ISSUER FREE WRITING PROSPECTUS NO. 2278BG
Filed Pursuant to Rule 433
Registration Statement No. 333-184193
Dated November 17, 2014
$ Deutsche Bank AG Trigger Autocallable Optimization Securities
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Investment Description
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Features
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Key Dates1
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q Call Return — If the Closing Price is greater than or equal to the Initial Price on any quarterly Observation Date (including the Final Valuation Date), Deutsche Bank AG will automatically call the Securities and, for each $10.00 Face Amount of Securities, pay you a Call Price equal to the Face Amount plus the applicable Call Return based on the Call Return Rate specified below. The Call Return increases the longer the Securities are outstanding. If the Securities are not automatically called, investors may have full downside market exposure to the price of the Underlying at maturity.
q Downside Exposure with Contingent Repayment of Your Initial Investment at Maturity — If the Securities are not automatically called and the Final Price is greater than or equal to the Trigger Price, Deutsche Bank AG will pay you at maturity the Face Amount per $10.00 Face Amount of Securities. However, if the Final Price is less than the Trigger Price, for each $10.00 Face Amount of Securities, Deutsche Bank AG will pay you less than the Face Amount at maturity, resulting in a loss of 1.00% of the Face Amount for every 1.00% decline in the Final Price as compared to the Initial Price. In this circumstance, you will lose a significant portion or all of your initial investment. The contingent repayment of your initial investment applies only if you hold the Securities to maturity. Any payment on the Securities, including any payment upon an automatic call or any repayment of your initial investment at maturity, is subject to the creditworthiness of the Issuer. If the Issuer were to default on its payment obligations, you could lose your entire investment.
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Trade Date
Settlement Date
Observation Dates2
Final Valuation Date2
Maturity Date2
1 Expected
2 See page 4 for additional details
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November 17, 2014
November 20, 2014
Quarterly
August 17, 2015
August 20, 2015
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Security Offering
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Underlying
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Call Return Rate per annum
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Total Potential Call Return
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Initial Price
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Trigger Price
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CUSIP / ISIN
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Relevant nearby month’s Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures contract traded on CME (Bloomberg Page: CL1 <Comdty>)
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9.00% per annum
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6.75%
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$75.82
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$57.62, equal to 76.00% of the Initial Price
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25190A781 / US25190A7818
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Price to Public
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Discounts and Commissions(1)
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Proceeds to Us
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Offering of Securities
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Total
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Per Security
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Total
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Per Security
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Total
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Per Security
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Securities linked to the performance of Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures contracts
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$
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$10.00
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$
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$0.05
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$
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$9.95
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(1)
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For more information about discounts and commissions, please see “Supplemental Plan of Distribution (Conflicts of Interest)” on the last page of this free writing prospectus.
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UBS Financial Services Inc. | Deutsche Bank Securities |
Issuer’s Estimated Value of the Securities
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Additional Terms Specific to the Securities
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Product supplement BG dated October 9, 2012:
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Prospectus supplement dated September 28, 2012:
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Prospectus dated September 28, 2012:
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Investor Suitability
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The Securities may be suitable for you if, among other considerations:
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The Securities may not be suitable for you if, among other considerations:
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¨ You fully understand the risks inherent in an investment in the Securities, including the risk of loss of your entire investment.
¨ You can tolerate the loss of a significant portion or all of your investment and are willing to make an investment in which you could have the same downside market risk as an investment in the Underlying.
¨ You believe the Closing Price will be greater than or equal to the Initial Price on an Observation Date, including the Final Valuation Date.
¨ You understand and accept that you will not participate in any increase in the price of the Underlying and you are willing to make an investment the return of which is limited to the applicable Call Return.
¨ You can tolerate fluctuations in the value of the Securities prior to maturity that may be similar to or exceed the downside price fluctuations of the Underlying.
¨ You do not seek current income from this investment.
¨ You understand the increased volatility and other risks associated with investments in commodities futures contracts generally and oil futures contracts specifically.
