties and other challenges, any or all of which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations.
The acquisitions we have made and expect to make in the future may pose operational challenges, expose us to risks and divert managements time and energy, including relating to:
| funding cash flow shortages that may occur if anticipated revenues are not realized or are delayed, or if expenses are greater than anticipated; |
| the value of assets being lower than expected or diminishing because of credit defaults or changes in interest rates, or liabilities assumed being greater than expected; |
| integrating financial and operational reporting systems and internal controls, including assurance of compliance with Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 and our reporting requirements under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (or the Exchange Act); |
| establishing satisfactory budgetary and other financial controls; |
| leveraging our existing capabilities and expertise into the business acquired and establishing synergies within our organization; |
| funding increased capital needs and overhead expenses; |
| integrating technology platforms; |
| obtaining and retaining management personnel required for expanded operations; |
| fluctuating foreign currency exchange rates relating to the assets and liabilities we may acquire; |
| goodwill and intangible asset impairment charges; and |
| complying with applicable laws and regulations. |
In particular, our ability to continue to integrate and successfully operate the Torus companies will be a key component to our continued success. Torus added approximately 500 employees and a number of new offices in various countries. Torus also is a new operating segment for us. In addition to the risks discussed above, the potential challenges of integrating Torus and achieving the anticipated benefits include implementing business and underwriting plans for Torus, establishing operating efficiencies, managing expenses, retaining key employees, improving systems, and working effectively with our joint venture partners.
We must also assimilate the Torus companies into our internal control system, including by ensuring their compliance with Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 and our reporting requirements under the Exchange Act as of December 31, 2015. Failure to effectively achieve this could result in us reporting a material weakness in our internal controls over financial reporting.
We may not complete future acquisitions within the time frame we anticipate or at all, which could have a negative effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations.
A key part of our business strategy is completing acquisitions. Once we have signed a definitive agreement to acquire a business or portfolio, conditions to closing, such as obtaining regulatory approvals or shareholder approvals, must be met before the acquisition can be consummated. These and other closing conditions may not be satisfied at all, or may cause a material delay in the anticipated timing of closing. In addition, our ability to complete the acquisition on the originally anticipated terms, or at all, could be jeopardized if a seller receives competing proposals, if litigation is brought challenging the transaction or certain of its terms, or if regulators impose unexpected terms
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and conditions on the transaction. Failure to consummate an acquisition on the originally anticipated terms, or a significant delay in the closing, could result in significant expense, diversion of time and resources, reputational damage, litigation and a failure to realize the anticipated benefits of the acquisition, all of which could materially adversely impact our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Risks Relating to Liquidity and Capital Resources
We may require additional capital and credit in the future that may not be available or may only be available on unfavorable terms.
Our future capital requirements depend on many factors, including acquisition activity, our ability to manage the run-off of our assumed policies, our ability to establish reserves at levels sufficient to cover losses, and our underwriting plans. We may need to raise additional funds through equity or debt financings in the future. Our ability to secure this financing may be affected by a number of factors, including volatility in the worldwide financial markets and the strength of our capital position and operating results. Any equity or debt financing, if available at all, may be on terms that are not favorable to us. In the case of equity financings, dilution to our existing shareholders could result, and any securities that are part of such equity financing may have rights, preferences and privileges that are senior to those of our already outstanding securities. If we cannot obtain adequate capital or credit, our business, results of operations and financial condition could be adversely affected by, among other things, our inability to finance future acquisitions. See also Risks Related to Laws and Regulations Political, regulatory and industry initiatives could adversely affect our business by increasing the amount of regulation we face or changing the nature of the regulations that apply to us in operating our insurance businesses or acquiring new insurance businesses.
Uncertain conditions in the economy generally may materially adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition.
In the event of financial turmoil affecting the global banking system and financial markets (including the sovereign debt markets), additional consolidation of the financial services industry, or significant financial service institution failures, there could be a new or incremental tightening in the credit markets, low liquidity, and extreme volatility in fixed maturity, credit, currency, and equity markets. This could have a number of effects on our business, including our ability to obtain financing for future acquisitions. Even if financing is available, it may only be available at an unattractive cost of capital, which would decrease our profitability.
Economic conditions could also affect demand for and claims made under our products, our counter-party credit risk, and the ability of our customers to establish or maintain their relationships with us.
Net investment income and net realized and unrealized gains or losses also could vary materially from expectations depending on gains or losses realized on the sale or exchange of financial instruments; impairment charges resulting from revaluations of debt and equity securities and other investments; interest rates; cash balances; and changes in the fair value of derivative instruments. Increased volatility in the financial markets and overall economic uncertainty would increase the risk that the actual amounts realized in the future on our financial instruments could differ significantly from the fair values currently assigned to them.
Reinsurers may not satisfy their obligations to our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries, which could result in significant losses or liquidity issues for us.
Our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries are subject to credit risk with respect to their reinsurers because the transfer of risk to a reinsurer does not relieve our subsidiaries of their liability to the insured. Many reinsurance companies have been negatively impacted by the difficult financial and economic conditions since 2008, including unprecedented financial market disruption. A number of
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these companies, including some of those with which we conduct business, have been downgraded and/or have been placed on negative outlook by various rating agencies. In addition, reinsurers may be unwilling to pay our subsidiaries even though they are able to do so, or disputes may arise regarding payment obligations. The failure of one or more of our subsidiaries reinsurers to honor their obligations in a timely fashion may affect our cash flows, reduce our net earnings or cause us to incur a significant loss. Disputes with our reinsurers may also result in unforeseen expenses relating to litigation or arbitration proceedings. In addition, a reinsurers inability or unwillingness to honor its obligations to Atrium or Torus may negate the intended risk-reducing impact of our reinsurance purchasing programs.
As at December 31, 2014, reinsurance balances recoverable with a carrying value of $314.5 million were associated with two reinsurers, which represented 10% or more of our total non-life run-off reinsurance balances recoverable. One of those reinsurers (accounting for $139.3 million of the $314.5 million as at December 31, 2014) was rated A+, while the remaining $175.2 million of the $314.5 million as at December 31, 2014, were secured by trust funds held for the benefit of our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries. Although our exposure to one of these reinsurers is mitigated by the trust fund, exposure to these and any other reinsurers who from time to time represent meaningful percentages of our total reinsurance balances recoverable may increase the risks described above.
Included within total reinsurance balances recoverable of $1,331.6 million are: (i) reinsurance balances recoverable from A- and above rated reinsurers amounting to $1,045.9 million, net of provisions for uncollectible reinsurance recoverables of $81.0 million; (ii) reinsurance balances recoverable from less than A- rated reinsurers amounting to $204.5 million, against which there are no provisions for uncollectible reinsurance recoverables, because the balances are secured by collateral such as trust funds or letters of credit; and (iii) reinsurance balances recoverable from less than A- rated reinsurers amounting to $81.2 million, net of provisions for uncollectible reinsurance recoverable of $208.9 million, which are unsecured.
We are a holding company, and we are dependent on the ability of our subsidiaries to distribute funds to us.
We are a holding company and conduct substantially all of our operations through subsidiaries. Our only significant assets are the capital stock of our subsidiaries. As a holding company, we are dependent on distributions of funds from our subsidiaries to fund acquisitions, fulfill financial obligations in the normal course of our business, and pay dividends (in the event we sought to do so). Our subsidiaries may not generate sufficient cash from operations to enable us to make future acquisitions, fulfill other financial obligations or pay dividends.
In addition, the ability of our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries to make distributions to us is limited by applicable insurance laws and regulations (which are described in Item 1. Business Regulation). These laws and regulations and the determinations by the regulators implementing them may significantly restrict distributions, and, as a result, our overall liquidity. The ability of all of our subsidiaries to make distributions to us may also be restricted by, among other things, other applicable laws and regulations and the terms of our bank loans and our subsidiaries bank loans.
Fluctuations in currency exchange rates may cause us to experience losses.
We maintain a portion of our investments, insurance liabilities and insurance assets denominated in currencies other than U.S. dollars. Consequently, we and our subsidiaries may experience foreign exchange losses, which could adversely affect our results of operations. We publish our consolidated financial statements in U.S. dollars. Therefore, fluctuations in exchange rates used to convert other currencies, particularly Australian dollars, Canadian dollars, British pounds and Euros, into U.S. dollars will impact our reported financial condition, results of operations and cash flows from year to year.
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Our failure to comply with covenants contained in our credit facilities could trigger prepayment obligations, which could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.
We and our subsidiaries currently have two outstanding credit facilities: our Revolving Credit Facility and the Companion Facility. These credit facilities contain various business and financial covenants that impose restrictions on us and certain of our subsidiaries with respect to, among other things, limitations on mergers and consolidations, acquisitions, indebtedness and guarantees, restrictions as to certain dispositions of stock and dividends and stock repurchases, investment constraints and limitations on liens on stock. We may also enter into future credit facilities or other debt arrangements containing similar or different restrictive covenants. Our failure to comply with these covenants could result in an event of default under the credit facilities, which could result in us being required to repay the amounts outstanding under these facilities prior to maturity. These prepayment obligations could have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.
In addition, complying with these covenants could limit our financial and operational flexibility. Our credit facilities are described in more detail in Item 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Liquidity and Capital Resources Loans Payable.
Risks Relating to Our Investments
The value of our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries investment portfolios and the investment income that our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries receive from these portfolios may decline materially as a result of market fluctuations and economic conditions, including those related to interest rates and credit spreads.
We derive a significant portion of our income from our invested assets, which consist primarily of investments in fixed maturity securities. The net investment income that our subsidiaries realize from investments in fixed maturity securities will generally increase or decrease with changes in interest rates. Interest rates are highly sensitive to many factors, including governmental monetary policies, domestic and international economic and political conditions and other factors beyond our control. The fair market value of our subsidiaries fixed maturity securities generally increases or decreases in an inverse relationship with fluctuations in interest rates. A rise in interest rates would increase net unrealized losses, which would be offset over time by our ability to earn higher rates of return on funds reinvested. Conversely, a decline in interest rates would decrease net unrealized losses, which would be offset over time by lower rates of return on funds reinvested. The fair market value can also decrease as a result of any downturn in the business cycle that causes the credit quality of those securities to deteriorate. Any such deterioration of credit ratings on our fixed maturity security investments may result in the need to liquidate these securities in the financial markets. If we are required to liquidate these securities during a period of tightening credit, we may realize a significant loss.
In addition, some of our fixed maturity securities, such as mortgage-backed and other asset-backed securities, carry prepayment risk, or the risk that principal will be returned more rapidly or slowly than expected, as a result of interest rate fluctuations. When interest rates decline, consumers will generally make prepayments on their mortgages, causing us to be repaid more quickly than we might have originally anticipated, meaning that our opportunities to reinvest these proceeds back into the investment markets may be at reduced interest rates (with the converse being true in a rising interest rate environment). Mortgage-backed and other asset-backed securities are also subject to default risk on the underlying securitized mortgages, which would decrease the value of our investments.
The fair market value of our subsidiaries fixed maturity securities and short-term investments classified as trading and/or available-for-sale in our subsidiaries investment portfolios amounted to
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approximately $4.20 billion at December 31, 2014. The changes in the market value of our subsidiaries securities that are classified as trading or available-for-sale are reflected in our financial statements. Other-than-temporary impairment losses in the value of our subsidiaries fixed maturity securities are also reflected in our financial statements. As a result, a decline in the value of the securities in our subsidiaries investment portfolios may materially reduce our net income and shareholders equity, and may cause us to incur a significant loss. For more information on our subsidiaries investment portfolios, see Item 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Liquidity and Capital Resources Investments.
Our investments in alternative investments may be illiquid and volatile in terms of value and returns, which could negatively affect our investment income and liquidity.
In addition to fixed maturity securities, we have invested, and may from time to time continue to invest, in alternative investments such as private equity, fixed income, fixed income hedge, equity, real estate debt and CLO equity funds. These and other similar investments may be illiquid due to restrictions on sales, transfers and redemptions, may have different, more significant risk characteristics than our investments in fixed maturity securities and may also have more volatile values and returns, all of which could negatively affect our investment income and liquidity.
Alternative or other investments held by our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries may not meet regulatory admissibility requirements, which may limit our subsidiaries ability to make capital distributions to us and, consequently, negatively impact our liquidity. As of December 31, 2014, we had an aggregate fair market value of $836.9 million of such investments, which comprised 13.9% of our total investments. For more information on our alternative investments, see Item 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Liquidity and Capital Resources Investments.
The valuation of our investments may include methodologies, estimations and assumptions that are subject to differing interpretations and could result in changes to investment valuations that may materially adversely affect our financial condition or results of operations.
Fixed maturity and alternative investments, such as private equity, fixed income, fixed income hedge, equity, real estate debt and CLO equity funds, along with direct investments in CLO equities, represent the majority of our total cash and invested assets. Other than fixed maturity securities classified as held-to-maturity and carried at amortized cost, these investments are reported at fair value on our consolidated balance sheet. Fair value prices for all trading and available-for-sale securities in the fixed maturities portfolio are independently provided by our investment custodians, investment accounting service providers and investment managers, each of which utilize internationally recognized independent pricing services. We record the unadjusted price provided by our custodians, accounting service providers or managers, after we perform an internal validation process. Fair value for our alternative investments is estimated based primarily on the most recently reported net asset values reported by the fund manager, which we may adjust in our judgment following our internal review.
