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Week Ahead: Softness In US Real Sector, Key UK And Canadian Data, And China's Q3 GDP
October 14, 2023
The markets absorbed two shocks last week. The war in Israel that seems to know of no restraint underpinned oil prices and appeared to help boost gold and the Swiss franc, the only G10 currency to...
Via
Talk Markets
The Big Cycle 2
October 14, 2023
When your system, whatever it may be, is working extremely well, we used to say it’s “firing on all 8 cylinders.” What does that mean?
Via
Talk Markets
Crude & Metals Rally on Rising Geopolitical Tensions
October 14, 2023
Israel's orders for Gaza civilians yesterday was to evacuate within the next 24 hours. This put a lot of pressure on commodity markets such as crude oil and precious metals.
Via
Talk Markets
Exposures
Fossil Fuels
The Bull Market's Moment Of Truth
October 13, 2023
Runaway government spending, tensions in the Middle East, spikes in interest rates and oil prices - at what point do they become too much for the bull market?
Via
Talk Markets
Oil And Natural Gas: Oil Advances Above $86.00 Level
October 13, 2023
The price of oil spent the first part of this week in the $85.00-$87.00 range, and yesterday, we saw a drop to the $82.30 level. The price of natural gas has been retreating in the past two days from...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Energy
Exposures
Fossil Fuels
Oil & Gold Are Soaring As MidEast Conflict Escalates
October 13, 2023
While the dollar is relatively flat overnight, both gold and crude are soaring (and bonds bid) as fears of what lies ahead this weekend in Israel and Palestine spark risk-off around the world.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
The Energy Report: New Front
October 13, 2023
Oil prices are back above the 10-day moving average as it appears that Israel is ready to move on the Gaza Strip and Iran threatens a new front of terror against Israel.
Via
Talk Markets
Futures Jump To Highs After Solid Bank Earnings As Gold, Treasuries Soar On Imminent Gaza Invasion
October 13, 2023
Helping nudge futures to session highs, JPMorgan, Citigroup and Wells Fargo all gained in premarket trading after earnings beats. Data showing that import prices rose less than expected in September...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Earnings
Exposures
Financial
Crude Oil Forecast: Markets Show Resilience Amid Geopolitical Concerns
October 13, 2023
At the end of the day, the crude oil markets exhibited resilience, bouncing back after filling the recent gap.
Via
Talk Markets
Exposures
Fossil Fuels
Macro: September CPI Stuck At 3.7% YOY
October 13, 2023
Fed will see 2 more employment reports, 2 more PCE reports, and 2 more CPI reports between now and the December meeting. Consensus puts the probability of a December hike at 32%.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Financial Markets Report For Thursday, October 12
October 13, 2023
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Thursday, October 12.
Via
Talk Markets
WTI Holds Gains Despite Huge Crude Build; Production Hits Record High As Cushing 'Tank Bottoms' Loom
October 12, 2023
The official data confirmed API's huge crude build but products and Cushing saw inventory drawdowns.
Via
Talk Markets
Sticky CPI And Stocks
October 12, 2023
S&P 500 was due for a little setback, but this one took 5 hrs and break of 4,492 support to play out – only the Monday top of 4,482 support did hold, just in time with the FOMC minutes game plan laid...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Saudi Energy Minister: We Will Continue Voluntary Cuts Until Year’s End
October 12, 2023
Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said on Thursday, “we will continue voluntary cuts until year’s end.”
Via
Talk Markets
Crude Oil Forecast: Oil Markets Await Clarity Amid Middle East Uncertainty
October 12, 2023
The pivotal question now centers on whether Iran will become embroiled in the Middle East crisis, as this could significantly impact oil flows, particularly to China.
Via
Talk Markets
Exposures
Fossil Fuels
Greenback Consolidates Ahead Of September CPI
October 12, 2023
he Russian ruble is the strongest of the emerging market currencies following the imposition of new capital controls, forcing many exporters to repatriate their foreign earnings.
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report For Wednesday, October 11
October 12, 2023
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Wednesday, October 11.
Via
Talk Markets
The Commodities Feed: Supply Fears Ease
October 11, 2023
The risk premium in oil continues to erode. However, tight fundamentals mean that the outlook remains constructive
Via
Talk Markets
1970’s Stagflation Inbound For The US Or Just A Hard Landing?
October 11, 2023
The refreshed Middle Eastern conflict reshuffles the odds.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
WTI Extends Losses After API Reports Massive Crude Inventory Build
October 11, 2023
Oil prices tumbled back to earth today, erasing Sunday night's gains on apparent optimism that the Irasel0-Hamas war wouldn't last long and wouldn't disrupt oil market in the MidEast. Sounds pretty...
Via
Talk Markets
The Energy Report: Implausible Deniability
October 11, 2023
If at first you don’t succeed, change the narrative. The Biden administration is once again trying to spin another major foreign policy disaster by trying to say that it has nothing to do with their...
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Extend Recovery
October 11, 2023
Broadly speaking, the dollar's recent pullback was extended today but the momentum appears to be slowing, perhaps ahead of tomorrow's US CPI report.
Via
Talk Markets
Crude Oil Signal: Markets Steady Amidst Middle East Tensions
October 11, 2023
The Crude oil markets displayed a degree of stability during Tuesday's trading session as the world kept a watchful eye on the unfolding situation in the Middle East.
Via
Talk Markets
Exposures
Fossil Fuels
Oil Steadies As Spillover Effects From Israel-Hamas Conflict Look Contained
October 11, 2023
Oil prices have quickly digested the volatile ride from Monday after violence erupted in Israel and the Gaza strip over the weekend. Roughly 48 hours later it appears that oil production is not at...
Via
Talk Markets
Crude Oil Futures: There Is Room For Further Decline
October 11, 2023
Considering advanced prints from CME Group for crude oil futures markets, open interest reversed two consecutive daily pullbacks and increased by around 27.6K contracts on Tuesday.
Via
Talk Markets
Exposures
Fossil Fuels
Financial Markets Report For Tuesday, October 10
October 11, 2023
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Tuesday, October 10.
Via
Talk Markets
The Commodities Feed: European Gas Security Concern Grows
October 11, 2023
European gas prices rallied yesterday as sabotage is suspected to be behind a pipeline leak. The incident raises concern over the vulnerability of European pipeline infrastructure
Via
Talk Markets
Markets Rise Again on Dovish Fed-Speak
October 10, 2023
Market indices posted another session in the green today, though off the highs we saw around midday. All indices are now back in positive territory year to date off lows posted a week ago, but they’re...
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks Extend Post-Terror-Attack Gains; Oil, Bonds, & Gold Flat
October 10, 2023
With bond traders coming back to work after yesterday's Columbus Day market closure, yields actually ended practically unchanged on the day (from where futures-implied levels closed yesterday)...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
How Geopolitical Tensions Impact Global Oil Markets
October 10, 2023
Oil prices have always been sensitive to geopolitical tensions, and recent events in the Middle East have underscored this reality.
Via
Talk Markets
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