¨ You are willing and able to hold Securities that will be automatically called on any Observation Date on which the Closing Price is greater than or equal to the Initial Price, and you are otherwise willing and able to hold the Securities to the Maturity Date, as set forth on the cover of this free writing prospectus, and are not seeking an investment for which there will be an active secondary market.
¨ You are willing to assume the credit risk associated with Deutsche Bank AG, as Issuer of the Securities, and understand that if Deutsche Bank AG defaults on its obligations you might not receive any amounts due to you including any payment upon an earlier automatic call or any repayment of your initial investment at maturity.
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¨ You do not fully understand the risks inherent in an investment in the Securities, including the risk of loss of your entire investment.
¨ You cannot tolerate the loss of a significant portion or all of your investment or you are not willing to make an investment in which you could have the same downside market risk as an investment in the Underlying.
¨ You require an investment designed to provide a full return of your initial investment at maturity.
¨ You believe the Securities will not be automatically called and the Final Price will be less than the Trigger Price.
¨ You seek an investment that participates in any increase in the price of the Underlying or that has unlimited return potential.
¨ You cannot tolerate fluctuations in the value of the Securities prior to maturity that may be similar to or exceed the downside price fluctuations of the Underlying.
¨ You prefer the lower risk, and therefore accept the potentially lower returns, of fixed income investments with comparable maturities and credit ratings.
¨ You seek current income from this investment.
¨ You do not understand the increased volatility and other risks associated with investments in commodities futures contracts generally and oil futures contracts specifically.
¨ You are unwilling or unable to hold Securities that will be automatically called on any Observation Date on which the Closing Price is greater than or equal to the Initial Price, or you are otherwise unable or unwilling to hold the Securities to the Maturity Date, as set forth on the cover of this free writing prospectus, or seek an investment for which there will be an active secondary market.
¨ You are unwilling or unable to assume the credit risk associated with Deutsche Bank AG, as Issuer of the Securities for all payments on the Securities, including any payment upon an earlier automatic call or any repayment of your initial investment at maturity.
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Indicative Terms
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Issuer
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Deutsche Bank AG, London Branch
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Issue Price
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100% of the Face Amount of Securities
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Face Amount
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$10.00
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Term
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Approximately nine months, subject to a quarterly automatic call
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Trade Date1
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November 17, 2014
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Settlement Date1
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November 20, 2014
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Final Valuation Date1
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August 17, 2015
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Maturity Date1, 3
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August 20, 2015
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Underlying
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The relevant nearby month’s Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures contract traded on the CME Globex (“CME”) (see “Closing Price” below)
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Call Feature
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The Securities will be automatically called if the Closing Price on any Observation Date is greater than or equal to the Initial Price. If the Securities are automatically called, Deutsche Bank AG will pay you on the applicable Call Settlement Date a cash payment per $10.00 Face Amount of Securities equal to the applicable Call Price for the applicable Observation Date.
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Observation Dates1
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Observation Date
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Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) Futures Contract
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February 17, 2015
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March 2015
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May 18, 2015
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June 2015
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August 17, 2015
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September 2015
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Call Settlement Dates
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Three business days following the relevant Observation Date. The Call Settlement Date for the Final Valuation Date will be the Maturity Date.
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Call Return and Call Return Rate
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The Call Return increases the longer the Securities are outstanding and is based on a Call Return Rate of 9.00% per annum. Based on the Call Return Rate, the total potential Call Return will be 6.75%.
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Call Price
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The Call Price equals the Face Amount plus the product of the Face Amount and the applicable Call Return. The table below reflects the Call Return Rate of 9.00% per annum.
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Observation Dates
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Expected Call Settlement Dates
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Call Return
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Call Price
(per $10.00 Face Amount of
Securities)
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February 17, 2015
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February 20, 2015
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2.25%
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$10.225
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May 18, 2015
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May 21, 2015
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4.50%
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$10.450
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August 17, 2015
(Final Valuation Date)
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August 20, 2015
(Maturity Date)
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6.75%
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$10.675
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Payment at Maturity (per $10.00 Face Amount of Securities)
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If the Securities are not automatically called and the Final Price is greater than or equal to the Trigger Price, Deutsche Bank AG will pay you a cash payment at maturity equal to the Face Amount per $10.00 Face Amount of Securities.