These valuation procedures for our alternative investments involve estimates and judgments, and during periods of market disruptions (such as periods of significantly rising or high interest rates, rapidly widening credit spreads or illiquidity), it may be difficult to value certain of our securities if trading becomes less frequent or market data becomes less observable. In addition, there may be certain asset classes that are now in active markets with significant observable data that become illiquid due to changes in the financial environment. In these cases, the valuation of a greater number of securities in our investment portfolio may require more subjectivity and management judgment. As a result, valuations may include inputs and assumptions that are less observable or require greater
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estimation as well as valuation methods that are more sophisticated or require greater estimation, which may result in values that could be less than the value at which the investments could ultimately be sold. Further, rapidly changing and unpredictable credit and equity market conditions could materially affect the valuation of securities carried at fair value as reported within our consolidated financial statements and the period-to-period changes in value could vary significantly. Decreases in value could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
The nature of our business liquidity demands and the structure of our entities investment portfolios may adversely affect the performance of our investment portfolio and financial results and our investing flexibility.
We strive to structure our investments in a manner that recognizes our liquidity needs for future liabilities. Because of the unpredictable nature of losses that may arise under our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries insurance or reinsurance policies and as a result of our opportunistic commutation strategy, our liquidity needs can be substantial and may arise at any time. In that regard, we attempt to correlate the maturity and duration of our investment portfolio to our general liability profile. If we are unsuccessful in managing our investment portfolio within the context of this strategy, we may be forced to liquidate our investments at times and at prices that are not optimal, and we may have difficulty in liquidating some of our alternative investments due to restrictions on sales, transfers and redemptions. This could have a material adverse effect on our business and the performance of our investment portfolio.
We maintain each company within our organization and each acquired portfolio of insurance and reinsurance business in separate stand-alone entities, and therefore, we have many individual portfolios of cash and investments. Each investment portfolio has its own regulatory admissibility requirements, and each run-off entity is likely to have negative cash flows due to commutation activity, claims settlements and capital distributions. These factors reduce our overall investing flexibility.
Risks Relating to Laws and Regulation
Insurance laws and regulations restrict our ability to operate, and any failure to comply with these laws and regulations, or any investigations by government authorities, may have a material adverse effect on our business.
We are subject to extensive regulation under insurance laws and regulations of a number of jurisdictions. Existing laws and regulations limit the amount of dividends that can be paid to us by our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries, prescribe solvency and capital adequacy standards that they must meet and maintain, impose restrictions on the amount and type of investments that they can hold to meet solvency and capital adequacy requirements, require them to maintain reserve liabilities, and require pre-approval of acquisitions and certain affiliate transactions. Failure to comply with these laws and regulations or to maintain appropriate authorizations and/or exemptions under applicable laws and regulations may subject our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries to fines and penalties, restrict them from conducting business or result in commencement of insurance company delinquency proceedings against a non-compliant insurance or reinsurance subsidiary. The application of these laws and regulations may affect our liquidity and restrict our ability to expand our business operations through acquisitions or to pay dividends on our ordinary shares. Furthermore, compliance with legal and regulatory requirements may result in significant expenses, which could have a negative impact on our profitability. To further understand these risks, see Item 1. Business Regulation.
In addition to legal and regulatory requirements, the insurance and reinsurance industry has experienced substantial volatility as a result of current investigations, litigation and regulatory activity by various insurance, governmental and enforcement authorities, including the SEC, concerning certain practices within the insurance and reinsurance industry. Our life insurance subsidiaries may be subject to life industry-specific investigations, including ongoing industry-wide investigations by state
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attorney generals and other regulators into compliance with unclaimed property laws and practices relating to forced-placed insurance. Insurance and reinsurance companies that we have acquired, or may acquire in the future, may have been or may become involved in these or other investigations and may have lawsuits filed against them. Our involvement in any investigations and related lawsuits would cause us to incur legal costs and, if we or any of our insurance or reinsurance subsidiaries were found to have violated any laws, we could be required to pay fines and damages, perhaps in material amounts.
If we fail to comply with applicable insurance laws and regulations, we may be subject to disciplinary action, damages, penalties or restrictions that may have a material adverse effect on our business.
Our subsidiaries may not have maintained or be able to maintain their businesses in full compliance with the laws and regulations to which they are subject, or the relevant insurance regulatory authoritys interpretation of those laws and regulations, or may not have maintained or be able to maintain all required licenses and approvals. In addition, some regulatory authorities have relatively broad discretion to grant, renew or revoke licenses and approvals. If our subsidiaries do not comply with applicable regulatory requirements or do not have the requisite licenses and approvals, the insurance regulatory authorities may preclude or suspend our subsidiaries from carrying on some or all of their activities, place one or more of them into rehabilitation or liquidation proceedings, or impose monetary penalties on them. These types of actions may have a material adverse effect on our business and may preclude us from making future acquisitions or obtaining future management engagements.
Political, regulatory and industry initiatives could adversely affect our business by increasing the amount of regulation we face or changing the nature of the regulations that apply to us in operating our insurance businesses or acquiring new insurance businesses.
Increasingly, governmental authorities seem to be interested in the potential systemic risks posed by the insurance and reinsurance industry as a whole. The insurance regulatory environment has become subject to increased scrutiny across a number of jurisdictions, and authorities regularly consider enhanced or new regulatory requirements and seek to exercise their supervisory authority in new and more extensive ways. Regulators are generally concerned with the protection of policyholders above other constituencies, including our shareholders. Additional laws and regulations have been and may continue to be enacted in the wake of the recent or future financial and credit crises that may have adverse effects on our operations, financial condition and liquidity. We cannot predict the exact nature, timing or scope of these initiatives; however, we believe it is likely there will be increased regulatory intervention in our industry in the future and these initiatives could adversely affect our business.
In many of the jurisdictions in which we operate, there are increased initiatives relating to group supervision though cooperation and coordination among insurance regulators. Regulators in certain jurisdictions may seek to regulate (1) insurance entities that operate within a group regardless of their domiciliary jurisdictions and (2) non-insurance entities within a group. If an insurer were to be supervised by more than one regulator or as part of a group-wide supervision initiative, the insurer could become subject to additional regulation. It is possible that a regulator having regulatory authority over certain of our subsidiaries could determine in the future that other insurance or non-insurance subsidiaries should also be supervised by such regulator as a group, which could lead to increased regulation of our companies.
In addition, increased scrutiny by insurance regulators of investments in or acquisitions of insurers or insurance holding companies by private equity firms or hedge funds may result in imposition of additional regulatory requirements and restrictions. For example, some U.S. state insurance regulators (including the New York Department of Financial Services) are strengthening filing and disclosure
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requirements and imposing restrictions on transactions by private equity firms or hedge funds as a condition to approval. The NAIC is developing tools, procedures and metrics that insurance regulators can use to monitor and reduce risks that some regulators believe could be associated with the growing numbers of insurers now owned or controlled by private equity firms and hedge funds. We have in the past partnered with private equity firms in making acquisitions and may do so in the future. This increased scrutiny and regulation may make it difficult to complete U.S. acquisitions with private equity or hedge funds should we seek to do so. In addition, private equity firms have invested in Enstar and may seek to do so in the future. This increased regulation may materially and adversely impact our ability to raise capital through transactions with these types of investors.
Changes in current accounting practices and future pronouncements may materially impact our reported financial results.
Unanticipated developments in accounting practices may require us to incur considerable additional expenses to comply with such developments, particularly if we are required to prepare information relating to prior periods for comparative purposes or to apply the new requirements retroactively. The impact of changes in current accounting practices and future pronouncements cannot be predicted but may affect the calculation of net income, shareholders equity and other relevant financial statement line items. In particular, recent guidance and ongoing projects put in place by standard setters globally have indicated a possible move away from the current insurance accounting models toward more fair value based models, which could introduce significant volatility in the earnings of insurance industry participants. Furthermore, rules relating to certain accounting practices in the insurance and reinsurance industry are currently being reviewed by applicable regulatory bodies and any changes required by that review could have a material effect on the reported results of operations and financial condition of the industry or particular market participants.
Risks Relating to our Operations
We are dependent on our executive officers, directors and other key personnel and the loss of any of these individuals could adversely affect our business.
Our success substantially depends on our ability to attract and retain qualified employees and upon the ability of our senior management and other key employees to implement our business strategy. We believe that there are only a limited number of available qualified personnel in the business in which we compete, and the pool of highly skilled employees available to fill key positions at our companies may fluctuate based on market conditions. We rely substantially upon the services of our executive officers and our subsidiaries executive officers and directors, as well as our local management teams, to implement our business strategies. The loss of the services of any of our management or other key personnel, or the loss of the services of or our relationships with any of our directors, could have a material adverse effect on our business. Higher demand for employees having desired talents could lead to increased compensation expectations for existing and prospective personnel across our organization, which could also make it difficult to maintain labor expenses at desired levels.
Under Bermuda law, non-Bermudians (other than spouses of Bermudians, holders of a permanent residents certificate or holders of a working residents certificate) may not engage in any gainful occupation in Bermuda without an appropriate governmental work permit. As a result, if we were to lose any of our key Bermuda-based employees, the work permit laws and policies may hinder our ability to replace them.
Our directors and executive officers may have ownership interests or other involvement with entities that could compete against us, and conflicts of interest might prevent us from pursuing desirable acquisition, investment and other business opportunities.
Our directors and executive officers may have ownership interests or other involvement with entities that could compete against us, either in the pursuit of acquisition targets or in our business
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operations. We have also participated in transactions in which one or more of our directors or executive officers or their affiliates had an interest, and we may do so in the future. The interests of our directors and executive officers in such transactions or such entities may result in a conflict of interest for those directors and officers.
The Audit Committee of our Board of Directors, which is comprised entirely of independent directors, reviews any material transactions involving a conflict of interest and may take actions as it deems appropriate in the particular circumstances. We may not be able to pursue all advantageous transactions that we would otherwise pursue in the absence of a conflict, in particular if our Audit Committee is unable to determine that any such transaction is on terms as favorable as we could otherwise obtain in the absence of a conflict.
If we experience difficulties with our information technology assets or if there is a security breach, our business could be adversely affected.
We rely heavily on the successful, uninterrupted functioning of our information technology assets and telecommunications systems, as well as those of any third-party service providers we use. Our business is dependent upon our ability to perform, in an efficient and uninterrupted fashion, necessary business functions, such as paying claims, performing actuarial and other modeling functions, pricing, quoting and processing policies, investment management, acquisition work and other necessary legal, financial and business functions. A failure of our information technology assets or telecommunications systems could materially impact our ability to perform these functions, affect the confidentiality, availability or integrity of information or information systems, expose us to litigation and increase our administrative expenses.
Computer viruses, cyber attacks, and other external hazards, as well as any internal process or employee failures, could expose our information technology assets to security breaches that may cause critical data to be corrupted or confidential or proprietary information to be exposed, or cause system disruptions or shut-downs. In addition to our own information, we receive and may be responsible to protect confidential information from clients and other third parties, which could also be compromised in the event of a security breach. Our active underwriting companies rely on broker portals to bind certain business, and, therefore, a service interruption would negatively impact our ability to write business.
Where we rely on third parties for outsourced functions and other services, our information may be exposed to the risk of a data breach or cyber-security incident through their systems. Although we utilize numerous controls, protections and risk management strategies to attempt to mitigate these risks, and management is not aware of a material cybersecurity incident to date, the sophistication and volume of these security threats continues to rise at an increasingly rapid rate. The potential consequences of a data breach or cyber-security incident could include claims against us, significant reputational damage to our company, damage to our business as a result of disclosure of proprietary information, regulatory action against us, and dissatisfied customers, policyholders and business partners. Such an incident could cause us to lose business and commit resources, management time and money to remediate these breaches, any of which in turn could have an adverse impact on our business.
If outsourced providers such as third-party administrators, managing general agents, investment managers or other service providers were to breach obligations owed to us, our business and results of operations could be adversely affected.
We outsource certain business functions to third party providers, and in these relationships we are subject to the risk that these providers do not perform as anticipated or do not adhere to their obligations to us. For example, certain of our subsidiaries rely on relationships with a number of third-party administrators, under contracts pursuant to which these third-party administrators manage and
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pay claims on our subsidiaries behalf and advise with respect to case reserves. In these relationships, we rely on controls incorporated in the provisions of the administration agreement, as well as on the administrators internal controls, to manage the claims process within our prescribed parameters. Our Torus and Atrium subsidiaries use managing general agents, general agents and other producers to write and administer business on their behalf within underwriting authorities prescribed by Torus and Atrium. We also rely on external investment managers to provide services pursuant to the terms of our investment management agreements, including following established investment guidelines. Although we monitor these administrators, agents and producers, and managers on an ongoing basis, our monitoring efforts may not be adequate or our service providers could exceed their authorities or otherwise breach obligations owed to us, which, if material, could adversely affect our business and results of operations.
With respect to certain of our subsidiaries life insurance products, our subsidiaries depend upon the counterparty to an administrative services agreement in order to collect policy premiums and maintain necessary customer data. There is a risk that the counterparty may fail to perform its obligations under the agreement to provide accurate and timely premiums and data, or that we or the counterparty could experience difficulties with the operation of the supporting technology systems. Any of these risks could result in underperformance of our life and annuities business compared to our expectations, and could also have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Risks Relating to Ownership of Our Ordinary Shares
Our stock price may experience volatility, thereby causing a potential loss of value to our investors.
