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Momentum V. Price - Is The Stock Market Rally Over?
January 23, 2023
Looking at the 6-month range, today’s high was 402.64, but SPY closed at 400.52 Just marginally above the range and well below the high of the day.
Via
Talk Markets
Foreign Stocks Continue To Rally As US Shares Retreat
January 23, 2023
Diversifying into equities ex-US has been a disappointment in recent years, but January suggests the tide may be turning in favor global investing strategies.
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Speculators Increased 10-Year Treasury Bearish Bets To 222-Week High
January 22, 2023
The COT bond market speculator bets were lower this week as just two out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning while the other six markets had lower speculator contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
The Short-Term Uptrend Continues With Large Price Swings
January 21, 2023
The short-term uptrend looks set to continue, although with some large swings in price appearing for the major indexes. The PMO index reached the top of the range, then fell back just a bit, which...
Via
Talk Markets
COT Bonds Speculators Reduced Their 2-Year & 5-Year Bonds Bearish Bets This Week
January 15, 2023
The COT bond market speculator bets were even this week, as four out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning while the other four markets had lower speculator contracts. Leading the...
Via
Talk Markets
Global Markets Rally In First Trading Week Of 2023
January 09, 2023
Nearly all the major asset classes posted solid gains in the kickoff to the new year, based on a set of proxy ETFs. The lone exception: commodities.
Via
Talk Markets
Last Week's Short-Term Uptrend Continues With Surprising Strength
January 14, 2023
The short-term uptrend that started Jan. 6 appears set to continue. This is a powerful uptrend that has caught people off guard. However, the PMO index is now at the top of the range, which means that...
Via
Talk Markets
Are New Bull Market Leaders Emerging?
January 13, 2023
The drivers of poor investment performance in 2022 may have set the table for new leadership in the next bull market.
Via
Talk Markets
A New Short-Term Uptrend May Have Started On Friday
January 07, 2023
It looks like a new short-term uptrend started on Friday, although the PMO index hasn't turned higher yet. So, we should consider the rally unconfirmed for now.
Via
Talk Markets
Bullish Odds Improving With New Leadership
January 07, 2023
After another report showing some improvement in inflation, the stock market reversed on Friday to post a weekly gain. There are signs of a bottoming.
Via
Talk Markets
Keep Watch For The Next Short-Term Uptrend
December 31, 2022
The short-term downtrend that began that began in early December looks set to continue. The downtrend has now been in place long enough that it is time to watch for the subtle signs of the next...
Via
Talk Markets
2022 Review: US Bond Market
December 30, 2022
With one trading day left in 2022, the US bond market is set to record a deep loss for the year.
Via
Talk Markets
Desperately Seeking Yield - Tuesday, Dec. 20
December 20, 2022
Markets continue to fall and trailing yields continue to rise. The inverse relationship, in theory, presents yield-hungry investors with enhanced opportunity.
Via
Talk Markets
US Bonds Rose Last Week As Risk-Off Sentiment Strengthened
December 19, 2022
Most of the major asset classes suffered last week as markets reassessed the risk of ongoing hikes in interest rates and elevated recession risk.
Via
Talk Markets
COT Bonds Speculators Weekly Changes Led By Eurodollar & 2-Year Bonds
December 18, 2022
The COT bond market speculator bets were higher this week as five out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning while the other three markets had lower speculator contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
The Recent Short-Term Downtrend Continues
December 18, 2022
There was a bit of buying in the market on Tuesday and Wednesday, but then a flood of selling was seen on Thursday and Friday. So, the short-term downtrend that started on Dec. 6 seems set to...
Via
Talk Markets
Inflation And Growth Worries Weighed On Markets Last Week
December 12, 2022
Nearly all components of the major asset classes fell last week, based on a set of proxy ETFs. Real estate shares ex-US were the exception.
Via
Talk Markets
COT Bonds Speculators Drop 5-Year Treasury Bets To 215-Week Low
December 11, 2022
The COT bond market speculator bets were lower this week as just two out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning this week while six markets had lower contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
A Short-Term Downtrend Started On Weak Volume
December 11, 2022
Volume has been weak so far in December, and with the holiday approaching, it is likely to remain weak. With such low volume, there is very little enthusiasm to buy stocks, but there's also very little...
Via
Talk Markets
Semis & Banks Offer Opposing Views – Home Heating Oil Update
December 07, 2022
The stock market is supposed to put in its final low for the year next week or by the middle of the following week and then rally into January. That’s what historical trends say, but not all years...
Via
Talk Markets
COT Bonds Speculators Trim Their Eurodollar Bearish Bets
December 04, 2022
The COT bond market speculator bets were mixed this week as four out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning this week while the other four markets had lower contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
Stock Market Commentary: Headline Charts
December 03, 2022
The SPX has moved up to its downtrend line, and this is where you have to watch carefully for signs of market weakness. The VIX is indicating it's time for short-term caution.The medium-term trend is...
Via
Talk Markets
U.S. Weekly FundFlows: Exchange-Traded Equity Funds Report First Weekly Outflow In Over Two Months
December 02, 2022
During fund-flow week ended November 30, 2022, investors were overall net redeemers of fund assets for the first week in three, removing a net $4.7 billion.
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks In Developed Markets Ex-US Roared Higher Last Week
November 28, 2022
This year’s selling looked excessive in developed-market shares ex-US and so the crowd continued to snap up stocks in this bucket during last week.
Via
Talk Markets
The Fed is Not Here to Help You Make Risky Bets
November 27, 2022
The odds of speculative bets succeeding are far from guaranteed, and the Fed won’t be there to bail out any losses if things go wrong, and if they do, they’ll need to print more money.
Via
Talk Markets
The Best Time To Buy Stocks In The Short-Term Has Passed
November 27, 2022
Looking at the short-term trend, the rally that started mid-October continues to chop and stair-step higher. So, even though it is a favorable seasonal period for stock prices, the best time to buy...
Via
Talk Markets
Inflation-Indexed Bonds Ex-US Led Global Markets Last Week
November 21, 2022
As markets continue to grapple with various macro risks, government bonds indexed to inflation ex-US extended their recent rally and posted the strongest gain last week for the major asset classes,...
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Speculator’s Bearish Bets Surge To Push 2-Year Bond Positions To Record Low
November 20, 2022
The COT bond market speculator bets were lower overall this week as just two out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning this week while six other markets had lower contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
Are New Market Trends Forming Before Our Eyes?
November 19, 2022
The stock market received a second better-than-expected read on inflation this week. Interest rates have pulled back, so where do the trends stand?
Via
Talk Markets
The Short-Term Uptrend Continues Despite Uncertainty
November 19, 2022
The short-term uptrend appears set to continue, although it has been looking wobbly. The PMO has turned down, but it doesn't seem quite ready to move much lower yet.
Via
Talk Markets
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