If the Securities are not automatically called and the Final Price is less than the Trigger Price, Deutsche Bank AG will pay you a cash payment per $10.00 Face Amount of Securities at maturity that is less than the Face Amount, equal to:
$10.00 + ($10.00 x Underlying Return)
In this circumstance, you will lose a significant portion or all of your initial investment in an amount proportionate to the negative Underlying Return.
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Underlying Return
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Final Price – Initial Price
Initial Price
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Trigger Price
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$57.62, equal to 76.00% of the Initial Price
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Closing Price2
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On any day of calculation, the official settlement price per barrel of Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) on CME of the futures contract set to expire in the applicable nearby month, stated in U.S. dollars, as made public by CME. The applicable Closing Price will generally be determined by reference to the CME-traded Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures contract set to expire in the first nearby month (the “first nearby month’s Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures contract”), as made public by CME (Bloomberg page “CL1<Comdty>”). However, in the event that the Trade Date or an Observation Date (including the Final Valuation Date) occurs on or after (i) the last trading day of the first nearby month’s Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures contract or (ii) the notice period for delivery of Light Sweet Crude Oil under the first nearby month’s Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures contract, the applicable Closing Price will be determined by reference to the CME-traded Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures contract set to expire in the second nearby month, as made public by CME (Bloomberg page “CL2<Comdty>”).
The last trading day of the first nearby month’s Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures contract and the notice period for delivery of Light Sweet Crude Oil under the first nearby month’s Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures contract are published by common data providers such as Bloomberg.
Without limitation and in addition to any provisions in the accompanying product supplement, if the price source for the Underlying identified herein as the Closing Price is modified or amended, ceases to exist or is unavailable (or is published in error), the calculation agent may determine the Closing Price in good faith and in a commercially reasonable manner and/or postpone the Observation Dates and/or the Final Valuation Date by up to five trading days.
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Initial Price
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$75.82, equal to the Closing Price of the Underlying on November 14, 2014, determined by reference to the December 2014 Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures contract. The Initial Price is not the Closing Price of the Underlying on the Trade Date.
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Final Price
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The Closing Price of the Underlying on the Final Valuation Date, determined by reference to the September 2015 Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures contract
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Investment Timeline
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November 14, 2014:
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The Initial Price is observed and the Trigger Price is determined.
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Quarterly (including at maturity):
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The Securities will be automatically called if the Closing Price on any Observation Date is greater than or equal to the Initial Price.
If the Securities are automatically called, Deutsche Bank AG will pay you on the applicable Call Settlement Date a cash payment per $10.00 Face Amount of Securities equal to the applicable Call Price for the applicable Observation Date.
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Maturity Date:
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The Final Price is determined and the Underlying Return is calculated on the Final Valuation Date.
If the Securities are not automatically called and the Final Price is greater than or equal to the Trigger Price, Deutsche Bank AG will pay you a cash payment at maturity equal to the Face Amount per $10.00 Face Amount of Securities.
If the Securities are not automatically called and the Final Price is less than the Trigger Price, Deutsche Bank AG will pay you a cash payment per $10.00 Face Amount of Securities at maturity that is less than the Face Amount, equal to:
$10.00 + ($10.00 x Underlying Return)
In this circumstance, you will lose a significant portion or all of your initial investment in an amount proportionate to the negative Underlying Return.
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1
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In the event that we make any change to the expected Trade Date or Settlement Date, the Observation Dates, Final Valuation Date and Maturity Date may be changed to ensure that the stated term of the Securities remains the same.
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2
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Subject to adjustment as described under “Description of Securities — Adjustments to Valuation Dates and Payment Dates” in the accompanying product supplement.
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3
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Subject to postponement as described under “Description of Securities — Adjustments to Valuation Dates and Payment Dates” in the accompanying product supplement.