The market price for our ordinary shares may fluctuate substantially and could cause investment losses due to, among other things, the following factors:
| announcements with respect to an acquisition or investment; |
| changes in the value of our assets; |
| our quarterly and annual operating results; |
| sales, or the possibility or perception of future sales, by our existing shareholders; |
| changes in general conditions in the economy and the insurance industry; |
| the financial markets; and |
| adverse press or news announcements. |
A few significant shareholders may influence or control the direction of our business. If the ownership of our ordinary shares continues to be highly concentrated, it may limit your ability and the ability of other shareholders to influence significant corporate decisions.
We have a number of shareholders with large interests, including several that may be affiliated with members of our Board of Directors. The interests of Messrs. Silvester, OShea and Packer, First Reserve Management, L.P. (or First Reserve), Trident V, L.P. and its affiliates (or Trident), Beck Mack & Oliver (or Beck Mack) and Goldman, Sachs & Co. and its affiliates (or Goldman Sachs) may not be fully aligned with your interests, and this may lead to a strategy that is not in your best interest. As of December 31, 2014, Messrs. Silvester, OShea and Packer, First Reserve, Trident, Beck Mack and Goldman Sachs beneficially owned approximately 7.8%, 1.2%, 2.0%, 9.5%, 8.5%, 7.5% and 4.2%, respectively, of our outstanding voting ordinary shares. Goldman Sachs owns additional non-voting ordinary shares that, together with its voting shares, represented an economic interest of over 18% as of December 31, 2014. First Reserve owns additional non-voting ordinary shares that, together with its voting shares, represented an economic interest of over 11.5% as of December 31, 2014.
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Although they do not act as a group, First Reserve, Trident, Beck Mack, Goldman Sachs and each of Messrs. Silvester, OShea and Packer may exercise significant influence over matters requiring shareholder approval, and their concentrated holdings may delay or deter possible changes in control of Enstar, which may reduce the market price of our ordinary shares.
Some aspects of our corporate structure may discourage third-party takeovers and other transactions, limit voting rights of certain shareholders to 9.5% or prevent the removal of our board of directors and management.
Some provisions of our bye-laws have the effect of making more difficult or discouraging unsolicited takeover bids from third parties or preventing the removal of our current board of directors and management. In particular, our bye-laws make it difficult for any U.S. shareholder or Direct Foreign Shareholder Group (a shareholder or group of commonly controlled shareholders of Enstar that are not U.S. persons) to own or control ordinary shares that constitute 9.5% or more of the voting power of all of our ordinary shares. The votes conferred by such shares will be reduced by whatever amount is necessary so that after any such reduction the votes conferred by such shares will constitute 9.5% of the total voting power of all ordinary shares entitled to vote generally. The primary purpose of this restriction is to reduce the likelihood that we or any of our non-U.S. subsidiaries will be deemed a controlled foreign corporation within the meaning of Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, or the Code, for U.S. federal tax purposes. However, this limit may also have the effect of deterring purchases of large blocks of our ordinary shares or proposals to acquire us, even if some or a majority of our shareholders might deem these purchases or acquisition proposals to be in their best interests. In addition, our bye-laws provide for a classified board, whose members may be removed by our shareholders only for cause by a majority vote, and contain restrictions on the ability of shareholders to nominate persons to serve as directors, submit resolutions to a shareholder vote and request special general meetings.
These bye-law provisions make it more difficult to acquire control of us by means of a tender offer, open market purchase, proxy contest or otherwise. These provisions may encourage persons seeking to acquire control of us to negotiate with our directors, which we believe would generally best serve the interests of our shareholders. However, these provisions may have the effect of discouraging a prospective acquirer from making a tender offer or otherwise attempting to obtain control of us. In addition, these bye-law provisions may prevent the removal of our current board of directors and management. To the extent these provisions discourage takeover attempts, they may deprive shareholders of opportunities to realize takeover premiums for their shares or may depress the market price of the shares.
There are regulatory limitations on the ownership and transfer of our ordinary shares.
Insurance laws and regulations in the jurisdictions in which our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries operate require prior notices or regulatory approval of changes in control of an insurer or its holding company. Different jurisdictions define changes in control differently, and generally any purchaser of 10% or more of our ordinary shares could become subject to regulation and be required to file certain notices and reports with the applicable insurance authorities. These laws may discourage potential acquisition proposals and may delay, deter or prevent a change in control of us, including transactions that some shareholders might consider to be desirable.
The market value of our ordinary shares may decline if large numbers of shares are sold, including pursuant to existing registration rights.
We have a registration rights agreement with Mr. Silvester, Trident and certain other of our shareholders. This agreement provides that Mr. Silvester and Trident may request that we effect a
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registration under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (or the Securities Act) of certain of their ordinary shares. We have also entered into a registration rights agreement with Goldman Sachs in connection with our private placement in 2011, which provides that it may make two requests that we effect a registration under the Securities Act of the voting ordinary shares and non-voting ordinary shares issued to them in the private placement. In connection with the acquisition of Torus, we entered into a registration rights agreement with First Reserve and Corsair Specialty Investors, L.P. (or Corsair) on April 1, 2014, pursuant to which we filed a resale shelf registration statement for their Registrable Securities. The agreement also provides that First Reserve may make three requests that we effect a registration under the Securities Act of its voting ordinary shares (including any voting ordinary shares into which First Reserves non-voting ordinary shares may convert) and that Corsair may make one such request.
All of these investors also have piggyback registration rights with respect to our registration of voting ordinary shares for our own account or for the account of one or more of our shareholders. As of December 31, 2014, the following shares are subject to these registration rights agreements: (i) an aggregate of approximately 2.3 million voting ordinary shares held by Mr. Silvester and Trident, (ii) 665,529 voting ordinary shares and 2,725,637 non-voting ordinary shares held by Goldman Sachs, (iii) 1,502,211 voting ordinary shares and 714,015 non-voting ordinary shares held by First Reserve, and (iv) 397,115 voting ordinary shares held by Corsair.
By exercising their registration rights, these holders could cause a large number of ordinary shares to be registered and generally become freely tradable without restrictions under the Securities Act immediately upon the effectiveness of the registration. Our ordinary shares have in the past been, and may from time to time continue to be, thinly traded, and significant sales, pursuant to the existing registration rights or otherwise, could adversely affect the market price for our ordinary shares and impair our ability to raise capital through offerings of our equity securities.
Because we are incorporated in Bermuda, it may be difficult for shareholders to serve process or enforce judgments against us or our directors and officers.
We are a Bermuda company. In addition, certain of our officers and directors reside in countries outside the United States. All or a substantial portion of our assets and the assets of these officers and directors are or may be located outside the United States. Investors may have difficulty effecting service of process within the United States on our directors and officers who reside outside the United States or recovering against us or these directors and officers on judgments of U.S. courts based on civil liabilities provisions of the U.S. federal securities laws even though we have appointed an agent in the United States to receive service of process. Further, no claim may be brought in Bermuda against us or our directors and officers for violation of U.S. federal securities laws, as such laws do not have force of law in Bermuda. A Bermuda court may, however, impose civil liability, including the possibility of monetary damages, on us or our directors and officers if the facts alleged in a complaint constitute or give rise to a cause of action under Bermuda law.
We believe that there is doubt as to whether the courts of Bermuda would enforce judgments of U.S. courts obtained in actions against us or our directors and officers, as well as our independent auditors, predicated upon the civil liability provisions of the U.S. federal securities laws or original actions brought in Bermuda against us or these persons predicated solely upon U.S. federal securities laws. Further, there is no treaty in effect between the United States and Bermuda providing for the enforcement of judgments of U.S. courts, and there are grounds upon which Bermuda courts may not enforce judgments of U.S. courts. Some remedies available under the laws of U.S. jurisdictions, including some remedies available under the U.S. federal securities laws, may not be allowed in Bermuda courts as contrary to that jurisdictions public policy. Because judgments of U.S. courts are not automatically enforceable in Bermuda, it may be difficult for you to recover against us based upon such judgments.
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Shareholders who own our ordinary shares may have more difficulty in protecting their interests than shareholders of a U.S. corporation.
The Bermuda Companies Act, or the Companies Act, which applies to us, differs in certain material respects from laws generally applicable to U.S. corporations and their shareholders. As a result of these differences, shareholders who own our shares may have more difficulty protecting their interests than shareholders who own shares of a U.S. corporation. For example, class actions and derivative actions are generally not available to shareholders under Bermuda law. Under Bermuda law, only shareholders holding collectively 5% or more of our outstanding ordinary shares or numbering 100 or more are entitled to propose a resolution at our general meeting.
We do not intend to pay cash dividends on our ordinary shares.
We do not intend to pay a cash dividend on our ordinary shares. Rather, we intend to use any retained earnings to fund the development and growth of our business. From time to time, our board of directors will review our alternatives with respect to our earnings and seek to maximize value for our shareholders. In the future, we may decide to commence a dividend program for the benefit of our shareholders. Any future determination to pay dividends will be at the discretion of our board of directors and will be limited by our position as a holding company that lacks direct operations, the results of operations of our subsidiaries, our financial condition, cash requirements and prospects and other factors that our board of directors deems relevant. In addition, there are significant regulatory and other constraints that could prevent us from paying dividends in any event. As a result, capital appreciation, if any, on our ordinary shares may be your sole source of gain for the foreseeable future.
Our board of directors may decline to register a transfer of our ordinary shares under certain circumstances.
Our board of directors may decline to register a transfer of ordinary shares under certain circumstances, including if it has reason to believe that any non-de minimis adverse tax, regulatory or legal consequences to us, any of our subsidiaries or any of our shareholders may occur as a result of such transfer. Further, our bye-laws provide us with the option to repurchase, or to assign to a third party the right to purchase, the minimum number of shares necessary to eliminate any such non-de minimis adverse tax, regulatory or legal consequence. In addition, our board of directors may decline to approve or register a transfer of shares unless all applicable consents, authorizations, permissions or approvals of any governmental body or agency in Bermuda, the United States or any other applicable jurisdiction required to be obtained prior to such transfer shall have been obtained. The proposed transferor of any shares will be deemed to own those shares for dividend, voting and reporting purposes until a transfer of such shares has been registered on our shareholders register.
It is our understanding that while the precise form of the restrictions on transfer contained in our bye-laws is untested, as a matter of general principle, restrictions on transfers are enforceable under Bermuda law and are not uncommon. These restrictions on transfer may also have the effect of delaying, deferring or preventing a change in control.
Risks Relating to Taxation
We might incur unexpected U.S., U.K. or Australia tax liabilities if companies in our group that are incorporated outside those jurisdictions are determined to be carrying on a trade or business there.
We and a number of our subsidiaries are companies formed under the laws of Bermuda or other jurisdictions that do not impose income taxes; it is our contemplation that these companies will not incur substantial income tax liabilities from their operations. Because the operations of these companies generally involve, or relate to, the insurance or reinsurance of risks that arise in higher tax jurisdictions, such as the United States, United Kingdom and Australia, it is possible that the taxing
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authorities in those jurisdictions may assert that the activities of one or more of these companies creates a sufficient nexus in that jurisdiction to subject the company to income tax there. There are uncertainties in how the relevant rules apply to insurance businesses, and in our eligibility for favorable treatment under applicable tax treaties. Accordingly, it is possible that we could incur substantial unexpected tax liabilities.
U.S. persons who own our ordinary shares might become subject to adverse U.S. tax consequences as a result of related person insurance income, or RPII, if any, of our non-U.S. insurance company subsidiaries.
If the RPII rules of the Code were to apply to us, a U.S. person who owns our ordinary shares directly, or indirectly through foreign entities, on the last day of the taxable year would be required to include in income for U.S. federal income tax purposes the shareholders pro rata share of our non-U.S. subsidiaries RPII for the entire taxable year, determined as if that RPII were distributed proportionately to the U.S. shareholders at that date regardless whether any actual distribution is made. In addition, any RPII that is includible in the income of a U.S. tax-exempt organization would generally be treated as unrelated business taxable income. Although we and our subsidiaries intend to operate generally in a manner so as to qualify for certain exceptions to the RPII rules, there can be no assurance that these exceptions will be available. Accordingly, there can be no assurance that U.S. persons who own our ordinary shares will not be required to recognize gross income inclusions attributable to RPII.
In addition, the RPII rules provide that if a shareholder who is a U.S. person disposes of shares in a foreign insurance company that has RPII and in which U.S. persons collectively own 25% or more of the total combined voting power of all classes of stock entitled to vote, or the total value of the stock, any gain from the disposition will generally be treated as dividend income to the extent of the shareholders share of the corporations undistributed earnings and profits that were accumulated during the period that the shareholder owned the shares (whether or not those earnings and profits are attributable to RPII). Such a shareholder would also be required to comply with certain reporting requirements, regardless of the amount of shares owned by the shareholder. These rules should not apply to dispositions of our ordinary shares because we will not be directly engaged in the insurance business. The RPII rules, however, have not been interpreted by the courts or the U.S. Internal Revenue Service, or the IRS, and regulations interpreting the RPII rules exist only in proposed form. Accordingly, there is no assurance that our views as to the inapplicability of these rules to a disposition of our ordinary shares will be accepted by the IRS or a court.
U.S. persons who own our ordinary shares would be subject to adverse tax consequences if we or one or more of our non-U.S. subsidiaries were considered a passive foreign investment company, or PFIC, for U.S. federal income tax purposes.
