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2nd Largest Economy In Deep Trouble
August 15, 2023
The post-covid spending spree in China has fallen flat. Unemployment remains high, unlike the tight labor market in the US.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
China: PBOC Cuts Rates Amidst Data Weakness
August 15, 2023
The 15bp cut to the medium-term lending facility (MLF) was unexpected.
Via
Talk Markets
China Downside Surprises
August 15, 2023
The latest economic data from China further surprises to the downside.
Via
Talk Markets
After No Recession In 45 Years – Will China’s Winning Streak End This Year?
August 12, 2023
China’s GDP has mushroomed from $150 billion in 1978 to $22 trillion in 2022, over 146-fold gains, or a compounded +11.5% per year, but the pace has slowed decidedly in the last decade.
Via
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Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Chinese Growth In Question (Again) - Updated
August 11, 2023
The GDP growth rate implied with Q2 CCAT is 3.9% instead of 6.3%.
Via
Talk Markets
China’s Biggest Property Developer Expects To Post $7.6B Loss For H1 2023
August 11, 2023
China's largest property developer is set to report a $7.6 billion loss for the first half of 2023 amid the housing market crisis.
Via
Talk Markets
China’s Deflation Problem: Impact On Companies, Local Governments, And Growth
August 10, 2023
It appears China’s unbalanced economy has finally caught up to it.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Interest Rates
Chinese Growth In Question (Again)
August 09, 2023
Official Chinese statistics indicate 6.3% y/y growth in Q2. Maybe it’s less?
Via
Talk Markets
Global Recession Wiped Out China
July 17, 2023
The latest data deluge confirms real dangers and accelerating downside.
Via
Talk Markets
China Upside Surprise
July 17, 2023
Chinese Q2 GDP and June industrial production above consensus. Retail sales slightly below.
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Of China’s Largest Property Developer Crash To 25 Percent Of Notional Value
August 10, 2023
The subject of Chinese real estate came up a few times recently with still more readers insisting China passed the US in GDP.
Via
Talk Markets
Economic Challenge Ahead: Chinese Battle Against Deflation
August 09, 2023
In a sobering turn of events, the Chinese economic recovery faces a formidable hurdle as deflation sets in, with consumer prices registering a 0.3 percent year-on-year decline in July.
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report - Chinese Import-Export Numbers Are Really Poor
August 09, 2023
In this video Ira Epstein reviews the action in the financial markets for the trading day just ended, Tuesday, August 8.
Via
Talk Markets
China’s July Crude Imports Drop
August 08, 2023
July witnessed a significant decline in China’s crude oil imports, dropping by 18.8% compared to the previous month and reaching the lowest daily rate since January.
Via
Talk Markets
China Economy Collapse: Navigating A Challenging Terrain
August 07, 2023
China is facing a challenging period, with new data showing that the second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth fell short of expectations.
Via
Talk Markets
Lawmakers Press Biden To Address US Investment Risks In China: 'For Too Long, America Has Funded The China Communist Party's Military Buildup'
August 03, 2023
Via
Benzinga
China, Mid-2023: Teetering On Deflation
July 11, 2023
The June numbers for Chinese inflation surprised on the downside: 0.0% headline vs. +0.2% y/y Bloomberg consensus, -5.4% PPI vs. -5.0% consensus.
Via
Talk Markets
China’s Looming Balance Sheet Recession: The Hidden Threat To Economic Growth
June 22, 2023
China’s economy is seemingly stuck. And it shouldn’t come as a surprise.
Via
Talk Markets
Helpless China Warns About 'Changing Economic Landscape'
June 20, 2023
Out of options and bracing for impact, Chinese authorities are ready for more failure.
Via
Talk Markets
Is Investing In China A Good Idea Right Now? 'It's Complicated,' Say Morgan Stanley Analysts
August 03, 2023
Via
Benzinga
July's Top-Performing Country ETFs: This Nation Led Global Equity Rally, And It Wasn't China
July 31, 2023
July was a positive month for the U.S. stock market, but strong gains were also seen in global equity markets, with some countries posting double-digit monthly returns. Notably, the 1% decline in the...
Via
Benzinga
Data Coming Out Of China Continues To Disappoint
July 31, 2023
The latest data out of China overnight has offered little reassurance over the health of the world’s second largest economy. The manufacturing PMI was seen staying in negative territory for a fourth...
Via
Talk Markets
A Search For A Phillips Curve In China
July 24, 2023
I wondered whether Chinese inflation behavior was anomalous. Measures of economic activity are positively associated with inflation, after accounting for cost push shocks, particularly oil shocks....
Via
Talk Markets
Did someone Flip The Economic Lever To Off In China?
July 20, 2023
We sometimes forget how rapidly things can change. We have the potential, due to our system of rapid communication, to alter the way people live in a heartbeat. It is important to remember this when it...
Via
Talk Markets
China: Concerns Over Growth Miss, Unemployment, And Property Sector
July 18, 2023
Chinese authorities remain committed to achieving their target growth rate of around 5% for this year, despite acknowledging the existing headwinds.
Via
Talk Markets
Things Just Keep Getting Worse In China, Now They Are Running Out Of Jobs
July 09, 2023
It turns out that things in China are even worse than we were previously told. Not only is the country running out of workers, it turns out that it is also running out of jobs.
Via
Talk Markets
Thoughts For Thursday: Back From The Holiday With Caution
July 06, 2023
Caution is perhaps what was reflected in yesterday's back from the holiday trading. One there is the question of upcoming Fed action and second there is the visit of Secretary Yellen to China.
Via
Talk Markets
China Responds To US Chip Ban By Restricting Export Of Critical Materials
July 05, 2023
As of August 1st, China will impose licensing requirements on exporting gallium and germanium. Although not as popularized as lithium, these are the key materials needed in semiconductor...
Via
Talk Markets
China’s Struggling Recovery Impacts Iron Ore Prices
July 02, 2023
Iron ore prices for 63.5% content remained near $115, close to a two-month high. Hopes of stimulus measures by the Chinese government boosted demand expectations.
Via
Talk Markets
China's Economic Resilience: On Course To Achieve 5% Growth, Says Premier Li Qiang
June 27, 2023
Via
Benzinga
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