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Key Risks
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Your Investment in the Securities May Result in a Loss of Your Initial Investment — The Securities differ from ordinary debt securities in that Deutsche Bank AG will not necessarily pay you the Face Amount per $10.00 Face Amount of Securities at maturity. If the Securities are not automatically called, the return on the Securities at maturity will depend on whether the Final Price is greater than or equal to the Trigger Price. If the Securities are not automatically called and the Final Price is greater than or equal to the Trigger Price, Deutsche Bank AG will pay you the Face Amount per $10.00 Face Amount of Securities. However, if the Securities are not automatically called on any Observation Date and the Final Price is less than the Trigger Price, you will be fully exposed to any negative Underlying Return, and, for each $10.00 Face Amount of Securities, you will lose 1.00% of the Face Amount for every 1.00% decline in the Final Price as compared to the Initial Price. In this circumstance, you will lose a significant portion or all of your initial investment at maturity.
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Limited Return Potential — The return potential of the Securities is limited to the applicable Call Return which is based on the Call Return Rate, regardless of the performance of the Underlying. Because the Call Return increases the longer the Securities are outstanding and the Securities could be automatically called as early as the first Observation Date (approximately three months after the Trade Date), the term of your investment could be cut short, and your return on the Securities would then be less than if the Securities were automatically called at a later date. As a result, an investment directly in the Underlying could provide a better return than an investment in the Securities. If the Securities are not automatically called, you may be fully exposed to the full downside performance of the Underlying even though you cannot participate in any increase in the price of the Underlying. Furthermore, because the Closing Price at various times during the term of the Securities could be higher than on the Observation Dates and on the Final Valuation Date, you may receive a lower payment if the Securities are automatically called or at maturity, as the case may be, than you would have if you had invested directly in the Underlying.
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Contingent Repayment of Your Initial Investment Applies Only if You Hold the Securities to Maturity — If your Securities are not automatically called, you should be willing to hold your Securities to maturity. If you are able to sell your Securities prior to maturity in the secondary market, you may have to sell them at a loss relative to your initial investment even if the Closing Price is above the Trigger Price.
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Higher Call Return Rates Are Generally Associated with a Greater Risk of Loss — Greater expected volatility with respect to the Underlying reflects a higher expectation as of the Trade Date that the Closing Price could be less than the Trigger Price on the Final Valuation Date. This greater expected risk will generally be reflected in a higher Call Return Rate for the Securities. However, while the Call Return Rate is a fixed amount, the Underlying’s volatility can change significantly over the term of the Securities. The price of the Underlying could fall sharply, which could result in a significant loss of your initial investment.
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Reinvestment Risk — If your Securities are automatically called, the holding period over which you would receive the applicable Call Return which is based on the applicable Call Return Rate may be as short as three months. There is no guarantee that you would be able to reinvest the proceeds from an investment in the Securities at a comparable return for a similar level of risk in the event the Securities are automatically called prior to the Maturity Date.
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No Coupon Payments — Deutsche Bank AG will not pay any coupon payments with respect to the Securities.
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The Securities Are Subject to the Credit of the Issuer — The Securities are senior unsecured obligations of the Issuer, Deutsche Bank AG, and are not, either directly or indirectly, an obligation of any third party. Any payment(s) to be made on the Securities depends on the ability of Deutsche Bank AG to satisfy its obligations as they come due. An actual or anticipated downgrade in Deutsche Bank AG’s credit rating or increase in the credit spreads charged by the market for taking the credit risk of the Issuer will likely have an adverse effect on the value of the Securities. As a result, the actual and perceived creditworthiness of Deutsche Bank AG will affect the value of the Securities and in the event Deutsche Bank AG were to default on its obligations, you might not receive any amount(s) owed to you under the terms of the Securities and you could lose your entire investment.