We believe that we and our non-U.S. subsidiaries will not be PFICs for U.S. federal income purposes for the current year. Moreover, we do not expect to conduct our activities in a manner that will cause us or any of our non-U.S. subsidiaries to become a PFIC in the future. However, there can be no assurance that the IRS will not challenge this position or that a court will not sustain such challenge. Accordingly, it is possible that we or one or more of our non-U.S. subsidiaries might be deemed a PFIC by the IRS or a court for the current year or any future year. If we or one or more of our non-U.S. subsidiaries were a PFIC, it could have material adverse tax consequences for an investor that is subject to U.S. federal income taxation, including subjecting the investor to a substantial acceleration and/or increase in tax liability. There are currently no regulations regarding the application of the PFIC provisions of the Code to an insurance company, so the application of those provisions to insurance companies remains unclear in certain respects.
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U.S. persons who own 10 percent or more of our shares may be subject to taxation under the controlled foreign corporation, or CFC, rules.
A U.S. person that is a 10% U.S. Shareholder of a non-U.S. corporation (i.e., a U.S. person who owns or is treated as owning at least 10% of the total combined voting power of all classes of stock entitled to vote of the non-U.S. corporation) that is a CFC for an uninterrupted period of 30 days or more during a taxable year, that owns shares in the CFC directly or indirectly through non-U.S. entities on the last day of the CFCs taxable year, must include in its gross income for U.S. federal income tax purposes its pro rata share of the CFCs subpart F income, even if the subpart F income is not distributed. Subpart F income of a non-U.S. insurance corporation typically includes foreign personal holding company income (such as interest, dividends and other types of passive income), as well as insurance and reinsurance income (including underwriting and investment income).
A non-U.S. corporation is considered a CFC if 10% U.S. Shareholders own (directly, indirectly through non-U.S. entities or by attribution by application of the constructive ownership rules of section 958(b) of the Code (i.e., constructively)) more than 50% of the total combined voting power of all classes of stock of that foreign corporation, or the total value of all stock of that foreign corporation. For purposes of taking into account insurance income, a CFC also includes a non-U.S. insurance company in which more than 25% of the total combined voting power of all classes of stock (or more than 25% of the total value of the stock) is owned directly, indirectly through non-U.S. entities or constructively by 10% U.S. Shareholders on any day during the taxable year of such corporation, if the gross amount of premiums or other consideration for the reinsurance or the issuing of insurance exceeds 75% of the gross amount of all premiums or other consideration in respect of all risks.
We believe that because of the dispersion of our share ownership, and provisions in our organizational documents that limit voting power, no U.S. person (including our subsidiary Enstar USA, Inc., which owns certain of our non-voting shares) should be treated as owning (directly, indirectly through non-U.S. entities or constructively) 10% or more of the total combined voting power of all classes of our shares. However, the IRS could successfully challenge the effectiveness of these provisions in our organizational documents. Accordingly, no assurance can be given that a U.S. person who owns our shares will not be characterized as a 10% U.S. Shareholder.
Changes in U.S. federal income tax law could materially affect us or our shareholders.
Legislation has been proposed on various occasions to eliminate perceived tax advantages of insurance companies that have legal domiciles outside the United States but have certain U.S. connections. For example, legislation has been proposed to disallow the deduction of reinsurance premiums paid by U.S. companies to certain non-U.S. affiliates, although no such provision has been enacted to date. It is possible that such legislation could be enacted or similar legislation could be introduced in and enacted by the current Congress or future Congresses and enactment of some version of such legislation, or other changes in U.S. tax laws, regulations or interpretations thereof, could have an adverse impact on us or our shareholders.
ITEM 1B. UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS
Not applicable
We lease office space in Hamilton, Bermuda, where our principal executive office is located. We also lease office space in a number of U.S. states, the United Kingdom, Australia, Ireland, Switzerland, Canada, India, Singapore and several European countries.
We renew and enter into new leases in the ordinary course of our business. We believe that this office space is sufficient for us to conduct our current operations for the foreseeable future, although in connection with future acquisitions from time to time, we may expand to different locations or increase space to support any such growth.
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We are, from time to time, involved in various legal proceedings in the ordinary course of business, including litigation and arbitration regarding claims. In addition to claims litigation and arbitration, we may be subject to other lawsuits and regulatory actions in the normal course of business, which may involve, among other things, allegations of underwriting errors or omissions, employment claims or regulatory activity.
We do not believe that the resolution of any currently pending legal proceedings, either individually or taken as a whole, will have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations or financial condition. Nevertheless, we cannot assure you that lawsuits, arbitrations or other litigation will not have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations. We anticipate that, similar to the rest of the insurance and reinsurance industry, we will continue to be subject to litigation and arbitration proceedings in the ordinary course of business, including litigation generally related to the scope of coverage with respect to asbestos and environmental and other claims. There can be no assurance that any such future litigation will not have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations.
ITEM 4. MINE SAFETY DISCLOSURES
Not applicable
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ITEM 5. | MARKET FOR THE REGISTRANTS COMMON EQUITY, RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES |
Our ordinary shares trade on the NASDAQ Global Select Market under the ticker symbol ESGR.
Price Range of Ordinary Shares
The price range per ordinary share presented below represents the highest and lowest sales prices for our common stock on the NASDAQ Global Select Market during each quarter of the two most recent years.
2014 | 2013 | |||||||||||||||
High | Low | High | Low | |||||||||||||
First Quarter |
$ | 141.64 | $ | 119.82 | $ | 129.83 | $ | 112.72 | ||||||||
Second Quarter |
$ | 152.47 | $ | 127.31 | $ | 138.99 | $ | 118.56 | ||||||||
Third Quarter |
$ | 153.74 | $ | 136.31 | $ | 147.85 | $ | 131.17 | ||||||||
Fourth Quarter |
$ | 161.94 | $ | 135.05 | $ | 142.67 | $ | 131.46 |
Holders
On February 26, 2015 there were 1,892 shareholders of record of our voting ordinary shares and 9 shareholders of record of our non-voting ordinary shares. The number of shareholders of record of our voting ordinary shares does not represent the actual number of beneficial owners of our voting ordinary shares because shares are frequently held in street name by securities dealers and others for the benefit of beneficial owners who may vote the shares.
Dividends
We are a holding company and have no direct operations. Our ability to pay dividends or distributions depends almost exclusively on the ability of our subsidiaries to pay dividends to us. Under applicable law, our subsidiaries may not declare or pay a dividend if there are reasonable grounds for believing that they are, or would after the payment be, unable to pay their liabilities as they become due, or the realizable value of their assets would thereby be less than the aggregate of their liabilities and their issued share capital and share premium accounts. Additional restrictions apply to the ability of our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries to distribute capital and pay dividends, as described in Item 1. Business Regulation, Item 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Liquidity and Capital Resources, and Note 19 Dividend Restrictions and Statutory Requirements in the notes to our consolidated financial statements included within Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. In addition, our outstanding credit facilities contain restrictions on our ability and certain of our subsidiaries ability to pay dividends.
We do not intend to pay a dividend on our ordinary shares, and we did not pay any dividends on our ordinary shares in 2014 or 2013. Rather, we intend to reinvest distributions from our subsidiaries back into the company. For a further description, see Item IA. Risk Factors Risks Relating to Ownership of Our Ordinary Shares We do not intend to pay cash dividends on our ordinary shares.
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Company Stock Performance
A graph reflecting our stock performance is included below. The graph reflects the investment of $100.00 on December 31, 2009 (assuming the reinvestment of dividends) in our ordinary shares, the NASDAQ Composite Index, and the NASDAQ Insurance Index.
12/09 | 12/10 | 12/11 | 12/12 | 12/13 | 12/14 | |||||||||||||||||||
Enstar Group Limited |
100.00 | 115.83 | 134.48 | 153.36 | 190.24 | 209.38 | ||||||||||||||||||
NASDAQ Composite |
100.00 | 117.61 | 118.70 | 139.00 | 196.83 | 223.74 | ||||||||||||||||||
NASDAQ Insurance |
100.00 | 117.00 | 121.06 | 139.89 | 186.24 | 206.76 |
Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities
None.
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ITEM 6. | SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA |
The following selected historical financial information for each of the past five fiscal years has been derived from our audited historical financial statements. This information is only a summary and should be read in conjunction with Item 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and our audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included in Item 8 of this report. The results of operations for past accounting periods are not necessarily indicative of the results to be expected for any future accounting period.
Since our inception, we have made numerous acquisitions of companies and portfolios of business that impact the comparability between periods of the information reflected below. In particular, our 2014 acquisition of Torus and our 2013 acquisitions of SeaBright, Pavonia, Arden and Atrium impact comparability to other periods, including with respect to net premiums earned. Our acquisitions are described in Item 1. Business Recent Transactions and Notes 3 and 4 to our audited consolidated financial statements included in Item 8 of this report.
Years Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||
2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | ||||||||||||||||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars, except share and per share data) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Selected Statements of Earnings Data: |
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Net premiums earned |
$ | 646,450 | $ | 239,807 | $ | 3,511 | $ | 3,543 | $ | | ||||||||||
Fees and commission income |
33,079 | 12,817 | 8,570 | 17,858 | 23,015 | |||||||||||||||
Net investment income |
117,369 | 93,295 | 77,760 | 68,676 | 81,261 | |||||||||||||||
Net realized and unrealized gains |
62,619 | 70,651 | 73,612 | 9,214 | 31,782 | |||||||||||||||
Gain on bargain purchase |
| | | 13,105 | | |||||||||||||||
Net (increase) reduction in ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities |
(9,146 | ) | 163,672 | 237,953 | 293,461 | 311,834 | ||||||||||||||
Life and annuity policy benefits |
(108,046 | ) | (78,354 | ) | 300 | (1,557 | ) | | ||||||||||||
Acquisition costs |
(132,573 | ) | (23,199 | ) | | | | |||||||||||||
Total other expenses |
(382,516 | ) | (254,867 | ) | (210,187 | ) | (195,842 | ) | (242,865 | ) | ||||||||||
Share of earnings of partly owned company |
| | | | 10,704 | |||||||||||||||
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Net earnings |
227,236 | 223,822 | 191,519 | 208,458 | 215,731 | |||||||||||||||
Less: Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests |
(13,487 | ) | (15,218 | ) | (23,502 | ) | (54,765 | ) | (41,645 | ) | ||||||||||
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Net earnings attributable to Enstar Group Limited |
$ | 213,749 | $ | 208,604 | $ | 168,017 | $ | 153,693 | $ | 174,086 | ||||||||||
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Per Ordinary Share Data: (1) |
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Net earnings per share attributable to Enstar Group Limited ordinary shareholders basic |
$ | 11.61 | $ | 12.62 | $ | 10.22 | $ | 11.03 | $ | 12.91 | ||||||||||
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Net earnings per share attributable to Enstar Group Limited ordinary shareholders diluted |
$ | 11.44 | $ | 12.49 | $ | 10.10 | $ | 10.81 | $ | 12.66 | ||||||||||
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Weighted average ordinary shares outstanding basic |
18,409,069 | 16,523,369 | 16,441,461 | 13,930,221 | 13,489,221 | |||||||||||||||
Weighted average ordinary shares outstanding diluted |
18,678,130 | 16,703,442 | 16,638,021 | 14,212,440 | 13,751,256 |
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December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||
2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | ||||||||||||||||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars, except per share data) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Selected Balance Sheet Data: |
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Total investments |
$ | 6,004,149 | $ | 5,519,798 | $ | 3,352,875 | $ | 3,335,199 | $ | 2,429,106 | ||||||||||
Total cash and cash equivalents (inclusive of restricted) |
1,498,376 | 1,041,498 | 954,855 | 1,223,665 | 1,455,354 | |||||||||||||||
Reinsurance balances recoverable |
1,331,555 | 1,363,819 | 1,122,919 | 1,789,582 | 961,442 | |||||||||||||||
Total assets |
9,936,885 | 8,620,155 | 5,878,261 | 6,606,138 | 5,235,904 | |||||||||||||||
Losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities |
4,509,421 | 4,219,905 | 3,650,127 | 4,272,081 | 3,291,275 | |||||||||||||||
Policy benefits for life and annuity contracts |
1,220,864 | 1,273,100 | 11,027 | 10,835 | | |||||||||||||||
Loans payable |
320,041 | 452,446 | 107,430 | 242,710 | 245,278 | |||||||||||||||
Total Enstar Group Limited shareholders equity |
2,304,850 | 1,755,523 | 1,553,755 | 1,386,066 | 948,421 | |||||||||||||||
Book Value per Share:(2) |
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Basic |
$ | 120.04 | $ | 106.21 | $ | 94.29 | $ | 84.56 | $ | 73.29 | ||||||||||
Diluted |
$ | 119.22 | $ | 105.20 | $ | 93.30 | $ | 82.97 | $ | 71.68 | ||||||||||
Shares Outstanding: |
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Basic |
19,201,017 | 16,528,343 | 16,477,809 | 16,391,076 | 12,940,660 | |||||||||||||||
Diluted |
19,332,864 | 16,707,115 | 16,653,120 | 16,705,767 | 13,231,320 |
(1) | Earnings per share is a measure based on net earnings divided by weighted average ordinary shares outstanding. Basic earnings per share is defined as net earnings available to ordinary shareholders divided by the weighted average number of ordinary shares outstanding for the period, giving no effect to dilutive securities. Diluted earnings per share is defined as net earnings available to ordinary shareholders divided by the weighted average number of shares and share equivalents outstanding calculated using the treasury stock method for all potentially dilutive securities. When the effect of dilutive securities would be anti-dilutive, these securities are excluded from the calculation of diluted earnings per share. |
(2) | Basic book value per share is defined as total Enstar Group Limited shareholders equity available to ordinary shareholders divided by the number of ordinary shares outstanding as at the end of the period, giving no effect to dilutive securities. Diluted book value per share is defined as total shareholders equity available to ordinary shareholders divided by the number of ordinary shares and ordinary share equivalents outstanding at the end of the period, calculated using the treasury stock method for all potentially dilutive securities. |
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ITEM 7. | MANAGEMENTS DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS |
The following discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements and the related notes included elsewhere in this annual report. Some of the information contained in this discussion and analysis or included elsewhere in this annual report, including information with respect to our plans and strategy for our business, includes forward-looking statements that involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Our actual results and the timing of events could differ materially from those anticipated by these forward-looking statements as a result of many factors, including those discussed under Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements, Risk Factors and elsewhere in this annual report.
Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Table of Contents
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Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses Atrium and Torus Segments |
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Net Reduction in Ultimate Losses and Loss Adjustment Expense Liabilities |
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Consolidated Results of Operations for the Years Ended December 31, 2014, 2013, and 2012 |
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Results of Operations by Segment for the Years Ended December 31, 2014, 2013, and 2012 |
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We are a Bermuda-based holding company with a core focus of acquiring and managing insurance and reinsurance companies in run-off and portfolios of insurance and reinsurance business in run-off, and providing management, consulting and other services to the insurance and reinsurance industry.
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Until 2013, all but one of our acquisitions had been in the non-life run-off business, which for us generally includes property and casualty, workers compensation, asbestos and environmental, construction defect, marine, aviation and transit, and other closed business.
While our core focus remains acquiring and managing non-life run-off business, in recent years, we expanded our business by entering into the active underwriting business through our acquisitions of Atrium and Torus. We partnered with the Trident V funds in the Atrium and Torus acquisitions, with Enstar owning an approximate 59.0% interest and Trident V owning an approximate 39.3% interest in the acquired companies (with Dowling owning a 1.7% interest). We also expanded our portfolio of run-off businesses to include closed life and annuities, primarily through our acquisition of Pavonia from HSBC Holdings plc on March 31, 2013.
Our strategies with respect to these new lines of business and our core non-life run-off business are discussed in Item 1. Business Company Overview, Strategy and Recent Transactions.
We operate our business internationally through our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries and our consulting subsidiaries in Bermuda, the United Kingdom, the United States, Europe and Australia.
Our primary corporate objective is growing our net book value per share. We believe this is driven primarily by growth in our net earnings, which is in turn driven in large part by successfully completing new acquisitions, effectively managing companies and portfolios of business that we have acquired, and executing on our active underwriting strategies. Our growth in book value per share on a fully diluted basis since becoming a public company on January 31, 2007 is set forth in the table below. We have achieved a compounded annual growth rate on our fully diluted book value per share of approximately 17.9% during this time.
During the year ended December 31, 2014, we increased our book value per share on a fully diluted basis by 13.3% to $119.22 per share. We grow our book value primarily in the following ways:
| settling our non-life run-off net loss reserves from acquired businesses below their acquired fair value (net reduction in ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities); |
| earning premiums in excess of related losses for our Torus, Atrium and life and annuities segments (net premiums earned); |
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| generating investment income on our cash and investment portfolios (net investment income and net realized and unrealized gains); |
| earning fees and commission income by providing expert run-off management services for a fixed and/or incentive based fee in our non-life run-off segment, and by providing managing general agency services through our Atrium segment (fees and commission income); and |
| managing our expenses as we continue to grow our operations (expenses). |
The following description summarizes these and other financial statement measures that largely drive the amount of book value per share that we attain.
Net Reduction in Ultimate Losses and Loss Adjustment Expense Liabilities
Our non-life run-off segment earnings comprise primarily reductions, or potential increases, of net ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities. These liabilities are comprised of outstanding loss or case reserves (or OLR), losses incurred but not reported (or IBNR) and unallocated loss adjustment expenses (or ULAE) reserves.
Net ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities established by management utilizing analysis performed by independent actuaries prepared on an annual basis are reviewed by our management each quarter. Reserves reflect managements best estimate of the remaining unpaid portion of these liabilities. Prior period estimates of net ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities may change as our management considers the combined impact of commutations, policy buy-backs, settlement of losses on carried reserves and the trend of incurred loss development compared to prior forecasts. Net reductions in ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities are reported as negative expenses by us. For more information on how the reserves are calculated, see Critical Accounting Policies Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses.
Net Premiums Earned
We derive income from premiums from our insurance and reinsurance businesses. Insurance and reinsurance premiums are a function of the amount and type of contracts written as well as prevailing market prices and conditions. Non-life premiums are earned over the terms of the underlying coverage. Life and annuity premiums are generally earned when the premium is due from policyholders. Each of our insurance and reinsurance contracts contain different pricing, terms and conditions and expected profit margins. Therefore, the amount of premiums is not necessarily an accurate indicator of our anticipated profitability. Premium estimates are based upon information in underlying contracts and data received from clients, cedants and brokers. Changes in premium estimates are expected and may result in significant adjustments in any period. These estimates change over time as additional information regarding the underlying business volume or insured values of our clients is obtained. There is often a delay in the receipt of updated premium information from clients due to the time lag in preparing and reporting the data to us. After review by our underwriters and finance staff, we increase or decrease premium estimates as updated information from our clients is received.
Net Investment Income and Net Realized and Unrealized Gains
Our net investment income is a function of the average invested assets and the average yield that we earn on those invested assets. The investment yield on our fixed maturity investments is a function of market interest rates as well as the credit quality and duration of our fixed maturities portfolio. Our net realized and unrealized gains or losses on investments includes realized gains and losses on our fixed maturity securities and changes in fair value of our trading securities and other investments. We recognize realized gains and losses at the time of sale, and they, along with the changes in fair value
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of our trading securities, reflect the results of changing market conditions, including changes in market interest rates and changes in the markets perception of the credit quality of our fixed maturity holdings. The change in fair value of other investments is principally a function of the success of the funds in which we are invested, which depends on, among other things, the underlying strategies of the funds, the ability of the fund managers to execute the fund strategies and general economic and investment market conditions.
Fees and Commission Income
Our Atrium segment earns profit commission income primarily related to the provision of managing general agency services to Syndicate 609 and its third-party members. Our non-life run-off segment generates fee income for run-off and claims services based on a combination of fixed and success-based fee arrangements. Fee income will vary from period to period depending on the timing of completion of success-based fee arrangements. Success-based fees are recorded when targets related to overall project completion or profitability goals are achieved.
Expenses
Salaries and Benefits
We are a service-based company and, as such, employee salaries and benefits are our largest expense. We have experienced significant increases in our salaries and benefits expenses as we have grown our operations, and we expect that trend to continue if we are able to expand our operations successfully.
We provide for the annual grant of bonus compensation to our officers and employees, including our senior executive officers. Bonus awards are based on a percentage of our consolidated net after-tax profits. The percentage is 15% unless our Compensation Committee exercises its discretion to change the percentage no later than 30 days after our year end. Bonus awards are payable in cash, ordinary shares or a combination of both.
General and Administrative Expenses
General and administrative expenses include rent and rent-related costs, professional fees (legal, investment, audit and actuarial) and travel expenses. We have operations in multiple jurisdictions and our employees travel frequently in connection with the search for acquisition opportunities and in the general management of the business.
Net Earnings Attributable to Noncontrolling Interest
Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interest relates to the share of earnings of our subsidiaries in which there is either a noncontrolling interest or a redeemable noncontrolling interest.
We believe the following accounting policies affect the more significant judgment and estimates used in the preparation of our financial statements.
Accounting for Acquisitions Fair Value Measurement
Non-life Run-off
The most significant liability and asset of an acquired company are typically the liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses and the asset related to any reinsurance balances recoverable on these liabilities that may be contractually due to the acquired entity. The market for acquisition of run-off companies is not sufficiently active and transparent to enable us to identify reliable, market exit values
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for acquired assets and liabilities. Accordingly, consistent with provisions of U.S. GAAP, we have developed internal models that we believe allow us to determine fair values that are reasonable proxies for market exit values. We are familiar with the major participants in the acquisition run-off market and believe that the key assumptions we make in valuing acquired assets and liabilities are consistent with the kinds of assumptions made by such market participants. Furthermore, in our negotiation of purchase prices with sellers, it is frequently clear to us that other bidders in the market are using models and assumptions similar in nature to ours during the competitive bid process. The majority of acquisitions are completed following a public tender process whereby the seller invites market participants to provide bids for the target acquisition.
We account for acquisitions using the purchase method of accounting, which requires that the acquirer record the assets and liabilities acquired at their estimated fair value. The fair values of each of the insurance and reinsurance assets and liabilities acquired are derived from probability-weighted ranges of the associated projected cash flows, based on actuarially prepared information and managements run-off strategy. Our run-off strategy, as well as that of other run-off market participants, is expected to be different from the sellers as generally sellers are not specialized in running off insurance and reinsurance liabilities whereas we and other market participants do specialize in such run-offs.
The key assumptions used by us and, we believe, by other run-off market participants in the fair valuation of acquired companies are (i) the projected payout, timing and amounts of claims liabilities; (ii) the related projected timing and amount of reinsurance collections; (iii) a risk-free discount rate, which is applied to determine the present value of the future cash flows; (iv) the estimated unallocated loss adjustment expenses to be incurred over the life of the run-off; (v) the impact that any accelerated run-off strategy may have on the adequacy of acquired bad debt provisions; and (vi) an appropriate risk margin.
The probability-weighted projected cash flows of the acquired company are based on projected claims payouts provided by the seller predominantly in the form of the sellers most recent independent actuarial reserve report. In the absence of the sellers actuarial reserve report, our independent actuaries will determine the estimated claims payout.
With respect to our U.K., Bermudian and Australian insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries, the local legislation provides for the possibility of pursuing strategies to achieve complete finality and conclude the run-off of a company by promoting solvent schemes of arrangement. Solvent schemes of arrangement have been a popular means of achieving financial certainty and finality for insurance and reinsurance companies incorporated or managed in the U.K., Bermuda and Australia by making a one-time full and final settlement of an insurance and reinsurance companys liabilities to policyholders. In April 2014, the PRA issued a supervisory statement that indicated that the PRA may require policyholders to be offered continuity of cover as part of a solvent scheme of arrangement proposal, in order to be compatible with the PRAs statutory objective of securing an appropriate degree of protection for policyholders. On acquisition of a U.K., Bermudian or Australian company, the claims payout projection is weighted according to managements estimated probability of being able to complete a solvent scheme of arrangement. To the extent that solvent schemes of arrangement are not available to an acquired company, no weighting is applied to the projected claims payout.
On acquisition, we make a provision for unallocated loss adjustment expense liabilities. This provision considers the adequacy of the provision maintained and recorded by the seller in light of our run-off strategy and estimated unallocated loss adjustment expenses to be incurred over the life of the acquired run-off as projected by the sellers actuaries or, in their absence, our actuaries. To the extent that our estimate of the total unallocated loss adjustment expense provision is different from the sellers, an adjustment will be made. While our objective is to accelerate the run-off by completing commutations of assumed and ceded business (which would have the effect of shortening the life, and
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therefore the cost, of the run-off), the success of this strategy is far from certain. Therefore, the estimates of unallocated loss adjustment expenses are based on running off the liabilities and assets over the actuarially projected life of the run-off. In those domiciles where solvent schemes of arrangement are available, managements estimates of the total unallocated loss adjustment expenses are probability-weighted in accordance with the estimated time that a solvent scheme of arrangement could be completed, which has the effect of reducing the period of the run-off and the related unallocated loss adjustment expenses. For those acquisitions in domiciles where solvent schemes of arrangement are not available, the unallocated loss adjustment expenses are estimated over the projected life of the run-off.
We believe that providing for unallocated loss adjustment expenses based on our run-off strategy is appropriate in determining the fair value of the assets and liabilities acquired in an acquisition of a run-off company. We believe that other participants in the run-off acquisition marketplace factor into the price to pay for an acquisition the estimated cost of running off the acquired company based on how that participant expects to manage the assets and liabilities.
The difference between the carrying value of reserves acquired at the date of acquisition and the fair value is the Fair Value Adjustment, or FVA. The FVA is amortized over the estimated payout period and adjusted for accelerations on commutation settlements or any other new information or subsequent change in circumstances after the date of acquisition. To the extent the actual payout experience after the acquisition is materially faster or slower than anticipated at the time of the acquisition, there is an adjustment to the estimated ultimate loss reserves, or there are changes in bad debt provisions or in estimates of future run-off costs following accelerated payouts, then the amortization of the FVA is accelerated or decelerated, as the case may be, to reflect such changes.
Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Non-life Run-off
The following table provides a breakdown of gross losses and loss adjustment expense reserves by type of exposure as of December 31, 2014 and 2013.