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The Issuer’s Estimated Value of the Securities on the Trade Date Will Be Less Than the Issue Price of the Securities — The Issuer’s estimated value of the Securities on the Trade Date (as disclosed on the cover of this free writing prospectus) is less than the Issue Price of the Securities. The difference between the Issue Price and the Issuer’s estimated value of the Securities on the Trade Date is due to the inclusion in the Issue Price of the agent’s commissions, if any, and the cost of hedging our obligations under the Securities through one or more of our affiliates. Such hedging cost includes our or our affiliates’ expected cost of providing such hedge, as well as the profit we or our affiliates expect to realize in consideration for assuming the risks inherent in providing such hedge. The Issuer’s estimated value of the Securities is determined by reference to an internal funding rate and our pricing models. The internal funding rate is typically lower than the rate we would pay when we issue conventional debt securities on equivalent terms. This difference in funding rate, as well as the agent’s commissions, if any, and the estimated cost of hedging our obligations under the Securities, reduces the economic terms of the Securities to you and is expected to adversely affect the price at which you may be able to sell the Securities in any secondary market. In addition, our internal pricing models are proprietary and rely in part on certain assumptions about future events, which may prove to be incorrect. If at any time a third party dealer were to quote a price to purchase your Securities or otherwise value your Securities, that price or value may differ materially from the estimated value of the Securities determined by reference to our internal funding rate and pricing models. This difference is due to, among other things, any difference in funding rates, pricing models or assumptions used by any dealer who may purchase the Securities in the secondary market.
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Investing in the Securities Is Not the Same as Investing in the Underlying or Other Related Contracts — The amount owed on the Securities is based on the Closing Price on any Observation Date (including the Final Valuation Date). The return on your Securities may not reflect the return you would have realized if you had directly invested in the Underlying, or any exchange-traded or over-the-counter instruments based on the Underlying. For instance, you will not participate in any potential increase in the price of the Underlying, which could be significant.
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Commodity Futures Contracts Are Subject to Uncertain Legal and Regulatory Regimes, Which May Adversely Affect the Price of the Underlying and the Value of the Securities — Commodity futures contracts such as the Underlying are subject to legal and regulatory regimes in the United States and, in some cases, in other countries that may change in ways that could adversely affect our ability to hedge our obligations under the Securities and affect the price of the Underlying. The effect on the value of the Securities of any future regulatory change is impossible to predict, but could be substantial and adverse to your interest. For example, the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, which was enacted on July 21, 2010, provided the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (the “CFTC”) with additional
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Single Commodity Prices Tend to Be More Volatile and May Not Correlate with the Prices of Commodities Generally — The amount owed on the Securities is linked exclusively to the price of Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures contracts and not to a diverse basket of commodities or a broad-based commodity index. The price of Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures contracts may not correlate to the price of commodities generally and may diverge significantly from the prices of commodities generally. Because the Securities are linked to the futures contract of a single commodity, they carry greater risk and may be more volatile than a security linked to the prices of futures contracts of multiple commodities or a broad-based commodity index.
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The Securities Offer Exposure to Futures Contracts and Not Direct Exposure to Physical Commodities — The Securities offer investors exposure to the price of CME-traded Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures contracts and not to the spot price of Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI). The price of a commodity futures contract reflects the expected value of the commodity upon delivery in the future, whereas the spot price of a commodity reflects the immediate delivery value of the commodity. A variety of factors can lead to a disparity between the expected future price of a commodity and the spot price at a given point in time, such as the cost of storing the commodity for the term of the futures contract, interest charges incurred to finance the purchase of the commodity and expectations concerning supply and demand for the commodity. The price movement of a futures contract is typically correlated with the movements of the spot price of the reference commodity, but the correlation is generally imperfect and price moves in the spot market may not be reflected in the futures market (and vice versa). Accordingly, the Securities may underperform a similar investment that reflects the return on the physical commodity.
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Prices of Commodities and Commodity Futures Contracts Are Highly Volatile and May Change Unpredictably — Commodity prices are highly volatile and, in many sectors, have experienced unprecedented historical volatility in the past few years. Commodity prices are affected by numerous factors including: changes in supply and demand relationships (whether actual, perceived, anticipated, unanticipated or unrealized); weather; agriculture; trade; fiscal, monetary and exchange control programs; domestic and foreign political and economic events and policies; disease; pestilence; technological developments; changes in interest rates, whether through governmental action or market movements; monetary and other governmental policies, action and inaction; macroeconomic or geopolitical and military events, including political instability in some oil-producing countries; and natural or nuclear disasters. Those events tend to affect commodities prices worldwide, regardless of the location of the event. Market expectations about these events and speculative activity also cause commodities prices to fluctuate. These factors may have a greater impact on commodities prices and commodity futures contracts than on more conventional securities and may adversely affect the performance of the Underlying and, as a result, the value of the Securities, and any payments you may receive in respect of the Securities. It is possible that lower prices or increased volatility of commodities will adversely affect the performance of Underlying and, as a result, the value of the Securities.