2014 | 2013 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
OLR | IBNR | Total | OLR | IBNR | Total | |||||||||||||||||||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Asbestos |
$ | 127,061 | $ | 234,551 | $ | 361,612 | $ | 152,478 | $ | 298,612 | $ | 451,090 | ||||||||||||
Environmental |
46,526 | 31,338 | 77,864 | 47,518 | 40,886 | 88,404 | ||||||||||||||||||
General casualty |
414,869 | 362,743 | 777,612 | 383,609 | 261,911 | 645,520 | ||||||||||||||||||
Workers compensation/personal accident |
774,225 | 282,943 | 1,057,168 | 944,077 | 383,287 | 1,327,364 | ||||||||||||||||||
Marine, aviation and transit |
65,936 | 9,598 | 75,534 | 137,054 | 45,597 | 182,651 | ||||||||||||||||||
Construction defect |
45,923 | 41,095 | 87,018 | 74,275 | 89,365 | 163,640 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other |
626,992 | 171,318 | 798,310 | 664,419 | 233,784 | 898,203 | ||||||||||||||||||
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|
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|
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|
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|
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Total |
$ | 2,101,532 | $ | 1,133,586 | $ | 3,235,118 | $ | 2,403,430 | $ | 1,353,442 | $ | 3,756,872 | ||||||||||||
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|
|
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ULAE |
199,892 | 247,641 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 3,435,010 | $ | 4,004,513 | ||||||||||||||||||||
|
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|
|
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Our primary objective in running off the operations of acquired companies and portfolios of insurance and reinsurance business in run-off is to increase book value by settling loss reserves below their acquired fair value. The earnings created in each acquired company or portfolio of insurance and reinsurance business, together with the related decrease in loss reserves, lead to a reduction in the capital required for each company, thereby providing the ability to distribute both earnings and excess capital to the parent company.
To the extent that the nature of the acquired loss reserves are conducive to commutation, our aim is to settle the majority of the acquired loss reserves within a timeframe of approximately five to seven years from the date of acquisition. To the extent that acquired reserves are not conducive to commutation, we will instead adopt a disciplined claims management approach to pay only valid claims on a timely basis and endeavor to reduce the level of acquired loss adjustment expense provisions by withdrawing, where appropriate, from existing litigation and otherwise streamlining claims handling procedures.
By adopting either of the above run-off strategies, we would expect that over the targeted life of the run-off, acquired ultimate loss reserves would settle below their recorded fair value, resulting in reductions in ultimate losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities. There can be no assurance, however, that we will successfully implement our strategy.
Commutations of blocks of policies, along with disciplined claims management, have the potential to produce favorable claims development compared to established reserves. For each newly-acquired company, we determine a commutation strategy that broadly identifies commutation targets using the following criteria:
| Previous commutations completed by existing portfolio companies with policyholders of the newly-acquired company; |
| Nature of liabilities; |
| Size of incurred loss reserves; |
| Recent loss development history; and |
| Targets for claims audits. |
Once commutation targets are identified, they are prioritized into target years of completion. At the beginning of each year, the approach to commutation negotiations is determined by the commutation team, including claims and exposure analysis and broker account reconciliations. On completion of this analysis, settlement parameters are set around incurred liabilities. Commutation discussions can take many months or even years to come to fruition. Commutation targets not completed in a particular year are re-prioritized for the following year.
Every commutation, irrespective of value, requires the approval of our Chief Financial Officer or one of our two Joint Chief Operating Officers. The impact of the commutation activity on the IBNR reserve is reflected as part of our annual actuarial reviews of reserves. However, if a significant commutation is completed during the year, loss reserves will be adjusted in the corresponding quarter to reflect managements then best estimate of the impact on remaining IBNR reserves.
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The following table provides a breakdown of losses and loss adjustment expense reserves (net of reinsurance balances recoverable) by type of exposure as of December 31, 2014 and 2013:
2014 | 2013 | |||||||||||||||
Total | % of Total |
Total | % of Total |
|||||||||||||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars) | ||||||||||||||||
Asbestos |
$ | 324,803 | 12.3 | % | $ | 405,323 | 14.1 | % | ||||||||
Environmental |
64,307 | 2.4 | % | 75,542 | 2.6 | % | ||||||||||
General casualty |
480,066 | 18.2 | % | 431,362 | 15.0 | % | ||||||||||
Workers compensation/personal accident |
736,771 | 28.0 | % | 903,756 | 31.3 | % | ||||||||||
Marine, aviation and transit |
69,508 | 2.6 | % | 101,547 | 3.5 | % | ||||||||||
Construction defect |
55,551 | 2.1 | % | 100,576 | 3.5 | % | ||||||||||
Other |
703,403 | 26.8 | % | 617,233 | 21.4 | % | ||||||||||
ULAE |
199,892 | 7.6 | % | 247,641 | 8.6 | % | ||||||||||
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|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Total |
$ | 2,634,301 | 100.0 | % | $ | 2,882,980 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||
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As of December 31, 2014, the IBNR reserves (net of reinsurance balances receivable) accounted for $862.4 million, or 32.7%, of our total net losses and loss adjustment expenses. The reserve for IBNR (net of reinsurance balance receivable) accounted for $962.6 million, or 33.4%, of our total net loss reserves at December 31, 2013.
Annual Losses and Loss Adjustment Reviews
Because a significant amount of time can lapse between the assumption of risk, the occurrence of a loss event, the reporting of the event to an insurance or reinsurance company and the ultimate payment of the claim on the loss event, the liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses is based largely upon estimates. Our management must use considerable judgment in the process of developing these estimates. The liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses for property and casualty business includes amounts determined from loss reports on individual cases and amounts for IBNR reserves. Such reserves, including IBNR reserves, are estimated by management based upon loss reports received from ceding companies, supplemented by our own estimates of losses for which no ceding company loss reports have yet been received and the results of annual independent actuarial studies.
Loss advices or reports from ceding companies are generally provided via the placing broker and comprise treaty statements, individual claims files, electronic messages and large loss advices or cash calls. Large loss advices and cash calls are provided to us as soon as practicable after an individual loss or claim is made or settled by the insured. The remaining broker advices are issued monthly, quarterly or annually depending on the provisions of the individual policies or the ceding companys practice. For certain direct insurance policies where the claims are managed by Third Party Administrators (TPAs) and Managing General Agents (MGAs), loss bordereaux are received either monthly or quarterly depending on the arrangement with the TPA and MGA.
Where we provide reinsurance or retrocession reinsurance protection, the process of claims advice from the direct insurer to the reinsurers and/or retrocessionaires naturally involves more levels of communication, which inevitably creates delays or lags in the receipt of loss advice by the reinsurers/retrocessionaires relative to the date of first advice to the direct insurer. Certain types of exposure, typically latent health exposures such as asbestos-related claims, have inherently long reporting delays, in some cases many years, from the date a loss occurred to the manifestation and reporting of a claim and ultimately until the final settlement of the claim. For asbestos and environmental exposures, our actuaries apply explicit time lag assumptions in their reserving
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methodologies. This time lag varies by portfolio from one to five years depending on the relative mix of domicile, percentages of product mix of insurance, reinsurance and retrocessional reinsurance, primary insurance, excess reinsurance, reinsurance of direct and reinsurance of reinsurance within any given exposure category. Exposure portfolios written from a non-U.S. domicile are assumed to have a greater time lag than portfolios written from a U.S.-domicile. Portfolios with a larger proportion of reinsurance exposures are assumed to have a greater time-lag than portfolios with a larger proportion of insurance exposures.
An industry-wide weakness in cedant reporting affects the adequacy and accuracy of reserving for advised claims. We attempt to mitigate this inherent weakness as follows:
1. | We closely monitor cedant loss reporting and, for those cedants identified as providing inadequate, untimely or unusual reporting of losses, we conduct, in accordance with the provisions of the insurance and reinsurance contracts, detailed claims audits at the insureds or reinsureds premises. Such claims audits have the benefit of validating advised claims, determining whether the cedants loss reserving practices and reporting are adequate and identifying potential loss reserving issues of which our actuaries need to be made aware. Any required adjustments to advised claims reserves reported by cedants identified during the claims audits will be recorded as an adjustment to the advised case reserve. |
2. | Onsite claims audits are often supplemented by further reviews by our internal and external legal advisors to determine the reasonableness of advised case reserves and, if considered necessary, an adjustment to the reported case reserve will be recorded. |
3. | Our actuaries project expected paid and incurred loss development for each class of business, which is monitored on a quarterly basis. Should actual paid and incurred development differ significantly from the expected paid and incurred development, we will investigate the cause and, in conjunction with our actuaries, consider whether any adjustment to ultimate loss reserves is required. |
Our actuaries consider the quality of ceding company data as part of their ongoing evaluation of the liability for ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses, and the methodologies they select for estimating ultimate losses inherently compensate for potential weaknesses in this data, including weaknesses in loss reports provided by cedants.
We strive to apply the highest standards of discipline and professionalism to our claims adjusting, processing and settlement, and disputes with cedants are rare. However, we are from time to time involved in various disputes and legal proceedings in the ordinary course of our claims adjusting process. The majority of the losses ceded to us are from the subscription insurance market (where there are often many insurers and reinsurers underwriting each policy), and we often are involved in disputes commenced by other co-insurers who act in unison with any litigation or dispute resolution controlled by the lead underwriter. Coverage disputes arise when the insured/reinsured and insurer/reinsurer cannot reach agreement as to the interpretation of the policy and/or application of the policy to a claim. Most insurance and reinsurance policies contain dispute resolution clauses requiring arbitration or mediation. In the absence of a contractual dispute resolution process, civil litigation would be commenced. We aim to reach a commercially acceptable resolution to any dispute, using arbitration or litigation as a last resort. We regularly monitor and provide internal reports on disputes involving arbitration and litigation and engage external legal counsel to provide professional advice and assist with case management.
In establishing reserves, management includes amounts for IBNR reserves using information from independent actuarial estimates of ultimate losses. Our independent actuaries use generally accepted actuarial methodologies to estimate ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses and those estimates are reviewed by our management.
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Nearly all of our unpaid claims liabilities are considered to have a long claims payout tail. Gross loss reserves for our non-life run-off subsidiaries relate primarily to casualty exposures, including latent claims, of which approximately 12.8% (2013: 13.5%) relate to asbestos and environmental, or A&E, exposures.
Within the annual loss reserve studies produced by our independent actuaries, exposures for each subsidiary are separated into homogeneous reserving categories for the purpose of estimating IBNR. Each reserving category contains either direct insurance or assumed reinsurance reserves and groups relatively similar types of risks and exposures (for example, asbestos, environmental, casualty, property) and lines of business written (for example, marine, aviation, non-marine). Based on the exposure characteristics and the nature of available data for each individual reserving category, a number of methodologies are applied. Recorded reserves for each category are selected from the indications produced by the various methodologies after consideration of exposure characteristics, data limitations and strengths and weaknesses of each method applied. This approach to estimating IBNR has been consistently adopted in the annual loss reserve studies for each period presented.
We review the external actuaries reports for consistency and appropriateness of methodology and assumptions, including assumptions of industry benchmarks, and discuss any concerns or changes with them. Our Chief Actuary and Chief Financial Officer then consider the reasonableness of loss reserves recommended by our external actuaries, in light of actual loss development during the year, using the following reports produced internally on a quarterly basis for each of our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries:
1. | Gross, ceded and net incurred loss report This report provides, for each reporting period, the total (including commuted policies) gross, ceded and net incurred loss development for each company and a commentary on each companys loss development prepared by our Chief Actuary. The report highlights the causes of any unusual or significant loss development activity (including commutations) and includes commentary on quality and reliability of underlying data. |
2. | Actual versus expected gross incurred loss development report This report provides a summary, and commentary thereon, of each companys (excluding companies or portfolios of business acquired in the current year) non-commuted incurred gross losses compared to the estimate of the development of non-commuted incurred gross losses provided by our external actuaries at the beginning of the year as part of the prior years reserving process. |
3. | Commutations summary schedule This schedule summarizes all commutations completed during the year for all companies, and identifies the policyholder with which we commuted, the incurred losses settled by the commutation (comprising outstanding unpaid losses and case reserves) and the amount of the commutation settlement. |
4. | Analysis of paid, incurred and ultimate losses This analysis for each company, and in the aggregate, provides a summary of the gross, ceded and net paid and incurred losses and the impact of applying our external actuaries recommended loss reserves. This report, reviewed in conjunction with the previous reports, provides an analytical tool to review each companys incurred loss or gain and reduction in IBNR reserves to assess whether the ultimate reduction in loss reserves appears reasonable in light of known developments within each company. |
The above reports provide our Chief Actuary and Chief Financial Officer with the relevant information to determine whether loss development (including commutations) during the year has, for each company, been sufficiently meaningful so as to warrant an adjustment to the reserves recommended by our external actuaries in the most recent actuarial study. It is not possible to quantify how much of any reserve release specifically relates to commutations or favorable development of non-commuted claims as the revised historical loss development used by the actuaries to estimate required reserves is a combination of both the elimination of historical loss development relating to commuted policies and non-commuted loss development.
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When establishing loss reserves we have an expectation that, in the absence of commutations and significant favorable or unfavorable non-commuted loss development compared to expectations, loss reserves will not exceed the high, or be less than the low, end of the following ranges of gross losses and loss adjustment expense reserves implied by the various methodologies used by each of our insurance subsidiaries as of December 31, 2014.
The range of gross loss and loss adjustment expense reserves implied by the various methodologies used by each of our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries as of December 31, 2014 were:
Low | Selected | High | ||||||||||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars) | ||||||||||||
Asbestos |
$ | 310,977 | $ | 361,612 | $ | 396,648 | ||||||
Environmental |
67,519 | 77,864 | 86,399 | |||||||||
General casualty |
688,961 | 777,612 | 879,110 | |||||||||
Workers compensation/personal accident |
933,763 | 1,057,168 | 1,161,390 | |||||||||
Marine, aviation and transit |
66,428 | 75,534 | 87,479 | |||||||||
Construction defect |
75,396 | 87,018 | 94,879 | |||||||||
Other |
711,474 | 798,310 | 913,089 | |||||||||
ULAE |
199,892 | 199,892 | 199,892 | |||||||||
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|
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Total |
$ | 3,054,410 | $ | 3,435,010 | $ | 3,818,886 | ||||||
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Latent Claims
Our loss reserves are related largely to casualty exposures including latent exposures relating primarily to A&E. In establishing the reserves for unpaid claims, management considers facts currently known and the current state of the law and coverage litigation. Liabilities are recognized for known claims (including the cost of related litigation) when sufficient information has been developed to indicate the involvement of a specific insurance policy and management can reasonably estimate its liability. In addition, reserves are established to cover loss development related to both known and unasserted claims.