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Changes in Supply and Demand in the Market for Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) Futures Contracts May Adversely Affect the Value of the Securities — The Securities are linked to the performance of futures contracts on an underlying physical commodity, Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI). Futures contracts are legally binding agreements for the buying or selling of a certain commodity at a fixed price for physical settlement on a future date. Commodity futures contract prices are subject to similar types of pricing volatility patterns as may affect the specific commodities underlying the futures contracts, as well as additional trading volatility factors that may impact futures markets generally. Moreover, changes in the supply and demand for commodities, and futures contracts for the purchase and delivery of particular commodities, may lead to differentiated pricing patterns in the market for futures contracts over time. For example, a futures contract scheduled to expire in a nearby month may experience more severe pricing pressure or greater price volatility than the corresponding futures contract scheduled to expire in a later month. Because the Initial Price and the Closing Price on each Observation Date and Final Valuation Date will be determined by reference to the applicable nearby month’s futures contract specified herein, the value of the Securities may be less than would otherwise be the case if the Initial Price and the Closing Price on each Observation Date and Final Valuation Date would be determined by reference to the corresponding futures contract scheduled to expire in a more favorable month for pricing purposes.
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Suspension or Disruptions of Market Trading in Commodities and Related Futures May Adversely Affect the Value of the Securities — The commodity futures markets are subject to temporary distortions or other disruptions due to various factors, including the lack of liquidity in the markets, the participation of speculators and government regulation and intervention. In addition, U.S. futures exchanges and some foreign exchanges have regulations that limit the amount of fluctuation in some futures contract prices that may occur during a single business day. These limits are generally referred to as “daily price fluctuation limits” and the maximum or minimum price of a contract on any given day as a result of these limits is referred to as a “limit price.” Once the limit price has been reached in a particular contract, no trades may be made at a price beyond the limit, or trading may be limited for a set period of time. Limit prices have the effect of precluding trading in a particular contract or forcing the liquidation of contracts at potentially disadvantageous times or prices. These circumstances could adversely affect the price of the Underlying and, therefore, the value of the Securities.
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The Securities May Be Subject to Certain Risks Specific to Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) as a Commodity — Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) is an energy-related commodity. Consequently, in addition to factors affecting commodities generally, the Securities may be subject to a number of additional factors specific to energy-related commodities that might cause price volatility. These may include:
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changes in the level of industrial and commercial activity with high levels of energy demands;
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disruptions in the supply chain or in the production or supply of other energy sources;
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price changes in alternative sources of energy;
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adjustments to inventory;
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variations in production and shipping costs;
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costs associated with regulatory compliance, including environmental regulations; and
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changes in industrial, government and consumer demand, both in individual consuming nations and internationally.
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A Decision by CME to Increase Margin Requirements for Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) Futures Contracts May Affect the Price of the Underlying — If CME increases the amount of collateral required to be posted to hold positions in the Underlying (i.e. the margin requirements), market participants who are unwilling or unable to post additional collateral may liquidate their positions, which may cause the price of the Underlying to decline significantly.
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Past Performance of the Underlying Is No Guide to Future Performance — The actual performance of the Underlying may bear little relation to the historical closing prices of the Underlying, and may bear little relation to the hypothetical return examples set forth elsewhere in this free writing prospectus. We cannot predict the future performance of the Underlying or whether the performance of the Underlying will result in the return of any of your investment.
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Assuming No Changes in Market Conditions and Other Relevant Factors, the Price You May Receive for Your Securities in Secondary Market Transactions Would Generally Be Lower Than Both the Issue Price and the Issuer’s Estimated Value of the Securities on the Trade Date — While the payment(s) on the Securities described in this free writing prospectus is based on the full Face Amount of your Securities, the Issuer’s estimated value of the Securities on the Trade Date (as disclosed on the cover of this free writing prospectus) is less than the Issue Price of the Securities. The Issuer’s estimated value of the Securities on the Trade Date does not represent the price at which we or any of our affiliates would be willing to purchase your Securities in the secondary market at any time. Assuming no changes in market conditions or our creditworthiness and other relevant factors, the price, if any, at which we or our affiliates would be willing to purchase the Securities from you in secondary market transactions, if at all, would generally be lower than both the Issue Price and the Issuer’s estimated value of the Securities on the Trade Date. Our purchase price, if any, in secondary market transactions would be based on the estimated value of the Securities determined by reference to (i) the then-prevailing internal funding rate (adjusted by a spread) or another appropriate measure of our cost of funds and (ii) our pricing models at that time, less a bid spread determined after taking into account the size of the repurchase, the nature of the assets underlying the Securities and then-prevailing market conditions. The price we report to financial reporting services and to distributors of our Securities for use on customer account statements would generally be determined on the same basis. However, during the period of approximately two months beginning from the Trade Date, we or our affiliates may, in our sole discretion, increase the purchase price determined as described above by an amount equal to the declining differential between (a) the Issue Price minus the discounts and commissions and (b) the Issuer’s estimated value of the Securities on the Trade Date, prorated over such period on a straight-line basis, for transactions that are individually and in the aggregate of the expected size for ordinary secondary market repurchases.
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The Securities Will Not Be Listed and There Will Likely Be Limited Liquidity — The Securities will not be listed on any securities exchange. There may be little or no secondary market for the Securities. We or our affiliates intend to act as market makers for the Securities but are not required to do so and may cease such market making activities at any time. Even if there is a secondary market, it may not provide enough liquidity to allow you to sell the Securities when you wish to do so or at a price advantageous to you. Because we do not expect other dealers to make a secondary market for the Securities, the price at which you may be able to sell your Securities is likely to depend on the price, if any, at which we or our affiliates are willing to buy the Securities. If, at any time, we or our affiliates do not act as market makers, it is likely that there would be little or no secondary market in the Securities. If you have to sell your Securities prior to maturity, you may not be able to do so or you may have to sell them at a substantial loss, even in cases where the price of the Underlying has increased since the Trade Date.
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Many Economic and Market Factors Will Affect the Value of the Securities — While we expect that, generally, the price of the Underlying will affect the value of the Securities more than any other single factor, the value of the Securities prior to maturity will also be affected by a number of other factors that may either offset or magnify each other, including:
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the expected volatility of the price of Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI), and of the prices of exchange-traded futures contracts of the purchase or delivery of Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI);
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supply and demand trends for Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI), and for exchange-traded futures contracts for the purchase and delivery of Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI);
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the time remaining to the maturity of the Securities;
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interest rates and yields in the market generally;
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geopolitical conditions and a variety of economic, financial, political, regulatory or judicial events that affect the Underlying or markets generally;
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supply and demand for the Securities; and
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our creditworthiness, including actual or anticipated downgrades in our credit ratings.
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Trading and Other Transactions by Us or Our Affiliates, or UBS AG or Its Affiliates, in the Commodities and Commodity Derivative Markets May Impair the Value of the Securities — We or one or more of our affiliates expect to hedge our exposure from the Securities by entering into commodity derivative transactions, such as over-the-counter options, futures or exchange-traded instruments. We, UBS AG or our or their affiliates may also engage in trading in instruments linked or related to the Underlying on a regular basis as part of our or their general broker-dealer and other businesses, for proprietary accounts, for other accounts under management or to facilitate transactions for customers, including block transactions. Such trading and hedging activities may affect commodity prices and make it less likely that you will receive a positive return on your investment in the Securities. It is possible that we, UBS AG or our or their affiliates could receive substantial returns from these hedging and trading activities while the value of the Securities declines. We, UBS AG or our or their affiliates may also issue or underwrite other securities or financial or derivative instruments with returns linked or related to commodity prices. Introducing competing products into the marketplace in this manner could adversely affect the value of the Securities. Any of the foregoing activities described in this paragraph may reflect trading strategies that differ from, or are in direct opposition to, investors’ trading and investment strategies related to the Securities.