The estimation of unpaid claim liabilities is subject to a high degree of uncertainty for a number of reasons. First, unpaid claim liabilities for property and casualty exposures in general are impacted by changes in the legal environment, jury awards, medical cost trends and general inflation. Moreover, for latent exposures in particular, developed case law and adequate claim history do not exist. There is significant coverage litigation related to these exposures, which creates further uncertainty in the estimation of the liabilities. As a result, for these types of exposures, it is especially unclear whether past claim experience will be representative of future claim experience. Ultimate values for such claims cannot be estimated using reserving techniques that extrapolate losses to an ultimate basis using loss development factors, and the uncertainties surrounding the estimation of unpaid claim liabilities are not likely to be resolved in the near future. There can be no assurance that the reserves we establish will be adequate or will not be adversely affected by the development of other latent exposures.
Our asbestos claims are primarily products liability claims submitted by a variety of insureds who operated in different parts of the asbestos distribution chain. While most such claims arise from asbestos mining and primary asbestos manufacturers, we have also been receiving claims from tertiary defendants such as smaller manufacturers, and the industry has seen an emerging trend of non-products claims arising from premises exposures. Unlike products claims, primary policies generally do not contain aggregate policy limits for premises claims, which, accordingly, remain at the primary layer and, thus, rarely impact excess insurance policies. As the vast majority of our policies are excess policies, this trend has had only a marginal effect on our asbestos exposures thus far.
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Asbestos reform efforts have been underway at both the federal and state level to address the cost and scope of asbestos claims to the American economy. While congressional efforts to create a federal trust fund that would replace the tort system for asbestos claims failed, several states, including Texas and Florida, have passed reforms based on medical criteria requiring certain levels of medically documented injury before a lawsuit can be filed, generally resulting in a drop of case filings in those states adopting this reform measure.
Asbestos claims primarily fall into two general categories: impaired and unimpaired bodily injury claims. Property damage claims represent only a small fraction of asbestos claims. Impaired claims primarily include individuals suffering from mesothelioma or a cancer such as lung cancer. Unimpaired claims include asbestosis and those whose lung regions contain pleural plaques.
Unlike traditional property and casualty insurers that either have large numbers of individual claims arising from personal lines such as auto, or small numbers of high value claims as in medical malpractice insurance lines, our primary exposures arise from A&E claims that do not follow a consistent pattern. For instance, we may encounter a small insured with one large environmental claim due to significant groundwater contamination, while a Fortune 500 company may submit numerous claims for relatively small values. Moreover, there is no set pattern for the life of an environmental or asbestos claim. Some of these claims may resolve within two years whereas others have remained unresolved for nearly two decades. Therefore, our open and closed claims data do not follow any identifiable or discernible pattern.
Furthermore, because of the reinsurance nature of the claims we manage, we focus on the activities at the reinsured level rather than at the individual claims level. The counterparties with whom we typically interact are generally insurers or large industrial concerns and not individual claimants. Claims do not follow any consistent pattern. They arise from many insureds or locations and in a broad range of circumstances. An insured may present one large claim or hundreds or thousands of small claims. Plaintiffs counsel frequently aggregate thousands of claims within one lawsuit. The deductibles to which claims are subject vary from policy to policy and year to year. Often claims data is only available to reinsurers, such as us, on an aggregated basis. Accordingly, we have not found claim count information or average reserve amounts to be reliable indicators of exposure for our reserve estimation process or for management of our liabilities. We have found data accumulation and claims management more effective and meaningful at the reinsured level rather than at the underlying claim level. As a result, we have designed our reserving methodologies to be independent of claim count information. As the level of exposures to a reinsured can vary substantially, we focus on the aggregate exposures and pursue commutations and policy buy-backs with the larger reinsureds.
Our future environmental loss development may be influenced by other factors including:
| Existence of currently undiscovered polluted sites eligible for clean-up under the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act (or CERCLA) and related legislation. |
| Costs imposed due to joint and several liability if not all potentially responsible parties (or PRPs) are capable of paying their share. |
| Success of legal challenges to certain policy terms such as the absolute pollution exclusion. |
| Potential future reforms and amendments to CERCLA, particularly as the resources of Superfund the funding vehicle, established as part of CERCLA, to provide financing for cleanup of polluted sites where no PRP can be identified become exhausted. |
The influence of each of these factors is not easily quantifiable and, as with asbestos-related exposures, our historical environmental loss development is of limited value in determining future environmental loss development using traditional actuarial reserving techniques.
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Our independent, external actuaries use industry benchmarking methodologies to estimate appropriate IBNR reserves for our A&E exposures. These methods are based on comparisons of our loss experience on A&E exposures relative to industry loss experience on A&E exposures. Estimates of IBNR are derived separately for each of our relevant subsidiaries and, for some subsidiaries, separately for distinct portfolios of exposure. The discussion that follows describes, in greater detail, the primary actuarial methodologies used by our independent actuaries to estimate IBNR for A&E exposures.
In addition to the specific considerations for each method described below, many general factors are considered in the application of the methods and the interpretation of results for each portfolio of exposures. These factors include the mix of product types (e.g., primary insurance versus reinsurance of primary versus reinsurance of reinsurance), the average attachment point of coverages (e.g., first-dollar primary versus umbrella over primary versus high-excess), payment and reporting lags related to the international domicile of our subsidiaries, payment and reporting pattern acceleration due to large wholesale settlements (e.g., policy buy-backs and commutations) pursued by us, and lists of individual risks remaining and general trends within the legal and tort environments.
1. Paid Survival Ratio Method. In this method, our expected annual average payment amount is multiplied by an expected future number of payment years to get an indicated reserve. Our historical calendar year payments are examined to determine an expected future annual average payment amount. This amount is multiplied by an expected number of future payment years to estimate a reserve. Trends in calendar year payment activity are considered when selecting an expected future annual average payment amount. Accepted industry benchmarks are used in determining an expected number of future payment years. Each year, annual payments data is updated, trends in payments are re-evaluated and changes to benchmark future payment years are reviewed. Advantages of this method are ease of application and simplicity of assumptions. A potential disadvantage of the method is that results could be misleading for portfolios of high excess exposures where significant payment activity has not yet begun.
2. Paid Market Share Method. In this method, our estimated market share is applied to the industry estimated unpaid losses or estimate of industry ultimate losses. The ratio of our historical calendar year payments to industry historical calendar year payments is examined to estimate our market share. This ratio is then applied to the estimate of industry unpaid losses or estimate of industry ultimate losses. Each year, calendar year payment data is updated (for both us and industry), estimates of industry unpaid losses are reviewed and the selection of our estimated market share is revisited. This method has the advantage that trends in calendar year market share can be incorporated into the selection of company share of remaining market payments. A potential disadvantage of this method is that it is particularly sensitive to assumptions regarding the time-lag between industry payments and our payments.
3. Reserve-to-Paid Method. In this method, the ratio of estimated industry reserves to industry paid-to-date losses is multiplied by our paid-to-date losses to estimate our reserves. Specific considerations in the application of this method include the completeness of our paid-to-date loss information, the potential acceleration or deceleration in our payments (relative to the industry) due to our claims handling practices, and the impact of large individual settlements. Each year, paid-to-date loss information is updated (for both us and the industry) and updates to industry estimated reserves are reviewed. This method has the advantage of relying purely on paid loss data and so is not influenced by subjectivity of case reserve loss estimates. A potential disadvantage is that the application to our portfolios that do not have complete inception-to-date paid loss history could produce misleading results. To address this potential disadvantage, a variation of the method is also considered by multiplying the ratio of estimated industry reserves to industry losses paid during a recent period of time (e.g., 5 years) times our paid losses during that period.
4. IBNR:Case Ratio Method. In this method, the ratio of estimated industry IBNR reserves to industry case reserves is multiplied by our case reserves to estimate our IBNR reserves. Specific
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considerations in the application of this method include the presence of policies reserved at policy limits, changes in overall industry case reserve adequacy and recent loss reporting history. Each year, our case reserves are updated, the estimate of industry reserves is updated and the applicability of the industry IBNR:Case Ratio is reviewed. This method has the advantage that it incorporates the most recent estimates of amounts needed to settle open cases included in current case reserves. A potential disadvantage is that results could be misleading where our case reserve adequacy differs significantly from overall industry case reserve adequacy. In these instances, the industry IBNR:Case Ratios were adjusted to reflect our portfolio case reserve adequacy.
5. Ultimate-to-Incurred Method. In this method, the ratio of estimated industry ultimate losses to industry incurred-to-date losses is applied to our incurred-to-date losses to estimate our IBNR reserves. Specific considerations in the application of this method include the completeness of our incurred-to-date loss information, the potential acceleration or deceleration in our incurred losses (relative to the industry) due to our claims handling practices and the impact of large individual settlements. Each year incurred-to-date loss information is updated (for both us and the industry) and updates to industry estimated ultimate losses are reviewed. This method has the advantage that it incorporates both paid and case reserve information in projecting ultimate losses. A potential disadvantage is that results could be misleading where cumulative paid loss data is incomplete or where our case reserve adequacy differs significantly from overall industry case reserve adequacy. In these instances, the industry IBNR:Case Ratios were adjusted to reflect our portfolio case reserve adequacy.
6. Decay Factor Method. In this method, a decay factor is directly applied to our payment data to estimate future payments. The decay factors were selected based on a review of our own decays and industry decays. This method is most useful where our data shows a decreasing pattern and is credible enough to be reliable. This method was introduced in 2013.
Under the Paid Survival Ratio Method, the Paid Market Share Method and the Reserve-to-Paid Method, we first determine the estimated total reserve and then deduct the reported outstanding case reserves to arrive at an estimated IBNR reserve. The IBNR:Case Ratio Method first determines an estimated IBNR reserve which is then added to the advised outstanding case reserves to arrive at an estimated total loss reserve. The Ultimate-to-Incurred Method first determines an estimate of the ultimate losses to be paid and then deducts paid-to-date losses to arrive at an estimated total loss reserve and then deducts outstanding case reserves to arrive at the estimated IBNR reserve. In the decay factor method, an initial payment is selected and reserves are estimated directly from the projection of future payments.
As of December 31, 2014, we had 30 separate insurance and/or reinsurance subsidiaries in the non-life run-off segment whose reserves are categorized into approximately 262 reserve categories in total, including 32 distinct asbestos reserving categories and 22 distinct environmental reserving categories.
To the extent that data availability allows, the six methodologies described above are applied for each of the 32 asbestos reserving categories and each of the 22 environmental reserving categories. As is common in actuarial practice, no one methodology is exclusively or consistently relied upon when selecting a recorded reserve. Consistent reliance on a single methodology to select a recorded reserve would be inappropriate in light of the dynamic nature of both the A&E liabilities in general, and our actual exposure portfolios in particular.
In selecting a recorded reserve, management considers the range of results produced by the methods, and the strengths and weaknesses of the methods in relation to the data available and the specific characteristics of the portfolio under consideration. Trends in both our data and industry data are also considered in the reserve selection process. Recent trends or changes in the relevant tort and legal environments are also considered when assessing methodology results and selecting an appropriate recorded reserve amount for each portfolio.
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The following key assumptions were used to estimate A&E reserves at December 31, 2014:
1. $74 Billion Ultimate Industry Asbestos Losses This level of industry-wide losses and its comparison to industry-wide paid, incurred and outstanding case reserves is the base benchmarking assumption applied to Paid Market Share, Reserve-to-Paid, IBNR:Case Ratio and the Ultimate-to-Incurred asbestos reserving methodologies.
2. $40 Billion Ultimate Industry Environmental Losses This level of industry-wide losses and its comparison to industry-wide paid, incurred and outstanding case reserves is the base benchmarking assumption applied to Paid Market Share, Reserve-to-Paid, IBNR:Case Ratio and the Ultimate-to-Incurred environmental reserving methodologies.
3. Loss Reporting Lag Our subsidiaries assumed a mix of insurance and reinsurance exposures generally through the London market. As the available industry benchmark loss information, as supplied by our independent consulting actuaries, is compiled largely from U.S. direct insurance company experience, our loss reporting is expected to lag relative to available industry benchmark information. This time-lag used by each of our insurance subsidiaries varies from 1 to 5 years depending on the relative mix of domicile, percentages of product mix of insurance, reinsurance and retrocessional reinsurance, primary insurance, excess insurance, reinsurance of direct, and reinsurance of reinsurance within any given exposure category. Exposure portfolios written from a non-U.S. domicile are assumed to have a greater time-lag than portfolios written from a U.S. domicile. Portfolios with a larger proportion of reinsurance exposures are assumed to have a greater time-lag than portfolios with a larger proportion of insurance exposures.