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Potential Deutsche Bank AG Impact on Price — Trading or transactions by us or our affiliates in the Underlying and/or over-the-counter options, futures or other instruments with returns linked to the performance of the Underlying, may adversely affect the market price of the Underlying and, therefore, the value of the Securities.
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We, UBS AG or Our or Their Affiliates May Publish Research, Express Opinions or Provide Recommendations That Are Inconsistent with Investing in or Holding the Securities. Any Such Research, Opinions or Recommendations Could Adversely Affect the Price of the Underlying and the Value of the Securities — We, UBS AG or our or their affiliates may publish research from time to time on financial markets and other matters that could adversely affect the value of the Securities, or express opinions or provide recommendations that are inconsistent with purchasing or holding the Securities. Any research, opinions or recommendations expressed by us, UBS AG or our or their affiliates may not be consistent with each other and may be modified from time to time without notice. You should make your own independent investigation of the merits of investing in the Securities and the Underlying to which the Securities are linked.
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Potential Conflicts of Interest —We and our affiliates play a variety of roles in connection with the issuance of the Securities, including acting as calculation agent, hedging our obligations under the Securities and determining the Issuer’s estimated value of the Securities on the Trade Date and the price, if any, at which we or our affiliates would be willing to purchase the Securities from you in secondary market transactions. In performing these roles, our economic interests and those of our affiliates are potentially adverse to your interests as an investor in the Securities. The calculation agent will determine, among other things, all values, prices and levels required to be determined for the purposes of the Securities on any relevant date or time. The calculation agent also has some discretion as to how the calculations are made, in particular if the Closing Price is modified or amended, ceases to exist or is unavailable (or is published in error) on an Observation Date and/or the Final Valuation Date, and will be responsible for determining whether a market disruption event has occurred as well as determining the prices or levels of the Underlying that affect whether the Securities are automatically called. Any determination by the calculation agent could adversely affect the return on the Securities.
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The U.S. Federal Income Tax Consequences of an Investment in the Securities Are Uncertain — There is no direct legal authority regarding the proper U.S. federal income tax treatment of the Securities, and we do not plan to request a ruling from the Internal Revenue Service (the “IRS”). Consequently, significant aspects of the tax treatment of the Securities are uncertain, and the IRS or a court might not agree with the treatment of the Securities as prepaid financial contracts that are not debt. If the IRS were successful in asserting an alternative treatment for the Securities, the tax consequences of ownership and disposition of the Securities could be materially and adversely affected. In addition, as described below under “What Are the Tax Consequences of an Investment in the Securities?”, in 2007 the U.S. Treasury Department and the IRS released a notice requesting comments on various issues regarding the U.S. federal income tax treatment of “prepaid forward contracts” and similar instruments. Any Treasury regulations or other guidance promulgated after consideration of these issues could materially and adversely affect the tax consequences of an investment in the Securities, possibly with retroactive effect. You should review carefully the section of the accompanying product supplement entitled “U.S. Federal Income Tax Consequences,” and consult your tax adviser regarding the U.S. federal tax consequences of an investment in the Securities (including possible alternative treatments and the issues presented by the 2007 notice), as well as tax consequences arising under the laws of any state, local or non-U.S. taxing jurisdiction.
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Scenario Analysis and Hypothetical Examples of Payment upon an Automatic Call or at Maturity
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Term:
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Approximately nine months, subject to a quarterly automatic call
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Initial Price:
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$75.82
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Trigger Price:
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$57.62 (76.00% of the Initial Price)
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Call Return and Call Prices*:
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Observation Dates
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Expected Call Settlement Dates
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Call Return*
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Call Price*
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February 17, 2015
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February 20, 2015
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2.25%
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$10.225
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May 18, 2015
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May 21, 2015
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4.50%
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$10.450
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August 17, 2015 (Final Valuation Date)
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August 20, 2015 (Maturity Date)
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6.75%
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$10.675
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Historical Information
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What Are the Tax Consequences of an Investment in the Securities?
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Supplemental Plan of Distribution (Conflicts of Interest)
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