The following tables provide a summary of the impact of changes in industry ultimate losses, from the selected $74 billion for asbestos and $40 billion for environmental, and changes in the time-lag, from the selected averages of 2.8 years for asbestos and 2.2 years for environmental, for us behind industry development that it is assumed relates to our insurance and reinsurance companies. Please note that the table below demonstrates sensitivity to changes to key assumptions using methodologies selected for determining loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses, or ALAE, at December 31, 2014 and differs from the table on page 81, which demonstrates the range of outcomes produced by the various methodologies.
Sensitivity to Industry Asbestos Ultimate Loss Assumption |
Asbestos Loss Reserves | |||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars) | ||||
Asbestos $79 billion |
$ | 419,470 | ||
Asbestos $74 billion (selected) |
361,612 | |||
Asbestos $69 billion |
303,754 |
Sensitivity to Industry Environmental Ultimate Loss Assumption |
Environmental Loss Reserves |
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(in thousands of U.S. dollars) | ||||
Environmental $42.5 billion |
$ | 96,553 | ||
Environmental $40 billion (selected) |
77,864 | |||
Environmental $37.5 billion |
59,178 |
Sensitivity to Time-Lag Assumption* |
Asbestos Loss Reserves |
Environmental Loss Reserves |
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(in thousands of U.S. dollars) |
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Selected average of 2.8 years asbestos, 2.2 years environmental |
$ | 361,612 | $ | 77,864 | ||||
Increase all portfolio lags by one year |
386,925 | 84,094 | ||||||
Decrease all portfolio lags by one year |
336,299 | 71,636 |
* | Using $74 billion/$40 billion Asbestos/Environmental Industry Ultimate Loss assumptions. |
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Due to the inability of our external actuaries to review the data, methodologies and calculations supporting the industry published estimates, our external actuaries themselves have estimated ultimate industry losses. This allows our external actuaries to better monitor the impact on us of the selected asbestos and environmental ultimate loss assumptions on an annual basis and also allow them to monitor industry payments against expectations. For the year ended December 31, 2014, there were no changes in the assumptions regarding industry asbestos and environmental ultimate loss and loss reporting lag described on page 85.
All Other (Non-latent) Reserves
For our All Other (non-latent) loss exposure, a range of traditional loss development extrapolation techniques is applied by our independent actuaries and us. These methods assume that cohorts, or groups, of losses from similar exposures will increase over time in a predictable manner. Historical paid, incurred, and outstanding loss development experience is examined for earlier years to make inferences about how later years losses will develop. The application and consideration of multiple methods is consistent with the Actuarial Standards of Practice.
When determining which loss development extrapolation methods to apply to each company and each class of exposure within each company, we and our independent actuaries consider the nature of the exposure for each specific subsidiary and reserving segment and the available loss development data, as well as the limitations of that data. In cases where company-specific loss development information is not available or reliable, we and our independent actuaries select methods that do not rely on historical data (such as incremental or run-off methods) and consider industry loss development information published by industry sources such as the Reinsurance Association of America. In determining which methods to apply, we and our independent actuaries also consider cause of loss coding information when available.
A brief summary of the methods that are considered most frequently in analyzing non-latent exposures is provided below. This summary discusses the strengths and weaknesses of each method, as well as the data requirements for each method, all of which are considered when selecting which methods to apply for each reserve segment.
1. Cumulative Reported and Paid Loss Development Methods. The Cumulative Reported (Case Incurred) Loss Development method relies on the assumption that, at any given state of maturity, ultimate losses can be predicted by multiplying cumulative reported losses (paid losses plus case reserves) by a cumulative development factor. The validity of the results of this method depends on the stability of claim reporting and settlement rates, as well as the consistency of case reserve levels. Case reserves do not have to be adequately stated for this method to be effective; they only need to have a fairly consistent level of adequacy at all stages of maturity. Historical age-to-age loss development factors (or LDFs) are calculated to measure the relative development of an accident year from one maturity point to the next. Age-to-age LDFs are then selected based on these historical factors. The selected age-to-age LDFs are used to project the ultimate losses. The Cumulative Paid Loss Development Method is mechanically identical to the Cumulative Reported Loss Development Method described above, but the paid method does not rely on case reserves or claim reporting patterns in making projections. The validity of the results from using a cumulative loss development approach can be affected by many conditions, such as internal claim department processing changes, a shift between single and multiple payments per claim, legal changes, or variations in a companys mix of business from year to year. Typically, the most appropriate circumstances in which to apply a
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cumulative loss development method are those in which the exposure is mature, full loss development data is available, and the historical observed loss development is relatively stable.
2. Incremental Reported and Paid Loss Development Methods. Incremental incurred and paid analyses are performed in cases where cumulative data is not available. The concept of the incremental loss development methods is similar to the cumulative loss development methods described above, in that the pattern of historical paid or incurred losses is used to project the remaining future development. The difference between the cumulative and incremental methods is that the incremental methods rely on only incremental incurred or paid loss data from a given point in time forward, and do not require full loss history. These incremental loss development methods are therefore helpful when data limitations apply. While this versatility in the incremental methods is a strength, the methods are sensitive to fluctuations in loss development, so care must be taken in applying them.
3. IBNR-to-Case Outstanding Method. This method requires the estimation of consistent cumulative paid and reported (case) incurred loss development patterns and age-to-ultimate LDFs, either from data that is specific to the segment being analyzed or from applicable benchmark or industry data. These patterns imply a specific expected relationship between IBNR, including both development on known claims (bulk reserve) and losses on true late reported claims, and reported case incurred losses. The IBNR-to-Case Outstanding method can be used in a variety of situations. It is appropriate for loss development experience that is mature and possesses a very high ratio of paid losses to reported case incurred losses. The method also permits an evaluation of the difference in maturity between the business being reviewed and benchmark development patterns. Depending on the relationship of paid to incurred losses, an estimate of the relative maturity of the business being reviewed can be made and a subsequent estimate of ultimate losses driven by the implied IBNR to case outstanding ratio at the appropriate maturity can be made. This method is also useful where loss development data is incomplete and only the case outstanding amounts are determined to be reliable. This method is less reliable in situations where relative case reserve adequacy has been changing over time.
4. Bornhuetter-Ferguson Expected Loss Projection Reported and Paid Methods. The Bornhuetter-Ferguson Expected Loss Projection Method based on reported loss data relies on the assumption that remaining unreported losses are a function of the total expected losses rather than a function of currently reported losses. The expected losses used in this analysis are based on initial selected ultimate loss ratios by year. The expected losses are multiplied by the unreported percentage to produce expected unreported losses. The unreported percentage is calculated as one minus the reciprocal of the selected cumulative incurred LDFs. Finally, the expected unreported losses are added to the current reported losses to produce ultimate losses. The calculations underlying the Bornhuetter-Ferguson Expected Loss Projection Method based on paid loss data are similar to the Bornhuetter-Ferguson calculations based on reported losses, with the exception that paid losses and unpaid percentages replace reported losses and unreported percentages. The Bornhuetter-Ferguson method is most useful as an alternative to other models for immature years. For these immature years, the amounts reported or paid may be small and unstable and therefore not predictive of future development. Therefore, future development is assumed to follow an expected pattern that is supported by more stable historical data or by emerging trends. This method is also useful when changing reporting patterns or payment patterns distort historical development of losses. Similar to the loss development methods, the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method may be applied to loss and ALAE on a combined or separate basis. The Bornhuetter-Ferguson method may not be appropriate in circumstances where the liabilities being analyzed are very mature, as it is not sensitive to the remaining amount of case reserves outstanding, or the actual development to date.
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5. Reserve Run-off Method. This method first projects the future values of case reserves for all underwriting years to future ages of development. This is done by selecting a run-off pattern of case reserves. The selected case run-off ratios are chosen based on the observed run-off ratios at each age of development. Once the ratios have been selected, they are used to project the future values of case reserves. A paid on reserve factor is selected in a similar way. The ratios of the observed amounts paid during each development period to the respective case reserves at the beginning of the periods are used to estimate how much will be paid on the case reserves during each development period. These paid on reserve factors are then applied to the case reserve amounts that were projected during the first phase of this method. A summation of the resulting paid amounts yields an estimate of the liability. The Reserve Run-off Method works well when the historical run-off patterns are reasonably stable and when case reserves ultimately show a decreasing trend. Another strength of this method is that it only requires case reserves at a given point in time and incremental paid and incurred losses after that point, meaning that it can be applied in cases where full loss history is not available. In cases of volatile data where there is a persistent increasing trend in case reserves, this method will fail to produce a reasonable estimate. In several cases, reliance upon this method was limited due to this weakness.
Our independent actuaries select the appropriate loss development extrapolation methods to apply to each company and each class of exposure, and then apply these methods to calculate an estimate of ultimate losses. Our management, which is responsible for the final estimate of ultimate losses, reviews the calculations of our independent actuaries, considers whether the appropriate method was applied, and adjusts the estimate of ultimate losses as it deems necessary. Historically, we have not deviated from the recommendations of our independent actuaries. Paid-to-date losses are then deducted from the estimate of ultimate losses to arrive at an estimated total loss reserve, and reported outstanding case reserves are then deducted from estimated total loss reserves to calculate the estimated IBNR reserve.
Quarterly Reserve Reviews
In addition to an in-depth annual review, we also perform quarterly reserve reviews. This is done by examining quarterly paid and incurred loss development to determine whether it is consistent with reserves established during the preceding annual reserve review and with expected development. Loss development is reviewed separately for each major exposure type (e.g., asbestos, environmental, etc.), for each of our relevant subsidiaries, and for large wholesale commutation settlements versus routine paid and advised losses. This process is undertaken to determine whether loss development experience during a quarter warrants any change to held reserves.
Loss development is examined separately by exposure type because different exposures develop differently over time. For example, the expected reporting and payout of losses for a given amount of asbestos reserves can be expected to take place over a different time frame and in a different quarterly pattern from the same amount of environmental reserves.
In addition, loss development is examined separately for each of our relevant subsidiaries. Companies can differ in their exposure profile due to the mix of insurance versus reinsurance, the mix of primary versus excess insurance, the underwriting years of participation and other criteria. These differing profiles lead to different expectations for quarterly and annual loss development by company.
Our quarterly paid and incurred loss development is often driven by large, wholesale settlements such as commutations and policy buy-backs which settle many individual claims in a single transaction. This allows for monitoring of the potential profitability of large settlements, which, in turn, can provide information about the adequacy of reserves on remaining exposures that have not yet been settled. For example, if it were found that large settlements were consistently leading to large negative, or favorable, incurred losses upon settlement, it might be an indication that reserves on remaining exposures are redundant. Conversely, if it were found that large settlements were
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consistently leading to large positive, or adverse, incurred losses upon settlement, it might be an indication particularly if the size of the losses were increasing that certain loss reserves on remaining exposures are deficient. Moreover, removing the loss development resulting from large settlements allows for a review of loss development related only to those contracts that remain exposed to losses. Were this not done, it is possible that savings on large wholesale settlements could mask significant underlying development on remaining exposures.
Once the data has been analyzed as described above, an in-depth review is performed on classes of exposure with significant loss development. Discussions are held with appropriate personnel, including individual company managers, claims handlers and attorneys, to better understand the causes. If it were determined that development differs significantly from expectations, reserves would be adjusted.
Quarterly loss development is expected to be fairly erratic for the types of exposure insured and reinsured by us. Several quarters of low incurred loss development can be followed by spikes of relatively large incurred losses. This is characteristic of latent claims and other insurance losses that are reported and settled many years after the inception of the policy. Given the high degree of statistical uncertainty, and potential volatility, it would be unusual to adjust reserves on the basis of one, or even several, quarters of loss development activity. As a result, unless the incurred loss activity in any one quarter is of such significance that management is able to quantify the impact on the ultimate liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses, reductions or increases in losses and loss adjustment expense liabilities are carried out in the fourth quarter based on the annual reserve review described above.
As described above, our management regularly reviews and updates reserve estimates using the most current information available and employing various actuarial methods. Adjustments resulting from changes in our estimates are recorded in the period when such adjustments are determined. The ultimate liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses is likely to differ from the original estimate due to a number of factors, primarily consisting of the overall claims activity occurring during any period, including the completion of commutations of assumed liabilities and ceded reinsurance receivables, policy buy-backs and general incurred claims activity.
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Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Atrium and Torus Segments
The following table provides a breakdown of the total liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses by type of exposure for the years ended December 31, 2014 and 2013:
2014 | 2013 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
OLR | IBNR | Total | Atrium only | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Atrium | Torus | Atrium | Torus | Atrium | Torus | OLR | IBNR | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(in thousands of U.S. dollars) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
General casualty |
$ | 10,836 | $ | 77,195 | $ | 16,299 | $ | 148,617 | $ | 27,135 | 225,812 | $ | 10,670 | $ | 12,887 | $ | 23,557 | |||||||||||||||||||
Workers compensation/personal accident |
7,227 | 9,649 | 10,870 | 20,899 | 18,097 | |
30,548 |
|
8,414 | 10,162 | 18,576 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Marine, aviation and transit |
24,902 | 150,530 | 37,455 | 113,785 | 62,357 |
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264,315 |
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23,743 | 28,678 | 52,421 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Construction defect |
| | | | | | 4,489 | 5,422 | 9,911 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other |
41,085 | 148,601 | 61,798 | 181,127 | 102,883 | 329,728 | 49,262 | 59,501 | 108,763 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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$ | 84,050 | $ | 385,975 | $ | 126,422 | $ | 464,428 | $ | 210,472 | $ | 850,403 | $ | 96,578 | $ | 116,650 | $ | 213,228 | ||||||||||||||||||
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ULAE |